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貨幣國際化過程中國際金融中心的作用

發(fā)布時間:2019-06-29 08:45
【摘要】:人民幣國際化的提法起源于上世紀90年代,近十幾年來,隨著中國經(jīng)濟的不斷發(fā)展,以及我國對外經(jīng)貿(mào)往來的日益加深,國內(nèi)外對于人民幣國際化呼聲日益高漲。對于人民幣國際化的發(fā)展,學術(shù)界的各種觀點都強調(diào)了金融深化和發(fā)展以及金融中心對于建立國際貨幣的重要性。從歷史上來看,一個國家或地區(qū)的貨幣的國際地位與該國或地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟實力與金融發(fā)展程度有著很強的關(guān)系,美元、日元以及后來的歐元的國際化發(fā)展都離不開金融發(fā)展和國際金融中心的強力支持。對于我國而言,在推動人民幣國際化的過程中,建立起一個以上海為核心的國際金融中心是十分必要的。 基于現(xiàn)狀,本文研究的核心內(nèi)容是研究國際金融中心在貨幣國際化的過程中所起到的作用。本文從內(nèi)容上,可以分為四個部分,第一部分:通過對經(jīng)典理論的圖示解析和重新解讀對國際金融中心和貨幣國際化協(xié)同發(fā)展的理論進行了梳理,并總結(jié)貨幣國際化的生命周期以對本文后續(xù)的論述提供理論基礎。第二部分:從美元、日元、歐元的國際化過程與紐約、東京以及歐洲的各個金融中心的協(xié)同發(fā)展出發(fā),通過三個不同的實證案例,分析了貨幣國際化通過國際金融中心的發(fā)展所得到的收益與成本,并指出了金融深化在貨幣國際化中所起到的作用及其所帶來的收益。第三部分:從上文的論述聯(lián)系我國的實際情況,從上海國際金融中心建設角度討論其對于人民幣國際化的作用。第四部分:通過格蘭杰因果檢驗分析和面板數(shù)據(jù)模型分析,結(jié)合近16年的數(shù)據(jù),總結(jié)了美元、英鎊、日元、歐元四種貨幣的國際化發(fā)展中金融中心發(fā)展指標在其中的重要作用,所得結(jié)論對上文的理論分析進行了支持。 本文的可能的創(chuàng)新點在于首先將經(jīng)典理論進行了發(fā)展并聯(lián)系到論文的主題以將其作為本文的理論基礎,同時發(fā)展了管理學經(jīng)典理論——生命周期理論,將其與論文主題有機結(jié)合起來,此外還在國內(nèi)外學者的實證基礎上將國際金融中心因素加入了既有的貨幣國際化方程中在實證上也有了新的發(fā)展。本文不但從理論上分析了國際金融中心在貨幣國際化中的作用,還通過歐洲、日本、美國的例子分析了通過國際金融中心進行的貨幣國際化的收益成本,最后還使用了計量手段揭示了國際金融中心發(fā)展指標對貨幣國際化的作用,使我們能夠?qū)χ袊谖磥淼陌l(fā)展中如何推動人民幣國際化得到了政策方向。
[Abstract]:The formulation of RMB internationalization originated in the 1990s. In recent years, with the continuous development of China's economy and the deepening of China's foreign economic and trade exchanges, the voice of RMB internationalization at home and abroad is rising day by day. For the development of RMB internationalization, various academic views emphasize the importance of financial deepening and development and financial center for the establishment of international currency. Historically, the international status of the currency of a country or region has a strong relationship with the economic strength and financial development of the country or region. The international development of the US dollar, the yen and later the euro can not be separated from the strong support of the financial development and the international financial center. For our country, in the process of promoting the internationalization of RMB, it is very necessary to establish an international financial center with Shanghai as the core. Based on the present situation, the core content of this paper is to study the role of international financial center in the process of currency internationalization. In terms of content, this paper can be divided into four parts. The first part: through the graphic analysis and reinterpretation of the classical theory, this paper combs the theory of the coordinated development of international financial center and currency internationalization, and summarizes the life cycle of currency internationalization in order to provide a theoretical basis for the follow-up discussion of this paper. The second part: starting from the coordinated development of the internationalization process of US dollar, yen and euro with the financial centers of New York, Tokyo and Europe, through three different empirical cases, this paper analyzes the benefits and costs of monetary internationalization through the development of international financial centers, and points out the role played by financial deepening in monetary internationalization and the benefits it brings. The third part: from the above discussion in connection with the actual situation of our country, from the perspective of the construction of Shanghai International Financial Center to discuss its role in the internationalization of RMB. The fourth part: through Granger causality test analysis and panel data model analysis, combined with the data of nearly 16 years, summarizes the important role of financial center development index in the international development of US dollar, pound sterling, yen and euro, and supports the above theoretical analysis. The possible innovation of this paper lies in the development of classical theory and linking it to the theme of this paper as the theoretical basis of this paper. At the same time, the classical theory of management, life cycle theory, is developed and organically combined with the theme of the thesis. In addition, on the basis of the empirical evidence of scholars at home and abroad, the international financial center factor has been added to the existing monetary internationalization equation. This paper not only theoretically analyzes the role of international financial center in currency internationalization, but also analyzes the income cost of currency internationalization through the examples of Europe, Japan and the United States, and finally reveals the role of international financial center development index on currency internationalization by means of measurement. So that we can get a policy direction on how to promote RMB internationalization in China's future development.
【學位授予單位】:東華大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F832.6

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