TPP的發(fā)展前景分析與中國對策研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-07 11:14
本文選題:跨太平洋戰(zhàn)略經(jīng)濟伙伴關系協(xié)定 切入點:最新進展 出處:《天津商業(yè)大學》2015年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
【摘要】:跨太平洋戰(zhàn)略經(jīng)濟伙伴關系協(xié)定(TPP)是在美國主導下,跨太平洋部分經(jīng)濟體共同參與的區(qū)域經(jīng)貿(mào)合作關系協(xié)定,被譽為21世紀自由貿(mào)易的新模板,是“新一代,級別更高,超越WTO”的區(qū)域自貿(mào)協(xié)議。其前身為2005年新加坡、新西蘭、智利、文萊四個亞洲國家在亞太經(jīng)合組織(APEC)框架內(nèi)進行簽定的多邊自貿(mào)協(xié)定(P4)。自2008年2月美國高調(diào)宣布加入后,逐步被美國主導并成為其戰(zhàn)略東移進而重返亞太的關鍵臺階。于2013年7月安倍政府不顧及日本國內(nèi)強大的反對呼聲,在歷經(jīng)兩年的艱難談判之后正式地加入到TPP中,成為其第12個成員國。但迫于國內(nèi)壓力美日談判異常艱難,主要矛盾為日方不愿降低的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品關稅與日本不承認美國對其出口的汽車所使用所謂美國汽車安全標準。作為TPP中兩大經(jīng)濟體,美日經(jīng)濟總額占到了全部12個TPP成員國經(jīng)濟總額的七成以上,因此美國與日本可否就以上分歧達成一致將會是TPP談判最終能否成功簽署的關鍵性因素,此外TPP內(nèi)以菲律賓為代表的貿(mào)易小國的謹慎態(tài)度,也給TPP的最終框架達成蒙上一層陰影。本文主要研究并分析了TPP及其最新進展及其內(nèi)部分歧,包括以日本為代表的TPP內(nèi)部發(fā)達經(jīng)濟體同美國的分歧以及以菲律賓為代表的TPP新興國家同美國的分歧,均表現(xiàn)出了美國在借TPP復制并推行其一貫的對外經(jīng)貿(mào)合作模板時的力不從心。在此基礎上,結合目前亞太地區(qū)最新國際政治經(jīng)濟新格局、新變化,對TPP的發(fā)展前景與模式進行了預測式的分析。最后,通過總結前人對TPP的經(jīng)濟效益模型分析的共同結論,根據(jù)TPP對中國存在的影響與啟示結合目前我國國內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟新常態(tài),分析并研究我國應當采取的對策。
[Abstract]:The Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP) is a regional economic and trade cooperation agreement in which some economies across the Pacific are participating under the leadership of the United States. It is hailed as a new template for free trade in 21th century. Its predecessor was Singapore, New Zealand, Chile, and Brunei in 2005, the multilateral Free Trade Agreement (FTA) signed by four Asian countries within the framework of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC). Since the US announced its accession in high profile on February 2008, Gradually led by the United States and become a key step in its strategy to move eastward and return to the Asia-Pacific region. In July 2013, the Abe administration, disregarding the strong opposition in Japan, formally joined the TPP after two years of difficult negotiations. To become its 12th member. But under domestic pressure, negotiations between the United States and Japan have been extremely difficult. The main contradiction is the reluctance of Japan to lower tariffs on agricultural products and Japan's refusal to recognize the so-called American car safety standards used by the United States for cars exported to it. The two largest economies in the TPP, The total economic volume of the United States and Japan accounts for more than 70% of the total economic volume of all 12 TPP member countries. Therefore, whether the United States and Japan can reach an agreement on the above differences will be the key factor for the successful signing of the TPP negotiations. In addition, the cautious attitude of the small trading countries represented by the Philippines in the TPP also casts a shadow over the final framework of the TPP. This paper mainly studies and analyzes the TPP and its latest progress and its internal differences. Including the differences between the developed economies and the United States within the TPP represented by Japan, and the differences between the emerging TPP countries, represented by the Philippines, and the United States. All of them show that the United States is unable to do what it has done when using TPP to replicate and implement its usual template for foreign economic and trade cooperation. On this basis, in the light of the latest new international political and economic patterns and new changes in the Asia-Pacific region, The development prospects and models of TPP are analyzed. Finally, by summing up the common conclusions of previous economic model analysis of TPP, according to the influence and inspiration of TPP on China, combined with the new normal of domestic and foreign economy at present. This paper analyzes and studies the countermeasures that should be taken in our country.
【學位授予單位】:天津商業(yè)大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F744;F752.7
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