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2015年我國農(nóng)藥市場和大宗產(chǎn)品行情走勢及預(yù)測分析

發(fā)布時間:2018-05-25 10:22

  本文選題:農(nóng)藥 + 農(nóng)藥出口退稅; 參考:《農(nóng)藥》2015年09期


【摘要】:2015年我國農(nóng)藥行業(yè)調(diào)整預(yù)計貫穿全年。從供應(yīng)看,今年上半年全國累計生產(chǎn)農(nóng)藥180.7萬t,增幅由去年同期0.7%上升到3.2%,供應(yīng)過剩態(tài)勢依然嚴峻;今年農(nóng)藥出口受阻,上半年我國農(nóng)藥原藥出口交貨值169.19億元,同比下降14%,隨著國外采購傳統(tǒng)旺季的到來,預(yù)計今年后半程農(nóng)藥出口有所改善;從價格上看,國際市場需求不足,導(dǎo)致行業(yè)整體上呈現(xiàn)低速下行的態(tài)勢,從2014年3季度以來,中國農(nóng)藥產(chǎn)品出口呈現(xiàn)量價齊跌的態(tài)勢,大宗農(nóng)藥產(chǎn)品出現(xiàn)跌多漲少態(tài)勢。目前,6—7月我國整體農(nóng)藥市場進入淡季,原藥工廠進入盤整階段,行情變化不大,預(yù)計下半年價量會有所好轉(zhuǎn),不過出現(xiàn)V型反轉(zhuǎn)的概率不大。
[Abstract]:The adjustment of pesticide industry in China in 2015 is expected to run through the whole year. From the point of view of supply, in the first half of this year, the cumulative production of pesticides in the whole country was 1.807 million tons, the increase rate rose from 0.7% in the same period of last year to 3.2%, and the situation of surplus supply is still grim. With the arrival of the traditional high season of foreign purchasing, the export of pesticides in the second half of this year is expected to improve. In terms of prices, insufficient demand in the international market has led the industry as a whole to show a low downward trend since the third quarter of 2014. China's pesticide exports showed a decline in volume and price, while bulk pesticide products fell more and less. At present, the overall pesticide market in China entered the off-season in June and July, and the raw medicine factory entered the consolidation stage. The market has not changed much, and the price is expected to improve in the second half of the year, but the probability of V-type reversal is small.
【作者單位】: 北京華通縱橫經(jīng)濟信息咨詢公司;
【分類號】:F426.72;F767.2

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