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稀土出口配額最優(yōu)設(shè)計及產(chǎn)業(yè)政策優(yōu)化

發(fā)布時間:2018-09-08 11:04
【摘要】:稀土資源是現(xiàn)代工業(yè)的重要原材料,具有非?捎^的工業(yè)價值和經(jīng)濟價值。我國是最大的稀土出口國,中國稀土產(chǎn)品的一半以上出口國外,占世界市場90%以上的銷售份額。但是,相對穩(wěn)定的市場結(jié)構(gòu)卻未能穩(wěn)定稀土的市場價格,而稀土價格的不穩(wěn)定導(dǎo)致了我國稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)的不健康發(fā)展。這對我國稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的完善,以及整體產(chǎn)業(yè)向產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈高端的升級非常不利。針對這一問題,學(xué)術(shù)界主要著眼于我國稀土出口管制政策,研究其對我國稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展所能產(chǎn)生的各類影響。本文以稀土出口管制政策中的出口配額制度為切入點,理論分析我國稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)對出口配額制度的需求,并通過動態(tài)最優(yōu)化模型解決稀土出口配額的最優(yōu)設(shè)計問題。然后,通過對模型結(jié)果的解讀,對我國現(xiàn)行的出口配額設(shè)計進行簡單評價。最后,根據(jù)以上分析,對我國稀土出口管制政策的完善提出一些建議。 本文結(jié)構(gòu)可分為以下六個章節(jié): 第一章是導(dǎo)言部分,旨在奠定本文的理論基礎(chǔ)與現(xiàn)實基礎(chǔ)。首先通過對現(xiàn)有稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)背景的概述,引出了出口配額設(shè)計問題。然后在明確本文擬解決的問題的基礎(chǔ)上,對相關(guān)領(lǐng)域的研究及文獻做了一定的梳理。同時,簡單介紹了稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)概況。最后,總結(jié)了本文的結(jié)構(gòu)以及可能的創(chuàng)新點。 第二章對現(xiàn)有稀土出口配額設(shè)計的困境進行了分析。分別分析了在低稀土出口配額時期以及高稀土出口配額時期我國稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)所面臨的狀況,引導(dǎo)出我國稀土出口配額最優(yōu)設(shè)計的問題,為之后的模型分析探索了理論價值。 第三章主要分析了稀土產(chǎn)品理想狀態(tài)下的價格,以及理想價格與我國現(xiàn)下稀土產(chǎn)品實際價格的差別,并以此為基礎(chǔ)建立了我國稀土出口配額靜態(tài)最優(yōu)設(shè)計模型。模型目的在于通過對稀土出口配額的合理設(shè)計,短期內(nèi)提高我國稀土產(chǎn)品的整體出口價格,從而保證我國稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)的利益。 第四章基于動態(tài)最優(yōu)化模型探究了出口配額最優(yōu)動態(tài)設(shè)計的問題。首先明確了出口配額最優(yōu)動態(tài)設(shè)計的目的,基于此目的提出了通過控制稀土出口配額保證稀土廠商長期收益最大化這一經(jīng)濟問題。然后選擇動態(tài)最優(yōu)化模型,解出了出口配額最優(yōu)設(shè)計的路徑。 第五章主要對前文模型分析中的部分內(nèi)容進行了補充,并提出相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)政策優(yōu)化的建議。其中主要可分為以下三個部分。第一部分是對動態(tài)模型中,對世界稀土市場結(jié)構(gòu)的判斷。第二部分研究了在不同的稀土市場結(jié)構(gòu)下,動態(tài)模型的設(shè)計結(jié)果相應(yīng)的變化。第三部分是結(jié)合現(xiàn)下我國稀土市場整體情況,探討動態(tài)模型的設(shè)計結(jié)果對我國稀土出口配額設(shè)計思路的指示作用。 第六章在前文的基礎(chǔ)上,對當(dāng)前稀土出口管制政策的不足之處提出了一些建議。在現(xiàn)有稀土出口管制政策基礎(chǔ)上,政府應(yīng)該加強對稀土產(chǎn)品的分類管理,嚴厲打擊稀土走私,推廣稀土高端應(yīng)用,以完善我國稀土出口管制政策,保證稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)健康發(fā)展。 本文的可能創(chuàng)新點主要包括: 1.本文以出口配額為特定視角對中國稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)出口管制政策作了專門研究,F(xiàn)有的文獻大多聚焦在我國稀土產(chǎn)品國際定價權(quán)之上,,較少去專門研究我國政府實施的出口配額這一政策措施。而本文通過梳理分析我國稀土產(chǎn)業(yè)對出口配額的需求以及最優(yōu)配額的設(shè)計問題,提出我國出口配額設(shè)計中需要考慮的理論思路。 2.本文構(gòu)思并求解了基于動態(tài)最優(yōu)化的出口配額最優(yōu)設(shè)計的理論模型,F(xiàn)有文獻中所研究的問題大多未考慮出口配額的定量設(shè)計。本文針對如何保障我國稀土廠商長期利益最大化的問題,利用動態(tài)最優(yōu)化模型,求解了稀土出口配額最優(yōu)設(shè)計路徑,明確了現(xiàn)階段我國稀土出口配額的設(shè)計應(yīng)主要依據(jù)稀土國際市場的需求狀況。為我國稀土出口配額制度的具體實施提供了一定的借鑒意義。
[Abstract]:Rare earth resources are important raw materials for modern industry and have considerable industrial and economic value. China is the largest exporter of rare earth. More than half of China's rare earth products are exported abroad, accounting for more than 90% of the world market share. However, the relatively stable market structure has not stabilized the market price of rare earth, and the rare earth price. The instability of rare earth industry leads to the unhealthy development of China's rare earth industry, which is not conducive to the improvement of China's rare earth industry structure and the upgrading of the whole industry to the high end of the industrial chain. Taking the export quota system of rare earth export control policy as the breakthrough point, this paper theoretically analyzes the demand of rare earth industry for export quota system in China, and solves the problem of optimum design of rare earth export quota through dynamic optimization model. Then, through the interpretation of the results of the model, it makes a simple evaluation of the current export quota design in China. Finally, based on the above analysis, some suggestions on the improvement of China's rare earth export control policy are put forward.
