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基于動(dòng)態(tài)視角中國(guó)制造業(yè)貿(mào)易條件與比較優(yōu)勢(shì)關(guān)系的研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-11 05:06

  本文關(guān)鍵詞:基于動(dòng)態(tài)視角中國(guó)制造業(yè)貿(mào)易條件與比較優(yōu)勢(shì)關(guān)系的研究 出處:《南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


  更多相關(guān)文章: 中國(guó)制造業(yè) 貿(mào)易條件 動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì) 比較優(yōu)勢(shì)動(dòng)態(tài)能力


【摘要】:隨著中國(guó)制成品貿(mào)易量的快速增長(zhǎng),中國(guó)制造業(yè)貿(mào)易條件的變化趨勢(shì)如何以及中國(guó)貿(mào)易條件是惡化還是改善等問(wèn)題引起了眾多學(xué)者的關(guān)注。此外,中國(guó)雖貴為出口大國(guó),但卻不是貿(mào)易強(qiáng)國(guó)。有學(xué)者質(zhì)疑中國(guó)是否陷入了比較優(yōu)勢(shì)陷阱”。對(duì)此,許多學(xué)者開(kāi)始研究動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì),他們認(rèn)為一國(guó)的比較優(yōu)勢(shì)在長(zhǎng)期是動(dòng)態(tài)變化的,一國(guó)想要在國(guó)際市場(chǎng)中獲得更多的貿(mào)易利益,必須遵循動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)。因此研究中國(guó)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的動(dòng)態(tài)變化趨勢(shì),以及中國(guó)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的動(dòng)態(tài)性與中國(guó)制造業(yè)貿(mào)易條件之間的關(guān)系很有意義。衡量一國(guó)的貿(mào)易條件,一般采用價(jià)格貿(mào)易條件指數(shù)、收入貿(mào)易條件指數(shù)和要素貿(mào)易條件指數(shù),本文首先對(duì)這三大指標(biāo)進(jìn)行了簡(jiǎn)單概述。分析動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)理論時(shí),本文先根據(jù)已有的研究對(duì)動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)理論進(jìn)行了界定。繼而建立動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)理論模型,從生產(chǎn)要素、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新和規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)三個(gè)方面分析比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的動(dòng)態(tài)性。在分析貿(mào)易條件變動(dòng)與比較優(yōu)勢(shì)動(dòng)態(tài)化關(guān)系時(shí),文章建立了兩個(gè)理論模型,首先是貿(mào)易條件確定模型,通過(guò)模型推導(dǎo)得出三大貿(mào)易條件指數(shù)變化與比較優(yōu)勢(shì)動(dòng)態(tài)化因素密切相關(guān)。其次是貿(mào)易條件變動(dòng)模型,假定發(fā)展中國(guó)家和發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家在長(zhǎng)期發(fā)展中比較優(yōu)勢(shì)發(fā)生了轉(zhuǎn)變,比較優(yōu)勢(shì)優(yōu)勢(shì)變動(dòng)之后的結(jié)果是發(fā)展中國(guó)家的價(jià)格貿(mào)易條件與初始狀態(tài)相比惡化了,但收入貿(mào)易條件和要素貿(mào)易條件卻能得到改善。根據(jù)第二章的理論模型,文章選取1990-2013年中國(guó)制造業(yè)進(jìn)出口額測(cè)算中國(guó)制造業(yè)貿(mào)易條件變動(dòng)趨勢(shì),測(cè)定結(jié)果顯示中國(guó)制造業(yè)的貿(mào)易條件在過(guò)去24年整體上得到了改善。在分析中國(guó)制造業(yè)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)現(xiàn)狀時(shí),選取了顯性比較優(yōu)勢(shì)指標(biāo)、拉菲指數(shù)和產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)專業(yè)化指標(biāo),計(jì)算結(jié)果表明中國(guó)制造業(yè)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)逐年上升。通過(guò)繪圖發(fā)現(xiàn)中國(guó)制造業(yè)的貿(mào)易條件指數(shù)與比較優(yōu)勢(shì)指數(shù)基本呈顯性關(guān)系。第四章建立了比較優(yōu)勢(shì)動(dòng)態(tài)能力評(píng)價(jià)體系分析中國(guó)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)動(dòng)態(tài)能力,計(jì)算結(jié)果表明,中國(guó)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)動(dòng)態(tài)能力在勞動(dòng)力稟賦優(yōu)勢(shì)、資本稟賦優(yōu)勢(shì)、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新優(yōu)勢(shì)和規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)優(yōu)勢(shì)的拉動(dòng)下呈上升趨勢(shì)。通過(guò)實(shí)證分析,表明提高中國(guó)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)動(dòng)態(tài)能力能改善中國(guó)制造業(yè)貿(mào)易條件,兩者之間成正相關(guān)關(guān)系。最后本文根據(jù)全文分析結(jié)果結(jié)合中國(guó)實(shí)際情況從從要素稟賦、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新和規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)三個(gè)方面提出了相關(guān)政策建。
[Abstract]:With the rapid growth of China's manufacturing trade volume, the changing trend of China's manufacturing terms of trade and the deterioration or improvement of China's terms of trade have attracted the attention of many scholars. Although China is an expensive export country, it is not a trade power. Some scholars question whether China has fallen into the trap of comparative advantage. "in this regard, many scholars have begun to study dynamic comparative advantage. They believe that a country's comparative advantage is dynamic in the long run, and that if a country wants to gain more trade benefits in the international market, it must follow the dynamic comparative advantage. The relationship between the dynamic nature of China's comparative advantage and the terms of trade of China's manufacturing industry is very meaningful. The terms of trade of a country are generally measured by the price terms of trade index. Income terms of trade index and factor terms of trade index, this paper first briefly summarized these three indicators, when analyzing the dynamic comparative advantage theory. In this paper, the dynamic comparative advantage theory is defined according to the existing research, and then the dynamic comparative advantage theory model is established from the production factors. This paper analyzes the dynamic nature of comparative advantage from three aspects of technological innovation and scale economy. When analyzing the dynamic relationship between the change of terms of trade and the dynamic of comparative advantage, this paper establishes two theoretical models, first of all, the deterministic model of terms of trade. It is concluded that the three major terms of trade index changes are closely related to the dynamic factors of comparative advantage, followed by the terms of trade change model. Assuming that the comparative advantage of both developing and developed countries has changed in the long term, the result of the change in comparative advantage is that the price terms of trade of developing countries have deteriorated compared with the initial state. However, the terms of trade and the terms of trade of factors can be improved. This paper calculates the change trend of the terms of trade of China's manufacturing industry from 1990 to 2013. The results show that the terms of trade of China's manufacturing industry have improved in the past 24 years. In the analysis of the current situation of comparative advantage of Chinese manufacturing industry, the dominant comparative advantage index is selected. The Lafite Index and Intra-industry specialization indicators. The calculated results show that the comparative advantage of Chinese manufacturing industry is increasing year by year. It is found by drawing that the terms of trade index and comparative advantage index of Chinese manufacturing industry are basically dominant. Chapter 4th establishes the comparative advantage dynamic ability evaluation body. The dynamic capability of China's comparative advantage is analyzed. The results show that China's comparative advantage dynamic ability is on the rise under the pull of labor endowment advantage, capital endowment advantage, technological innovation advantage and scale economy advantage. It shows that improving the dynamic capability of China's comparative advantage can improve the terms of trade of China's manufacturing industry, and there is a positive correlation between the two. Finally, according to the results of the full-text analysis and the actual situation of China, this paper starts from the factor endowment. Three aspects of technological innovation and scale economy are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F424;F752.6

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