本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國(guó)制造業(yè)進(jìn)口資本品的質(zhì)量及其技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)研究　出處：《華東師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的不斷加深,在新的國(guó)際產(chǎn)業(yè)和貿(mào)易格局下,經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)和制造業(yè)國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的提高,必須依靠技術(shù)進(jìn)步的推動(dòng)。在開放經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境下發(fā)展中國(guó)家進(jìn)口高質(zhì)量的資本品能快速有效地提高國(guó)內(nèi)機(jī)械設(shè)備的裝備水平,進(jìn)而影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),提高勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率,產(chǎn)生顯著的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)。相關(guān)研究對(duì)質(zhì)量提升型技術(shù)進(jìn)步和資本品技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的關(guān)注較少,隨著近年來(lái)資本品進(jìn)口規(guī)模逐漸擴(kuò)大,研究進(jìn)口資本品質(zhì)量以及對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)制造業(yè)技術(shù)進(jìn)步的作用對(duì)于進(jìn)一步優(yōu)化中國(guó)的貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)、實(shí)現(xiàn)制造業(yè)技術(shù)升級(jí)具有重要意義。本文首先梳理了進(jìn)口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出的經(jīng)典理論及模型,進(jìn)而分析進(jìn)口資本品技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的作用方式及影響因素。實(shí)證分析部分,本文選擇美國(guó)、德國(guó)和日本這三個(gè)中國(guó)進(jìn)口資本品最主要來(lái)源國(guó)作為研究對(duì)象。先使用嵌套Logit模型,結(jié)合2000年至2013年的貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)算出中國(guó)從美、德、日三國(guó)進(jìn)口資本品的產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量指數(shù)。在此基礎(chǔ)上,本文使用面板數(shù)據(jù)和固定效應(yīng)方法實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)進(jìn)口資本品技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng),并引入國(guó)內(nèi)研發(fā)投入、行業(yè)利潤(rùn)率、人力資本、貿(mào)易開放度等控制變量。實(shí)證結(jié)果顯示,中國(guó)從美、德、日三國(guó)進(jìn)口資本品的整體質(zhì)量較高且基本處于增長(zhǎng)趨勢(shì)。從美國(guó)進(jìn)口資本品質(zhì)量相對(duì)最高,各國(guó)家高質(zhì)量資本品分布行業(yè)不同。其中,美國(guó)電子及通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)、專用設(shè)備制造業(yè)、交通運(yùn)輸設(shè)備制造業(yè)三個(gè)行業(yè)的資本品質(zhì)量較高,德國(guó)交通運(yùn)輸設(shè)備制造業(yè)和專用設(shè)備制造業(yè)的資本品質(zhì)量較高,日本的專用設(shè)備制造業(yè)、通用設(shè)備制造業(yè)的資本品質(zhì)量較高。中國(guó)從美、德、日三國(guó)進(jìn)口資本品的產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量對(duì)于全要素生產(chǎn)率有顯著的促進(jìn)作用,進(jìn)口美國(guó)資本品的技術(shù)溢出效果最強(qiáng),德國(guó)次之,日本相對(duì)較低。自主研發(fā)與行業(yè)利潤(rùn)率對(duì)全要素生產(chǎn)率產(chǎn)生顯著正向作用,人力資本和貿(mào)易開放度的作用不明顯。最后,本文總結(jié)研究結(jié)果,并提出相應(yīng)的政策建議,主要包括:鼓勵(lì)高質(zhì)量資本品的進(jìn)口貿(mào)易,落實(shí)推動(dòng)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易的相關(guān)政策。以及加強(qiáng)自身技術(shù)溢出的吸收能力,加大研發(fā)投入;提高人力資本水平,實(shí)現(xiàn)有效率的自主創(chuàng)新等。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of economic globalization, under the new international industrial and trade pattern, the sustained growth of the economy and the improvement of the international competitiveness of manufacturing industry. It is necessary to rely on the promotion of technological progress. Under the open economic environment, developing countries can quickly and effectively improve the equipment level of domestic machinery and equipment by importing high-quality capital goods, thus affecting the industrial structure. To improve labor productivity and produce significant technology spillover effect. The related research on the quality improvement technology progress and capital goods technology spillover effect is less concerned with the capital goods import scale gradually expanded in recent years. To study the effect of the quality of imported capital goods and the technical progress of domestic manufacturing industry on the further optimization of China's trade structure. It is of great significance to realize the technological upgrading of manufacturing industry. Firstly, this paper combs the classical theory and model of technology spillover of import trade. Then analyzes the impact of technology spillover effect of imported capital goods and its influencing factors. Empirical analysis part, this paper chooses the United States. Germany and Japan, the three most important source countries of Chinese capital goods, were studied. First, the nested Logit model was used to calculate China's trade data from the United States and Germany from 2000 to 2013. On this basis, this paper uses panel data and fixed effect method to empirically test the technology spillover effect of imported capital goods, and introduce domestic R & D investment and industry profit margin. The empirical results show that the overall quality of capital goods imported from the United States, Germany and Japan is relatively high and basically in the trend of growth. The quality of capital goods imported from the United States is relatively highest. The distribution of high quality capital goods varies from country to country. Among them, the American electronic and communication equipment manufacturing industry, the special equipment manufacturing industry and the transportation equipment manufacturing industry have higher capital goods quality. The quality of capital goods in transport equipment manufacturing and special equipment manufacturing in Germany is higher than that in special equipment manufacturing in Japan and in general equipment manufacturing. China is from the United States and Germany. The product quality of imported capital goods in Japan and Japan has a significant promoting effect on total factor productivity, and the technology spillover effect of imported capital goods from the United States is the strongest, followed by Germany. Japan is relatively low. Independent R & D and industry profit margins have a significant positive effect on total factor productivity, but the role of human capital and trade openness is not obvious. Finally, this paper summarizes the research results. And put forward the corresponding policy recommendations, including: to encourage the import of high-quality capital goods, to implement the relevant policies to promote import trade, and to strengthen their own technology spillover absorption capacity, increase R & D investment; Improve the level of human capital to achieve efficient independent innovation and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華東師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F424;F752.61

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