The structure of this paper can be divided into six chapters.
The first chapter is the introduction part, aiming to lay the theoretical foundation and practical foundation of this paper. First, through the overview of the existing rare earth industry background, the export quota design problem is introduced. Then, on the basis of the clear problems to be solved in this paper, the research and literature in related fields are sorted out. At the same time, the rare earth industry is briefly introduced. Finally, the paper summarizes the structure and possible innovations.
In the second chapter, the predicament of the present export quota design of rare earth is analyzed, and the situation faced by the rare earth industry in China during the period of low export quota and high export quota is analyzed respectively. The problem of optimum design of export quota of rare earth in China is introduced, and the theoretical value is explored for the subsequent model analysis.
The third chapter mainly analyzes the price of rare earth products under the ideal state and the difference between the ideal price and the actual price of rare earth products in China. Based on this, a static optimal design model of rare earth export quota in China is established. The overall export price, thereby ensuring the interests of China's rare earth industry.
Chapter 4 explores the optimal dynamic design of export quotas based on the dynamic optimization model. Firstly, the purpose of the optimal dynamic design of export quotas is clarified. Based on this purpose, the economic problem of ensuring the maximization of long-term profits of rare earth manufacturers by controlling the export quotas of rare earth elements is put forward. The path of optimal design of mouth quotas.
The fifth chapter mainly complements the previous model analysis and puts forward some suggestions on the optimization of industrial policy. The first part is the judgment of the world rare earth market structure in the dynamic model. The second part studies the establishment of dynamic model under different rare earth market structure. The third part is to discuss the effect of the design result of dynamic model on the design idea of export quota of rare earth in China.
Chapter 6 puts forward some suggestions on the shortcomings of the current export control policies of rare earth. On the basis of the existing export control policies of rare earth, the government should strengthen the classified management of rare earth products, crack down on rare earth smuggling and promote the high-end application of rare earth, so as to perfect the export control policies of rare earth and ensure the production of rare earth. Healthy development of the industry.
The possible innovations of this paper include:
1. This paper makes a special study on the export control policy of China's rare earth industry from the perspective of export quota. Most of the existing literature focuses on the international pricing power of China's rare earth products, but seldom on the policy measure of export quota implemented by the Chinese government. The demand and the design of the optimal quota are discussed, and the theoretical ideas that should be considered in the design of export quota in China are put forward.
2. This paper conceives and solves the theoretical model of optimal design of export quota based on dynamic optimization. Most of the problems studied in the existing literature do not consider the quantitative design of export quota. The optimal design path makes it clear that the design of rare earth export quota in China at present should be mainly based on the demand of the international market of rare earth, which provides a certain reference for the implementation of the export quota system of rare earth in China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:浙江財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F426;F752.62

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