發(fā)達(dá)國家再工業(yè)化戰(zhàn)略對我國制造業(yè)國際競爭力的影響研究
發(fā)布時間：2019-05-18 07:57
【摘要】：2007年國際社會爆發(fā)了嚴(yán)重的金融危機，美國、歐盟等發(fā)達(dá)國家紛紛提出“再工業(yè)化”戰(zhàn)略，，重新關(guān)注實體經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展，將重振制造業(yè)上升至重要的國家戰(zhàn)略層面。該戰(zhàn)略從本質(zhì)上講，是發(fā)達(dá)國家轉(zhuǎn)移經(jīng)濟發(fā)展重心的過程，是以先進制造業(yè)為主體的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整過程，是一個持續(xù)創(chuàng)新的過程。發(fā)達(dá)國家“再工業(yè)化”戰(zhàn)略正逐漸對世界經(jīng)濟格局和國際貿(mào)易秩序產(chǎn)生影響，而中國作為一個外貿(mào)依存度與外資依存度均較高的制造業(yè)大國，也必將在后危機時代面臨該戰(zhàn)略帶來的機遇與挑戰(zhàn)。探討發(fā)達(dá)國家“再工業(yè)化”戰(zhàn)略對我國制造業(yè)國際競爭力的影響，對我國制造業(yè)在未來的發(fā)展具有現(xiàn)實的借鑒與啟示意義。 在產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競爭力研究理論的基礎(chǔ)上，本文分析了發(fā)達(dá)國家“再工業(yè)化”戰(zhàn)略的實施背景與政策體系，行業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)的分析結(jié)果顯示，該戰(zhàn)略對發(fā)達(dá)國家制造業(yè)的資本流向、就業(yè)情況和出口狀況等方面已經(jīng)產(chǎn)生積極影響。通過對該戰(zhàn)略實施前后我國制造業(yè)發(fā)展情況的比較分析，歸納出該戰(zhàn)略對我國制造業(yè)國際競爭力的影響路徑，即該戰(zhàn)略主要是通過科技優(yōu)勢、貿(mào)易環(huán)境、外商直接投資與匯率四條路徑對我國制造業(yè)國際競爭力產(chǎn)生影響。 本文利用面板數(shù)據(jù)從外商直接投資、匯率、勞動力成本三個角度對上述影響路徑進行了實證檢驗，實證結(jié)果表明，發(fā)達(dá)國家“再工業(yè)化”戰(zhàn)略通過外商直接投資與匯率對我國制造業(yè)國際競爭力所產(chǎn)生的影響符合定性分析的結(jié)果，但是就勞動力成本而言，雖然我國制造業(yè)勞動力成本相對處于上升態(tài)勢，但短期內(nèi)該戰(zhàn)略并未對我國制造業(yè)的整體競爭力造成顯著影響。通過構(gòu)建進出口數(shù)據(jù)測算體系，從市場滲透率、顯示性比較優(yōu)勢指數(shù)與可比凈出口指數(shù)三個角度分析了發(fā)達(dá)國家“再工業(yè)化”戰(zhàn)略對我國制造業(yè)分行業(yè)國際競爭力產(chǎn)生的影響，結(jié)果表明，無論是我國低科技含量行業(yè)中的紡織、服裝、鞋類制造業(yè)，還是高科技含量行業(yè)中以加工貿(mào)易出口為主的電子和電力產(chǎn)品制造業(yè)，其國際競爭力受該戰(zhàn)略的沖擊是有限的，說明在短期內(nèi)我國制造業(yè)將仍然保持基于勞動成本的比較優(yōu)勢。但是這并不意味著我們可以輕視發(fā)達(dá)國家“再工業(yè)化”戰(zhàn)略對我國制造業(yè)的影響，從長期來看，發(fā)達(dá)國家的核心目標(biāo)是先進制造業(yè)，因此該戰(zhàn)略對我國制造業(yè)國際競爭力更為重要的影響體現(xiàn)在對先進制造業(yè)的挑戰(zhàn)。根據(jù)前述理論研究與實證研究的結(jié)果，從發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的角度對我國制造業(yè)提出了有實踐性的建議，并單獨針對我國先進制造業(yè)提出了具體的發(fā)展建議。
[Abstract]:In 2007, the international community broke out a serious financial crisis. The United States, the European Union and other developed countries have put forward the strategy of "reindustrialization", pay attention to the development of the real economy again, and will revitalize the manufacturing industry to an important national strategic level. In essence, the strategy is the process of shifting the focus of economic development in developed countries, the process of industrial structure adjustment with advanced manufacturing industry as the main body, and the process of continuous innovation. The strategy of "reindustrialization" in developed countries is gradually having an impact on the world economic pattern and the international trade order. China, as a manufacturing country with high dependence on foreign trade and foreign investment, has a high degree of dependence on foreign trade and foreign investment. It will also face the opportunities and challenges brought about by the strategy in the post-crisis era. This paper probes into the influence of the strategy of "reindustrialization" in developed countries on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry, which has realistic reference and enlightening significance for the development of China's manufacturing industry in the future. On the basis of the research theory of industrial international competitiveness, this paper analyzes the implementation background and policy system of the strategy of "reindustrialization" in developed countries. The results of the analysis of industry data show that the strategy has a capital flow direction to the manufacturing industry of developed countries. The employment situation and export situation have had a positive impact. Through the comparative analysis of the development of China's manufacturing industry before and after the implementation of the strategy, this paper sums up the influence path of the strategy on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry, that is, the strategy is mainly through scientific and technological advantages and trade environment. Foreign direct investment and exchange rate have an impact on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry. This paper makes an empirical test on the above impact paths from three angles of foreign direct investment, exchange rate and labor cost by using panel data. The empirical results show that, The impact of the "reindustrialization" strategy of developed countries on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry through foreign direct investment and exchange rate is in line with the results of qualitative analysis, but as far as labor costs are concerned, Although the labor cost of China's manufacturing industry is relatively on the rise, the strategy has not had a significant impact on the overall competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry in the short term. By constructing the measurement system of import and export data, this paper analyzes the influence of the strategy of "reindustrialization" of developed countries on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing sub-industries from three angles: market permeability, display comparative advantage index and comparable net export index. The results show that whether it is the manufacturing industry of textile, clothing and shoes in the low-tech industry of our country, or the manufacturing industry of electronic and electric products, which is dominated by the export of processing trade in the industry of high-tech content, Its international competitiveness is limited by the strategy, which indicates that China's