本文選題：石油價(jià)格　切入點(diǎn)：陰謀論　出處：《國際經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)論》2015年02期

【摘要】：正石油價(jià)格在過去六個(gè)月暴跌引發(fā)了廣泛的討論,其中不乏陰謀論。雖然這些解釋都非常有創(chuàng)意而且有趣,但我們認(rèn)為只有通過分析供給、需求、經(jīng)濟(jì)表現(xiàn)以及成本競爭力,才能更好地分析形勢。很多人預(yù)測到強(qiáng)勁的供給增長,但我們認(rèn)為最意外的因素是需求不足——每天的需求量低于某些預(yù)測60萬桶左右。石油供給連續(xù)三年增長,這主要來自北美。但到2014年中,全球需求疲軟已經(jīng)非常明顯。一旦需求供給相互作用,石
[Abstract]:Is the sharp fall in oil prices in the past six months has been widely discussed, including conspiracy theory. Although these explanations are very creative and interesting, but we believe that only through the analysis of supply and demand, economic performance and cost competitiveness, in order to better analyze the situation. Many people predicted that strong supply growth, but we think the accident is the lack of demand, the daily demand is lower than some predicted around 600 thousand barrels. Oil supply growth for three consecutive years, which mainly from North America. But by 2014, global demand has been very obvious. Once the demand supply interaction, stone

【作者單位】： 美國戰(zhàn)略與國際研究中心(CSIS);
【分類號(hào)】：F416.22
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本文編號(hào)：1665128