本文選題：分布式光伏　切入點(diǎn)：儲(chǔ)能　出處：《天津大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：基于傳統(tǒng)能源短缺及環(huán)境保護(hù)、節(jié)能減排和可持續(xù)發(fā)展等多方面的需求,可再生能源已經(jīng)成為我國(guó)能源和電力行業(yè)發(fā)展的新方向。由于太陽(yáng)能屬于可再生能源且光伏發(fā)電過(guò)程具有清潔和無(wú)噪聲等優(yōu)點(diǎn),光伏發(fā)電得到了國(guó)內(nèi)外的大力支持,并獲得迅速發(fā)展。我國(guó)自《可再生能源法》實(shí)施以來(lái),針對(duì)太陽(yáng)能發(fā)電出臺(tái)了一系列相關(guān)的目標(biāo)規(guī)劃、并網(wǎng)政策、上網(wǎng)電價(jià)和補(bǔ)貼政策。尤其自2013年以來(lái),國(guó)家集中出臺(tái)了一系列促進(jìn)分布式光伏發(fā)電的具體政策,但由于分布式光伏發(fā)電系統(tǒng)成本仍然較高,用戶(hù)自主投資建設(shè)分布式光伏的動(dòng)力不足,這是制約其大規(guī)模發(fā)展的重要問(wèn)題之一。本文基于對(duì)不同居民用戶(hù)用電負(fù)荷的分類(lèi),結(jié)合儲(chǔ)能系統(tǒng),深入分析了我國(guó)分布式光伏發(fā)電的經(jīng)濟(jì)性對(duì)每類(lèi)用戶(hù)的影響因素,并量化了各種影響因素對(duì)用戶(hù)經(jīng)濟(jì)性的影響。同時(shí)在研究國(guó)內(nèi)外光伏發(fā)電政策的基礎(chǔ)上,從經(jīng)濟(jì)性的角度,為我國(guó)光伏發(fā)展提出了建議。本文主要工作如下:1)對(duì)不同負(fù)荷曲線的居民用戶(hù)的實(shí)際負(fù)荷數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行聚類(lèi)分析,得到幾種不同類(lèi)型居民用戶(hù)所對(duì)應(yīng)的典型負(fù)荷曲線�；谌珘勖芷诶碚�,建立了不可調(diào)度式分布式光伏并網(wǎng)發(fā)電系統(tǒng)和可調(diào)度式分布式光伏并網(wǎng)發(fā)電系統(tǒng)兩類(lèi)系統(tǒng)的成本模型,并提出了其經(jīng)濟(jì)性評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo),即凈現(xiàn)值(NPV)指標(biāo)和動(dòng)態(tài)投資回收期指標(biāo),并詳細(xì)提出了其經(jīng)濟(jì)性評(píng)價(jià)流程。2)以天津市的太陽(yáng)能輻射條件為基礎(chǔ),計(jì)算得出單位容量的光伏組件的年功率輸出曲線。首先對(duì)不可調(diào)度式分布式光伏并網(wǎng)發(fā)電系統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)性進(jìn)行分析,即針對(duì)不同類(lèi)型用戶(hù)進(jìn)行各自的凈現(xiàn)值分析以及動(dòng)態(tài)回收期影響因素分析,并進(jìn)行動(dòng)態(tài)回收期靈敏度分析,再對(duì)不同類(lèi)型用戶(hù)的經(jīng)濟(jì)性進(jìn)行比較。其次,對(duì)可調(diào)度式分布式光伏并網(wǎng)發(fā)電系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析,即凈現(xiàn)值分析、動(dòng)態(tài)回收期影響因素以及靈敏度分析。3)分析國(guó)外光伏發(fā)展較快國(guó)家的光伏發(fā)電相關(guān)政策,總結(jié)并分析我國(guó)光伏相關(guān)的關(guān)鍵政策�？紤]我國(guó)未來(lái)光伏市場(chǎng)發(fā)展情況,計(jì)算和分析了光伏系統(tǒng)成本和發(fā)電量?jī)r(jià)格補(bǔ)貼兩種因素同時(shí)變化對(duì)不同類(lèi)型用戶(hù)的經(jīng)濟(jì)性影響。最后,為促進(jìn)我國(guó)分布式光伏的大規(guī)模發(fā)展提出了建議。
[Abstract]:Based on traditional energy shortage and environmental protection, energy saving and emission reduction and sustainable development, Renewable energy has become a new direction of the development of energy and power industry in China. Because solar energy is a renewable energy and photovoltaic power generation process has the advantages of clean and noiseless, photovoltaic power generation has been greatly supported at home and abroad. Since the implementation of the Renewable Energy Law, China has introduced a series of related target plans, grid connection policies, Internet tariffs and subsidies for solar power generation, especially since 2013. The state has issued a series of specific policies to promote distributed photovoltaic power generation. However, because the cost of distributed photovoltaic power generation system is still high, the power of building distributed photovoltaic system is not enough for users to invest independently in the construction of distributed photovoltaic power. This is one of the important problems restricting its large-scale development. Based on the classification of the power load of different residents and the energy storage system, this paper deeply analyzes the economic impact factors of distributed photovoltaic power generation on each type of users in China. At the same time, on the basis of studying photovoltaic power generation policies at home and abroad, from the perspective of economy, The main work of this paper is as follows: 1) clustering analysis of the actual load data of residents with different load curves. The typical load curves corresponding to several different types of resident users are obtained. In this paper, the cost models of two kinds of systems of non-schedulable distributed photovoltaic grid-connected generation system and schedulable distributed photovoltaic grid-connected generation system are established, and the economic evaluation index, namely net present value (NPV) index and dynamic investment payback period index, are proposed. The economic evaluation flow. 2) is based on the solar radiation conditions in Tianjin. The annual power output curve of the unit capacity photovoltaic module is calculated. Firstly, the economy of the unscheduled distributed photovoltaic grid-connected generation system is analyzed. That is, to analyze the net present value of different types of users and the influencing factors of dynamic payback period, and to analyze the sensitivity of dynamic payback period, and then to compare the economy of different types of users. Secondly, In this paper, the economic analysis of schedulable distributed photovoltaic grid-connected power generation system is carried out, that is, net present value analysis, dynamic recovery period influencing factors and sensitivity analysis. 3) the relative policies of photovoltaic power generation in countries with fast development of foreign photovoltaic power generation are analyzed. This paper summarizes and analyzes the key policies related to photovoltaic in China. Considering the future development of photovoltaic market in China, this paper calculates and analyzes the economic effects of the cost of photovoltaic system and the price subsidy of generating electricity on different types of users simultaneously. In order to promote the large-scale development of distributed photovoltaic in China, some suggestions are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F426.61;TM615

