本文選題：后危機(jī)時代 + 國際能源價格�。� 參考：《價格理論與實踐》2015年08期

【摘要】：2014年以來,國際原油市場不斷"熊出沒",特別是今年6月下旬以后,原油價格幾乎一路走低,大幅跳水,盡數(shù)回吐了此前"黃金十年"的牛市漲幅,對國民經(jīng)濟(jì)運行產(chǎn)生深刻影響,引起人們對國際原油市場走勢的深切關(guān)注。據(jù)此本文在國際油價波動的背景下,著重對后危機(jī)時代國際油價波動態(tài)勢進(jìn)行分析,并就當(dāng)前國際油價大幅下跌的原因進(jìn)行了探討。結(jié)論表明:世界經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇放緩、市場有效需求不足、新能源革命引致替代需求、美元升值趨勢顯著以及國際游資大量撤離大宗商品領(lǐng)域等等成為當(dāng)前國際油價下跌的主要原因。
[Abstract]:Since 2014, the international crude oil market has been in constant "bear haunt". Especially since late June this year, crude oil prices have almost all the way down, plummeting, giving back the bull market gains of the previous "golden decade". It has a profound influence on the operation of national economy and has aroused people's deep concern about the trend of international crude oil market. Under the background of international oil price fluctuation, this paper analyzes the trend of international oil price fluctuation in the post-crisis era, and probes into the reasons for the sharp decline of international oil price. The conclusion shows that the world economic recovery is slowing, the market effective demand is insufficient, the new energy revolution leads to the substitution demand, the trend of dollar appreciation is obvious, and the international hot money is leaving the commodity field in large quantities, and so on are the main reasons for the current international oil price to fall.
【作者單位】： 首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;長沙理工大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：必歐瀚生物技術(shù)(合肥)有限公司支持
【分類號】：F416.2;F764.1

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