關(guān)于影子銀行對(duì)商業(yè)銀行滲透所潛在的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的思考
[Abstract]:Over the past few years, shadow banking has developed rapidly in our country, expanding the liquidity of society to a large extent. High-risk, high-yield shadow banks' high profits also seduce commercial banks. The products and methods of shadow bank infiltration into commercial banks are mainly reflected in the cooperation between banks and credit and the sale of wealth management products in the name of entrusted loans, the transfer of credit assets, the cash settlement through bills, and the entry of financing assets into the bank financial assets pool, and so on. Although from another point of view, this can be seen as a financial innovation, to a certain extent, expanding intermediate business revenue, It makes up for the bottleneck of bank credit business expansion due to macro-monetary policy and industry scale control and other external constraints. But at the same time, due to the emergence of shadow banking, to a certain extent, it has affected the effective allocation of financial resources, so that some excess liquidity has evaded supervision, and has played a counteracting role in the tightening macro policy of the central bank. For commercial banks, there are potential systemic risks and reputation risks. In this paper, through a simple analysis of the liquidity problem, Through the study of the development of financial products of commercial banks, which is the most common business in commercial banks in recent years, the close degree of shadow banks and commercial banks is seen by studying the development of financial products of commercial banks with the most common penetration of shadow banks in recent years. In addition, through in-depth analysis of the income of 13 listed banks to reveal the increase in net profit of banks in the proportion of non-interest income is increasing. The structure of its income is being adjusted. On the face of it, it is a kind of benign profit structure adjustment, but there are many potential risks worthy of our thinking. Through the issuance of wealth management products, a lot of assets have been externalized. Excessive development, because of profit effect, banks will become more and more dependent on non-interest income when the spread between deposit and loan becomes smaller and smaller. There are no commercial banks to pay reserves, maintain capital adequacy ratio, size restrictions and other constraints. His ultimate financier is a trust or other institution, not a commercial bank, which serves only as a sales channel. The adjustment of bank income structure is not a kind of real structural optimization and management level improvement, and the evaluation of product risk becomes weaker because the issuer is not a bank, and even weakens the risk evaluation. In the event of problems, the rights and interests of buyers cannot be guaranteed and the reputation of commercial banks is affected. Through normative analysis, statistical analysis to quantitative analysis of shadow banks in the penetration of commercial banks risk research. The conclusion of this paper is that the existing accounting standards can not quantitatively estimate the potential risk of off-balance-sheet business such as wealth management products, and improve the credit risk cost of off-balance-sheet assets by drawing lessons from the Basle Agreement and measuring the risk weight in the table. It is suggested that the supervision system of our commercial banks' off-balance sheet products and financial innovation products should be improved, the default cost of some banks' off-balance sheet assets should be raised, and the investment direction of the products sold at different risk levels should also be more clearly defined. And make clear its influence degree to the income under the various factors change. At the same time, we will speed up the marketization of interest rates.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F832.3
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