伊拉克魯邁拉油氣田二期項目風險管理研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-06-15 06:34
本文選題:海外油氣田 + 伊拉克。 參考:《東北石油大學》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:石油天然氣資源作為保障國民經濟安全的重要戰(zhàn)略資源,一直以來在世界范圍內受到高度關注。自兩伊戰(zhàn)爭以來,伊拉克地區(qū)的巨大油氣儲存當量一直是各國石油企業(yè)投資目標的首選。伊拉克地區(qū)油氣田項目開發(fā)與國內油氣田項目相比,具有綜合性風險高、施工難度大,工藝流程復雜,施工事故影響大等特點。因此,通過借鑒其他國外公司運作伊拉克項目的風險管理經驗,結合大慶油田自身特點,在魯邁拉油氣田二期項目投資前,針對其風險進行識別評估勢在必行。 論文從介紹國內外風險管理研究成果入手,闡述了海外項目風險管理理論及海外油氣田項目特點、風險種類,對比了境內外油氣田項目的不同。通過采用德爾菲法和檢查表法識別魯邁拉油氣田二期項目風險,從而識別出影響魯邁拉油氣田二期項目正常運營的八類風險,即政治風險,經濟風險,環(huán)境風險,供應風險,技術風險,管理風險,基建風險,健康風險,依照風險來源分類為內部風險和外部風險兩個指標層面,并組織專家對該項目可能遇到的八類風險計算了指標權重,而后進行定性評估和定量評估,評定魯邁拉油氣田二期項目風險為中等偏下。針對此風險評估結果,,需要在投資前進行科學謹慎的詳盡分析,并對此從國家、企業(yè)以及項目自身三個層面提出了風險應對策略。通過伊拉克魯邁拉油氣田二期項目的風險管理研究,對于提高大慶油田開發(fā)海外市場的風險管理水平,改善海外投資的風險管理環(huán)境,保證成功構建科學的項目開發(fā)風險管理系統(tǒng)具有一定的理論價值與實踐指導意義。
[Abstract]:As an important strategic resource to guarantee the national economic security, oil and gas resources have been highly concerned around the world. Since the Iraq war, the huge oil and gas storage equivalent in Iraq has always been the first choice for the investment targets of oil and gas enterprises in various countries. It has the characteristics of high comprehensive risk, difficult construction, complex process and great influence on construction accidents. Therefore, it is imperative to identify and evaluate the risk of the two phase of the Daqing oil and gas field before the investment of other foreign companies to operate the risk management experience of the Iraq project and the characteristics of the oil field itself.
Starting with the introduction of the research results of risk management at home and abroad, this paper expounds the risk management theory of overseas projects, the characteristics of overseas oil and gas field projects, the types of risk and the difference between the domestic and foreign oil and gas field projects. By using Delphy Fa and the inspection table method, the risk of the two phase of the Lu Myra oil and gas field is identified, thus identifying the influence of the oil and gas of the Lu Myra. The eight types of risk, such as political risk, economic risk, environmental risk, supply risk, technology risk, management risk, infrastructure risk, health risk, classified as internal risk and external risk according to the source of risk, are classified into two indicators of internal and external risk according to the source of risk, and the weight of index weights is calculated for the eight types of risk that the project may encounter. Then qualitative and quantitative assessment, the risk of the two phase of the Lu Myra oil and gas field is moderate, and the result of this risk assessment requires a scientific and careful analysis before the investment, and the risk response strategy is put forward from the three levels of the country, the enterprise and the project itself. Through the Iraq Lu Myra oil and gas field two The research on risk management of the project is of theoretical and practical significance for improving the risk management level of the overseas market of Daqing oilfield, improving the risk management environment of overseas investment, and ensuring the successful construction of a scientific project development risk management system.
【學位授予單位】:東北石油大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F416.22
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