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貿(mào)易協(xié)定對知識溢出影響的實證研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-01-16 01:32

  本文關(guān)鍵詞:貿(mào)易協(xié)定對知識溢出影響的實證研究 出處:《湖南大學》2015年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文


  更多相關(guān)文章: 貿(mào)易協(xié)定 知識溢出 專利引用 社會網(wǎng)絡分析 引力模型


【摘要】:20紀90年代以來,經(jīng)濟區(qū)域化逐漸成為經(jīng)濟全球化的主導趨勢,區(qū)域貿(mào)易協(xié)定(RTA)數(shù)量增速加快。近年來,越來越多的學者加入到對貿(mào)易協(xié)定的研究當中來,但現(xiàn)存的研究大多集中于貿(mào)易協(xié)定的靜態(tài)效應,比如貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造和貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移,關(guān)于貿(mào)易協(xié)定的動態(tài)效應的研究只在少數(shù)文獻中提及。貿(mào)易協(xié)議成為國家間社會關(guān)系動態(tài)改變的一項重要表征,其對世界貿(mào)易格局的改變以及進一步對知識溢出的影響越來越受到關(guān)注。本文主要對貿(mào)易協(xié)定對知識溢出的影響機制進行推測和驗證。在前人研究的基礎上,我們總結(jié)分析了貿(mào)易協(xié)定對知識溢出的影響機制,認為貿(mào)易協(xié)定通過國家間社會距離的改變來影響他們之間的知識溢出。我們利用社會網(wǎng)絡分析方法來研究1991-2014年在世界貿(mào)易組織WTO登記的正在生效的貿(mào)易協(xié)定,并通過密度、中心性和核心邊緣分析三個維度來界定每個國家在全球區(qū)域貿(mào)易協(xié)定網(wǎng)絡中的位置。我們發(fā)現(xiàn),由于貿(mào)易協(xié)定簽訂的熱潮,世界區(qū)域貿(mào)易協(xié)定呈現(xiàn)出以歐盟、北美和新崛起的東亞地區(qū)三足鼎立的網(wǎng)絡格局。在計量分析中,我們用專利的引用來追蹤知識溢出的軌跡,利用1991-2002年60個國家的專利引用面板數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建以一個引力模型。根據(jù)數(shù)據(jù)的特點,我們構(gòu)建了零膨脹負二項模型,分兩步對貿(mào)易協(xié)定對知識溢出的影響進行驗證,研究結(jié)果表明:(1)在全球區(qū)域貿(mào)易協(xié)定網(wǎng)絡中所處的協(xié)議強度越高的國家,他們之間的專利引用越高,也就是知識溢出效應越明顯;(2)在美國專利商標局被授予專利數(shù)量越高的國家,越傾向于和其他國家之間進行專利引用,國家間的知識溢出效應越強。這兩個結(jié)論從兩個角度證明了國家本身知識創(chuàng)新的能力和國家在國際貿(mào)易網(wǎng)絡中地位的高低,影響了其從知識溢出中獲利的能力。此外,研究還發(fā)現(xiàn),地理距離在一定程度上阻礙了知識在國家之間的溢出。
[Abstract]:Since 90s of the 20th century, economic regionalization has gradually become the dominant trend of economic globalization, and the number of regional trade agreements (RTAs) has increased rapidly in recent years. More and more scholars join in the study of trade agreements, but most of the existing studies focus on the static effects of trade agreements, such as trade creation and trade transfer. The research on the dynamic effects of trade agreements is only mentioned in a few literatures. Trade agreements have become an important symbol of the dynamic change of social relations between countries. More and more attention has been paid to the change of world trade pattern and the further influence on knowledge spillover. This paper mainly speculates and verifies the influence mechanism of trade agreement on knowledge spillover. On the basis of previous studies. We summarize and analyze the impact mechanism of trade agreements on knowledge spillover. It is believed that trade agreements affect knowledge spillover between countries through the change of social distance between them. We use the social network analysis method to study the positive registration of WTO in the World Trade Organization from 1991 to 2014. In force in a trade agreement. And through the density, centrality and core edge analysis of three dimensions to define each country in the global regional trade agreement network. World regional trade agreements (RTAs) show a three-pronged network pattern of EU, North America and emerging East Asia. In the econometric analysis, we use patent references to track the path of knowledge spillover. Based on the patent reference panel data of 60 countries from 1991 to 2002, a gravitational model is constructed. According to the characteristics of the data, we construct a zero expansion negative binomial model. In two steps to verify the impact of trade agreements on knowledge spillover, the results show that the higher the agreement intensity in the global regional trade agreement network, the higher the patent citation between them. That is, the more obvious the spillover effect of knowledge is; The higher the number of patents granted by the United States Patent Trademark Office, the more likely it is to make patent citations with other countries. These two conclusions prove the ability of knowledge innovation and the status of countries in the international trade network from two angles. In addition, it is found that geographical distance hinders the spillover of knowledge between countries to some extent.
【學位授予單位】:湖南大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F744;F746

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