基于MS模型的中國FDI變化路徑的動態(tài)特征研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-10-14 10:50
【摘要】:通過建立兩狀態(tài)的馬爾科夫區(qū)制轉(zhuǎn)換(MS)模型,刻畫了1997.01—2010.11期間中國FDI變化路徑的動態(tài)特征。實證分析結(jié)果表明,在近10多年的發(fā)展歷程中,中國FDI擴張狀態(tài)的平均持續(xù)期約為2.902個月,FDI收縮狀態(tài)平均持續(xù)期約為3.6832個月,而且FDI的擴張與收縮的交替頻率較高,FDI經(jīng)歷了短暫的擴張(收縮)狀態(tài)之后又迅速進入收縮(擴張)狀態(tài)。中國FDI變化路徑的狀態(tài)交替特征可能受到全球FDI的流動趨勢、中國的知識產(chǎn)權(quán)保護力度以及引資政策的影響。
[Abstract]:By establishing a two-state Markov region transition (MS) model, the dynamic characteristics of the path of FDI variation in China during 1997.01-2010.11 are described. The results of empirical analysis show that the average duration of FDI expansion in China is about 2.902 months, and the average duration of FDI contraction is about 3.6832 months in the last 10 years. Moreover, the alternating frequency of expansion and contraction of FDI is higher. FDI experienced a brief state of expansion (contraction) and then rapidly entered the state of contraction (expansion). The state alternation of China's FDI path may be influenced by the global FDI flow trend, China's intellectual property rights protection and foreign investment policies.
【作者單位】: 山西大學(xué)數(shù)學(xué)科學(xué)學(xué)院;山西大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:教育部人文社會科學(xué)重點研究基地2006年度重大項目(06JJD79004)
【分類號】:F832.6;F224
[Abstract]:By establishing a two-state Markov region transition (MS) model, the dynamic characteristics of the path of FDI variation in China during 1997.01-2010.11 are described. The results of empirical analysis show that the average duration of FDI expansion in China is about 2.902 months, and the average duration of FDI contraction is about 3.6832 months in the last 10 years. Moreover, the alternating frequency of expansion and contraction of FDI is higher. FDI experienced a brief state of expansion (contraction) and then rapidly entered the state of contraction (expansion). The state alternation of China's FDI path may be influenced by the global FDI flow trend, China's intellectual property rights protection and foreign investment policies.
【作者單位】: 山西大學(xué)數(shù)學(xué)科學(xué)學(xué)院;山西大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:教育部人文社會科學(xué)重點研究基地2006年度重大項目(06JJD79004)
【分類號】:F832.6;F224
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