manufacturing industry will still maintain the comparative advantage based on labor cost in the short term. However, this does not mean that we can despise the impact of the "reindustrialization" strategy of developed countries on China's manufacturing industry. In the long run, the core goal of developed countries is advanced manufacturing industry. Therefore, the more important impact of the strategy on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry is reflected in the challenge to the advanced manufacturing industry. According to the results of the above theoretical research and empirical research, this paper puts forward practical suggestions for China's manufacturing industry from the perspective of development strategy, and puts forward specific development suggestions for China's advanced manufacturing industry.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F414;F424;F752
本文編號：2479813
[Abstract]:In 2007, the international community broke out a serious financial crisis. The United States, the European Union and other developed countries have put forward the strategy of "reindustrialization", pay attention to the development of the real economy again, and will revitalize the manufacturing industry to an important national strategic level. In essence, the strategy is the process of shifting the focus of economic development in developed countries, the process of industrial structure adjustment with advanced manufacturing industry as the main body, and the process of continuous innovation. The strategy of "reindustrialization" in developed countries is gradually having an impact on the world economic pattern and the international trade order. China, as a manufacturing country with high dependence on foreign trade and foreign investment, has a high degree of dependence on foreign trade and foreign investment. It will also face the opportunities and challenges brought about by the strategy in the post-crisis era. This paper probes into the influence of the strategy of "reindustrialization" in developed countries on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry, which has realistic reference and enlightening significance for the development of China's manufacturing industry in the future. On the basis of the research theory of industrial international competitiveness, this paper analyzes the implementation background and policy system of the strategy of "reindustrialization" in developed countries. The results of the analysis of industry data show that the strategy has a capital flow direction to the manufacturing industry of developed countries. The employment situation and export situation have had a positive impact. Through the comparative analysis of the development of China's manufacturing industry before and after the implementation of the strategy, this paper sums up the influence path of the strategy on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry, that is, the strategy is mainly through scientific and technological advantages and trade environment. Foreign direct investment and exchange rate have an impact on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry. This paper makes an empirical test on the above impact paths from three angles of foreign direct investment, exchange rate and labor cost by using panel data. The empirical results show that, The impact of the "reindustrialization" strategy of developed countries on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry through foreign direct investment and exchange rate is in line with the results of qualitative analysis, but as far as labor costs are concerned, Although the labor cost of China's manufacturing industry is relatively on the rise, the strategy has not had a significant impact on the overall competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry in the short term. By constructing the measurement system of import and export data, this paper analyzes the influence of the strategy of "reindustrialization" of developed countries on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing sub-industries from three angles: market permeability, display comparative advantage index and comparable net export index. The results show that whether it is the manufacturing industry of textile, clothing and shoes in the low-tech industry of our country, or the manufacturing industry of electronic and electric products, which is dominated by the export of processing trade in the industry of high-tech content, Its international competitiveness is limited by the strategy, which indicates that China's manufacturing industry will still maintain the comparative advantage based on labor cost in the short term. However, this does not mean that we can despise the impact of the "reindustrialization" strategy of developed countries on China's manufacturing industry. In the long run, the core goal of developed countries is advanced manufacturing industry. Therefore, the more important impact of the strategy on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry is reflected in the challenge to the advanced manufacturing industry. According to the results of the above theoretical research and empirical research, this paper puts forward practical suggestions for China's manufacturing industry from the perspective of development strategy, and puts forward specific development suggestions for China's advanced manufacturing industry.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F414;F424;F752
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