東亞區(qū)域匯率協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)制的構(gòu)建——基于不同匯率制度下名義有效匯率穩(wěn)定性的比較
發(fā)布時間:2018-06-29 06:14
本文選題:貨幣合作 + 錨貨幣; 參考:《經(jīng)濟(jì)經(jīng)緯》2012年05期
【摘要】:筆者通過情景實(shí)驗(yàn)?zāi)M出東亞各國貨幣在釘住美元、釘住G3貨幣、釘住AMU、釘住G3+1等不同匯率制度下的貿(mào)易加權(quán)名義有效匯率,在考察其穩(wěn)定性的基礎(chǔ)上對東亞區(qū)域匯率協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)制進(jìn)行構(gòu)建。東亞各國(除中國、日本外)在各自貨幣籃子區(qū)域內(nèi)核心貨幣的選擇中,可以考慮將人民幣作為錨貨幣之一,而且人民幣的權(quán)重逐漸遞增;待條件成熟后,區(qū)域內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)、貿(mào)易、投資聯(lián)系較為緊密的次區(qū)域可以考慮采用釘住共同貨幣籃子匯率制度,條件完備時在全區(qū)域內(nèi)推行共同貨幣籃子制度。在匯率協(xié)調(diào)的不同階段,人民幣都將發(fā)揮重要作用。
[Abstract]:The author simulates the trade-weighted nominal effective exchange rate of East Asian countries under different exchange rate regimes, such as dollar peg, G3 currency peg, AMU peg, G31 exchange rate pegging, etc. On the basis of investigating its stability, the paper constructs the regional exchange rate coordination mechanism in East Asia. The East Asian countries (except China and Japan) may consider using RMB as one of the anchor currencies in their choice of core currencies in their respective currency basket regions, and the weight of the renminbi will gradually increase; after the conditions are ripe, the regional economy and trade can be considered. The sub-regions with close investment ties may consider the use of the common currency basket exchange rate system and the implementation of the common currency basket system in the whole region when the conditions are complete. In the different stages of exchange rate coordination, the RMB will play an important role.
【作者單位】: 新疆財經(jīng)大學(xué)金融學(xué)院;武漢大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院博士后流動站;中國華融資產(chǎn)管理公司博士后工作站;
【基金】:中央財經(jīng)大學(xué)金融學(xué)院211三期項(xiàng)目
【分類號】:F832.6
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條
1 小川英治,姚枝仲;論釘住一籃子貨幣的匯率制度[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì);2004年06期
【共引文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
1 孫勇;;東亞匯率協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)制與中國的理性選擇[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究導(dǎo)刊;2007年01期
2 趙進(jìn)文;高輝;y囋起,
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