安徽省生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)和制造業(yè)的互動(dòng)分析
[Abstract]:At the present stage, it is an important period for the process of industrialization in China. How to grasp the opportunity and further develop the economy is a key point at the present stage. The key to the upgrading of the industrial level is to improve the value-added and market competitiveness of the manufacturing industry. To improve the value-added and market competitiveness of the manufacturing industry, a productive service is needed to improve the value-added and market competitiveness of the manufacturing industry. As the fastest growing branch of the service industry, the productive service industry provides services for every production link in the manufacturing industry and supports its own development by relying on these services.
The dependence of the manufacturing industry on the production service industry is increasing with the deepening of the new industrialization process. In the new industrialization process, the dependence between the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry is becoming more and more closely, and the interaction between each other is becoming stronger and stronger. This mutual effort will further promote the development of the new industrialization process. In a word, it is the key to promote the new industrialization process in Anhui province by strengthening the benign interaction between the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry, and promoting the development of manufacturing with the productive service industry.
Based on the actual situation of Anhui Province, this paper uses quantitative and qualitative methods to study and analyze the interaction between productive service industry and manufacturing industry in Anhui province. This article is divided into five parts and is based on the basic order of academic research.
The first part is the introduction, which mainly introduces the background, significance, literature review, basic research methods, ideas and possible innovations.
With the development of the economy, the production service industry has been mentioned more and more, and more and more people pay attention to it. The service industry has now become a powerful driving force for economic growth, and the productive service industry has greatly improved the economic development efficiency and the industrial structure is optimized and upgraded. Anhui is now in the right place. In the critical period of the process of industrialization, the manufacturing industry and the productive service industry have made great progress in the past, but there is a clear gap between the developed provinces and the developed provinces. The 12th Five-Year plan of Anhui Province indicated that the reform and opening up should be further deepened, the modern service industry should be vigorously developed and the proportion of the modern service industry should be further improved. In order to meet the rapid development needs of industrialization, developing productive service industry and promoting good interaction between service industry and manufacturing industry have important strategic significance for the new industrialization process in Anhui province. At the end of this part, the author expounds the research ideas and possible innovation points of this study. This article is based on production. The service industry and the development mechanism of manufacturing industry have established the VEC model to carry out an empirical study on the interactive development of the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry. Finally, according to the present situation of Anhui province and the empirical results, it puts forward some suggestions on how to further promote the benign development of the productive service industry and manufacturing industry in Anhui province. For the first time, the interaction between the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry in Anhui is analyzed comprehensively and carefully, and the dynamic measurement method is used to analyze the interactive relationship between the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry in Anhui province.
The second part is the exploration of the related theory. This part analyzes the views of scholars at home and abroad, and thinks that the productive service industry has four characteristics, such as intermediate input, industrial association, agglomeration economy, manpower intensive and technology intensive, which have very important influence on the whole social economy. There are four aspects as follows: The azimuth supports the various links of the manufacturing industry, promotes the coordination of the industry, improves the transaction efficiency, saves the social transaction cost and improves the level of the urban energy level. The impact of the productive service industry on the manufacturing industry is mainly the two directions of the competitiveness of the manufacturing products and the transaction cost of the manufacturing products. The interaction between the service industry and the manufacturing industry, the interactive development stage of the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry. In general, the production service industry and the manufacturing industry are not the single development relationship, but there is a mutual influence and mutual promotion. This part of the theoretical analysis is mainly for the subsequent chapters of the article. The writing provides a solid theoretical basis.
The third part analyses the development status of production service industry and manufacturing industry in Anhui province. Anhui is now in the stage of industrial structure adjustment, and the process of industrialization is improving continuously. Before the reform and opening up, the production service industry and manufacturing industry in Anhui province have been greatly developed.
In the comparison between the various provinces and cities in Anhui, and among the various industries of the productive service industry, the author finds that the development of the 1. productive service industry is unbalanced. In the productive service industry of Anhui, the proportion of all the productive services in the traditional service industry and the postal storage can reach 1/3. At the same time, some knowledge-based emerging productive services, such as the scientific and technological information industry, account for a low proportion of all the productive services in Anhui province. It is necessary to further improve the proportion of the productive service industry in the.2. production service industry. The development of the productive service industry in Anhui Province is very different in different parts of the province. The development between regions is extremely uneven. For example, Hefei, as the provincial capital city of Anhui Province, ranks first in the total production service industry in the province, and has an absolute development advantage over other parts of Anhui province; Wuhu, Ma'anshan, Tongling, and other cities near the Yangtze River Delta, due to their geographical advantages and previous manufacturing bases, Its economic development is also relatively fast, the industrial structure level is also more high-end, its productive service industry is greatly beyond the average level of Anhui province; Northern Anhui Province, the economic development is obviously slow, its productive service industry development level is obviously lower than the average level of Anhui Province, provincial capital city, Southern Anhui and Northern Anhui It shows the imbalance of regional development of producer services in Anhui province.
