【摘要】：利用新疆1978—2013年的樣本數(shù)據(jù),在環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線基礎(chǔ)上,運用VAR模型的廣義脈沖響應(yīng)及Granger檢驗方法對新疆碳排放、能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長之間的動態(tài)關(guān)系進行計量研究。研究表明,經(jīng)濟增長是碳排放和能源消費增長的Granger原因,碳排量與能源消耗不是經(jīng)濟增長變化的Granger原因;它們之間呈現(xiàn)不同于經(jīng)典的EKC理論的"N"型環(huán)境茲涅茨曲線。從新疆的實際區(qū)情出發(fā),提出從能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)、降低碳排放等方面采取相應(yīng)的措施,實現(xiàn)新疆經(jīng)濟綠色增長。
[Abstract]:Based on the environmental Kuznets curve, the dynamic relationship among carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Xinjiang is studied by using the generalized impulse response of VAR model and the Granger test method based on the sample data from 1978 to 2013 in Xinjiang. The research shows that economic growth is the Granger cause of carbon emission and energy consumption growth, and that carbon emission and energy consumption are not the Granger causes of economic growth, but that there is a "N" type environmental Znets curve which is different from the classical EKC theory. Based on the actual regional situation in Xinjiang, this paper puts forward the corresponding measures from the aspects of energy consumption structure, carbon emission reduction and so on, in order to realize the green growth of Xinjiang economy.
【作者單位】： 新疆大學(xué)新疆創(chuàng)新管理研究中心;新疆大學(xué)經(jīng)濟與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項目“資源型產(chǎn)業(yè)集群與制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)集群對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長方式影響路徑異同研究”(71263051)
【分類號】：X2;F426.2;F127

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