發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-16 20:52

  本文選題：貨幣合作　切入點(diǎn)：最優(yōu)貨幣區(qū)　出處：《天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近幾年來,美國所積極推動(dòng)的“跨太平洋戰(zhàn)略經(jīng)濟(jì)伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)定”(TPP)力圖助其進(jìn)一步深入亞太地區(qū),從而削弱中國在此區(qū)域日益增強(qiáng)的影響力。鑒于此,中國迫切需要一個(gè)能夠主導(dǎo)其中的地區(qū)性經(jīng)濟(jì)組織來應(yīng)對這場挑戰(zhàn),而東亞地區(qū)貨幣合作無疑是中國維護(hù)自身經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易安全、抵御國際風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的有力武器。但如今東亞貨幣合作仍然停留在初級層面上,在向更高層次合作的動(dòng)力上略顯不足,這其中的一個(gè)重要原因就是缺少內(nèi)部貨幣錨的支撐。歐洲貨幣一體化進(jìn)程中一個(gè)具有里程碑意義的做法就是把德國馬克作為歐元區(qū)的貨幣錨,即把關(guān)鍵貨幣作為區(qū)域貨幣錨,這給于東亞貨幣合作以重要啟示。這次全球金融危機(jī)之后,中國以雄厚的經(jīng)濟(jì)基礎(chǔ)、開放的國際化程度以及穩(wěn)定的幣值逐漸使人民幣成為東亞的核心貨幣之一,人民幣已經(jīng)具備成為東亞地區(qū)貨幣錨的潛力與實(shí)力。在此地區(qū),相對于主要競爭對手日元,人民幣具有更穩(wěn)定的通貨膨脹率與匯率波動(dòng)水平,無論對內(nèi)還是對外幣值都是十分穩(wěn)定的。另外,東亞貨幣中與人民幣保持較高相關(guān)度的貨幣持續(xù)增多,人民幣在東亞地區(qū)的聲譽(yù)不斷升高并且獲得了相當(dāng)多國家(地區(qū))的認(rèn)可。本文首先分析了人民幣成為東亞地區(qū)貨幣錨所面臨的背景及研究意義、研究方法,在綜述了國內(nèi)外文獻(xiàn)后提出本文的研究思路和研究方法。區(qū)域貨幣錨理論成為研究東亞地區(qū)貨幣錨的指導(dǎo)性觀點(diǎn),在此基礎(chǔ)上進(jìn)一步探討東亞建立區(qū)域貨幣錨的現(xiàn)實(shí)條件、制約因素,并通過借鑒歐元區(qū)的經(jīng)驗(yàn)得出東亞如何建立地區(qū)貨幣錨的核心問題。中國飛速發(fā)展的經(jīng)濟(jì)水平、充足的外匯儲(chǔ)備、不斷深化的國際化程度等為人民幣的貨幣錨地位創(chuàng)造了堅(jiān)實(shí)的外部基礎(chǔ),而人民幣本身又具有較強(qiáng)的穩(wěn)定性,人民幣已經(jīng)具備成為東亞錨貨幣的可行性。因此,中國應(yīng)該充分利用自身在貿(mào)易、產(chǎn)業(yè)等方面的優(yōu)勢推進(jìn)人民幣區(qū)域化進(jìn)程,不斷提高國內(nèi)金融市場的發(fā)展深度,正確處理人民幣區(qū)域化進(jìn)程中面臨的重要關(guān)系,為人民幣的區(qū)域化貨幣錨進(jìn)程鋪平道路。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP), actively promoted by the United States, has sought to help it reach further into the Asia-Pacific region, thereby weakening China's growing influence in the region. China urgently needs a regional economic organization that can take the lead to meet this challenge, and East Asian monetary cooperation is undoubtedly China's maintenance of its own economic and trade security. A powerful weapon against international risk. But today, monetary cooperation in East Asia is still at the primary level, and there is a slight lack of momentum to move to a higher level of cooperation. An important reason for this is the lack of support from internal currency anchors. A landmark approach in the European monetary integration process was to use the German mark as the currency anchor for the euro zone, that is, the key currency as the regional currency anchor. After the global financial crisis, China gradually became one of the core currencies of East Asia with a solid economic foundation, open internationalization and stable currency value. The RMB already has the potential and strength to become a currency anchor in East Asia. In this region, the RMB has a more stable inflation rate and exchange rate fluctuations than its main competitor, the Japanese yen. The value of both internal and external currencies is very stable. In addition, the number of East Asian currencies that maintain a high degree of correlation with the RMB continues to increase. The reputation of RMB in East Asia is rising and it has been recognized by quite a lot of countries (regions). This paper first analyzes the background and research significance of RMB as currency anchor in East Asia, and the research methods. After summarizing the literature at home and abroad, the paper puts forward the research ideas and methods of this paper. The theory of regional monetary anchor has become the guiding point of view for the study of monetary anchor in East Asia, and on this basis, the practical conditions for establishing regional monetary anchor in East Asia are further discussed. Constraints, and by drawing lessons from the experience of the euro zone, the core problem of how to establish a regional currency anchor in East Asia has been drawn. China's rapidly developing economic level, adequate foreign exchange reserves, The deepening degree of internationalization has created a solid external foundation for the currency Anchorage of the RMB, while the RMB itself has strong stability, and the RMB has already become the anchor currency of East Asia. China should make full use of its advantages in trade and industry to push forward the process of RMB regionalization, continuously improve the depth of development of domestic financial markets, and correctly handle the important relations faced in the process of RMB regionalization. Pave the way for the regionalization of the renminbi currency anchor process.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.6

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