The development of Anhui's manufacturing industry has been the most important driving force for the economic development of Anhui province. Compared with the advanced provinces and cities in Anhui Province, its industrialization process is relatively backward, and Anhui province has been able to achieve these achievements since the reform and opening up. A large part of the result is the result of the development of the manufacturing industry in Anhui province. In Anhui Province, the system is a result of the development of the province. The largest proportion of the manufacturing industry is the high-tech industry manufacturing industry. In the manufacturing industry of Anhui, the automobile manufacturing industry, the rubber products industry and the non-ferrous metal smelting industry are the competitive industries in Anhui Province, and the corresponding enterprises, such as Fengyuan, Chery and so on, can be said that these industries still have great development space in the future.
Although the manufacturing industry in Anhui has been developing well all the time, it is undeniable that there are many problems in the manufacturing industry of Anhui province. The five most important problems are: low per capita added value, dispersed market structure, small scale of enterprise, lack of technological innovation ability and lack of high-end technical personnel; How to solve these problems and further promote the development of manufacturing industry in Anhui province is a major problem faced by Anhui province.
The fourth part is an empirical analysis. In this chapter, we choose the added value of the manufacturing industry, the added value of the productive service industry, the fixed capital stock, the number of employees in the manufacturing industry as variables, and make an empirical analysis on the interaction relationship between the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry. The test results show that the time series is not stable. After the difference of the sequence, the multidimensional time series is found at the same time single order. Thus, we have cointegration test on the time series of this group. The results show that the time series of the group has cointegration relationship, and the VEC model can be established. The VEC model after fitting is set up. The production service industry in Anhui province has a certain role in promoting the manufacturing industry, but the fixed capital stock has a more obvious effect on the manufacturing industry. After determining the stability of the VEC model, the analysis of the impulse response shows that although the productive service industry of Anhui province does not have an obvious pull effect on the manufacturing industry in the short term, it has been born for a long time. In addition, the fixed capital stock also has a strong impetus to the manufacturing industry in the short term. In the aspect of the contribution of the structural impact to the endogenous variable, the production service industry in Anhui province also has a strong push on the development of manufacturing industry, in addition to the fixed capital stock. The increase in the number of employees in the manufacturing industry has also led to the development of the productive service industry, but the role of the manufacturing industry in the production service industry is not obvious. The empirical results show that the productive service industry in Anhui is still in the initial stage of development, but the interaction with the manufacturing industry has entered a benign development stage. This benign interaction should be deepened so as to promote the competitiveness of Anhui's manufacturing industry and optimize its industrial structure.
The fifth part is the conclusion and policy suggestion. At present, Anhui is in the key period of the transformation of economic structure. In this period, the role of the productive service industry is becoming increasingly apparent. The industrialization process of Anhui province is increasingly needed to pull and support productive service industry. After this, the productive service industry in Anhui province has been developed. With the research of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province, the present study thinks that two aspects should be paid attention to at the moment: one is to pay attention to the harmonious development of the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry in the development. At the same time, the production service industry and the manufacturing industry in Anhui Province should be strengthened, so that the productive service industry in Anhui province can promote Anhui province. The development of manufacturing industry, and the development of Anhui manufacturing industry on the other hand, can create demand for the productive service industry. Therefore, the development of the productive service industry in Anhui province and the development of the manufacturing industry in Anhui province must go hand in hand. At present, the interaction of the productive service industry in Anhui province and the manufacturing industry of Anhui is still in the beginning. In the bud stage, how can we further improve the development stage of the interaction between the two, make the benign interaction between the two people deepen and strengthen, and jointly promote the economic development of the province of Anhui, which is a problem to be solved in Anhui province at present, and in order to further promote the benign interaction between the two, it is necessary for Anhui province to have the corresponding The policy will support the interactive development of the two. In a simple way, the author has three main directions to strengthen the interaction between the productive service industry and the manufacturing industry in Anhui Province, which are: to further develop the productive service industry in Anhui Province, to accelerate the production upgrading of the manufacturing industry in Anhui Province, and to further promote the benign between the two. Interactive development.
Finally, the innovation of this article lies in the use of empirical research to discuss and study the productive service industry and the development of manufacturing industry in Anhui province. It is judged and analyzed in the stage of the interaction between producer services and manufacturing in Anhui Province, and the corresponding policy proposals are given. The deficiency of this paper is that the paper can be productive. The service industry will further promote the development of the equipment manufacturing industry. This will be the direction for the author's efforts in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F427;F719
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