【相似文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 劉江華;丁曉明;;核電經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析有關(guān)問(wèn)題探討[J];電力技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2008年01期

2 劉洪亮,劉丹;風(fēng)機(jī)的流量調(diào)節(jié)方式及其經(jīng)濟(jì)性[J];江西電力;2001年04期

3 安永堯,張建中;火電機(jī)組的經(jīng)濟(jì)性現(xiàn)狀及分析[J];西北電力技術(shù);2003年01期

4 曾征;胡漢波;;淺析在設(shè)計(jì)中管控裝備的經(jīng)濟(jì)性[J];航天工業(yè)管理;2013年02期

5 董德歆,劉憲春,張錦娟;高強(qiáng)砼材料的經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析[J];西北農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);1999年03期

6 馮靜;倪維斗;i下秀w';王靈梅;李政;;整體煤氣化聯(lián)合循環(huán)電站的模擬和經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析[J];燃?xì)廨啓C(jī)技術(shù);2006年02期

7 李培;周永剛;楊建國(guó);趙虹;;電廠用褐煤運(yùn)輸前脫水的綜合經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析[J];能源工程;2010年06期

8 張宏杰,薜賀成;B&WB-1025/18.44-M型鍋爐EDTA清洗的經(jīng)濟(jì)性比較[J];內(nèi)蒙古電力技術(shù);1998年05期

9 薛新民;二00五年投產(chǎn)的核電站 煤電站 氣電站的經(jīng)濟(jì)性比較[J];中國(guó)能源;2002年01期

10 俞保安 ,賈斗南 ,沈時(shí)芳;核電站經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析[J];核動(dòng)力工程;1982年06期

相關(guān)會(huì)議論文 前4條

1 張文福;侯桂蘭;;雙跨連續(xù)鋼梁的經(jīng)濟(jì)性計(jì)算分析[A];'2011全國(guó)鋼結(jié)構(gòu)學(xué)術(shù)年會(huì)論文集[C];2011年

2 任志平;朱傳兵;;取消重油系統(tǒng)改造經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析[A];全國(guó)火電大機(jī)組（300MW級(jí)）競(jìng)賽第34屆年會(huì)論文集[C];2005年

3 徐瓊輝;馬偉斌;陳琦;葉燦滔;龔宇烈;;蒸發(fā)冷凝與噴淋冷凝經(jīng)濟(jì)性比較[A];中國(guó)化工學(xué)會(huì)2011年年會(huì)暨第四屆全國(guó)石油和化工行業(yè)節(jié)能節(jié)水減排技術(shù)論壇論文集[C];2011年

4 張大鵬;周錦泉;郭昊;;風(fēng)吸控制時(shí)檁條系統(tǒng)選型及經(jīng)濟(jì)性比較[A];土木工程建造管理（5）[C];2010年

相關(guān)重要報(bào)紙文章 前1條

1 白建華　金艷鳴 辛頌旭;輸煤與輸電經(jīng)濟(jì)性比較[N];中國(guó)電力報(bào);2009年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前5條

1 郁潔;多元影響因素下的冷熱電聯(lián)產(chǎn)系統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析[D];東南大學(xué);2015年

2 金蓉英;新能源電源系統(tǒng)設(shè)計(jì)及其對(duì)配電網(wǎng)可靠性與經(jīng)濟(jì)性的影響[D];南京航空航天大學(xué);2016年

3 呂雙輝;分布式光伏與儲(chǔ)能系統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析與政策研究[D];天津大學(xué);2014年

4 陳曉;住宅小區(qū)集中供冷系統(tǒng)的技術(shù)及經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析[D];湖南大學(xué);2002年

5 安廣然;定功率法應(yīng)用于太陽(yáng)能輔助燃煤機(jī)組的經(jīng)濟(jì)性分析[D];華北電力大學(xué);2015年

，

本文編號(hào)：1668143