本文關(guān)鍵詞： 化工行業(yè) 節(jié)能技術(shù)評價 節(jié)能供給曲線 節(jié)能潛力分析　出處：《鄭州大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近年來，隨著社會經(jīng)濟(jì)的迅速發(fā)展，河南省面臨的環(huán)境和能源壓力日益加重�；ば袠I(yè)因其復(fù)雜的產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)和巨大的產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)模而成為河南省難以治理的高耗能和高污染行業(yè)。利用技術(shù)改造是化工行業(yè)降低能耗和污染的核心措施，因此大力推廣經(jīng)濟(jì)可行的節(jié)能技術(shù)是河南省在化工行業(yè)實現(xiàn)節(jié)能減排的重要途徑。但目前我國尚未建立完善的節(jié)能技術(shù)評價體系，如何從眾多的節(jié)能技術(shù)中篩選出經(jīng)濟(jì)可行的節(jié)能技術(shù)成為當(dāng)前政府和企業(yè)面臨的難題。 在此背景下，本文采用節(jié)能成本評價法對河南省化工行業(yè)的節(jié)能技術(shù)進(jìn)行評價，并對不同技術(shù)的節(jié)能潛力進(jìn)行分析研究。首先對河南省化工行業(yè)現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行調(diào)研，分別從產(chǎn)能、產(chǎn)量和技術(shù)等方面對目前化工行業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行概括，并在此基礎(chǔ)上選擇合成氨、燒堿、純堿和電石四個行業(yè)作為重點研究對象。然后采用節(jié)能成本評價法和節(jié)能供給曲線對四個高耗能行業(yè)的節(jié)能技術(shù)進(jìn)行評估，并結(jié)合各行業(yè)新增產(chǎn)能以及淘汰產(chǎn)能的節(jié)能情況來分析未來目標(biāo)年河南省化工行業(yè)的節(jié)能潛力。最后通過情景分析和敏感性分析來評估能源價格、政府補(bǔ)貼和折現(xiàn)率等因素對節(jié)能技術(shù)推廣以及化工行業(yè)節(jié)能潛力的影響。 研究結(jié)果表明：第一，通過利用有效節(jié)能技術(shù)推廣、新增產(chǎn)能能效控制以及淘汰落后產(chǎn)能這三大節(jié)能路線途徑，從2010到2020年河南省化工行業(yè)可實現(xiàn)節(jié)能量168.54萬tce。其中通過節(jié)能技術(shù)改造可實現(xiàn)節(jié)能量128.26萬tce，對節(jié)能潛力貢獻(xiàn)率最大，占總節(jié)能量比重的73%。第二，通過節(jié)能技術(shù)評價共計篩選出33項經(jīng)濟(jì)可行的化工節(jié)能技術(shù)，可實現(xiàn)節(jié)能潛力111.81萬tce，其中合成氨行業(yè)所占份額最大為71.24萬tce，，未來應(yīng)重點加強(qiáng)合成氨行業(yè)的相關(guān)節(jié)能技術(shù)投資建設(shè)。第三，通過情景分析可知，政策補(bǔ)貼和能源價格對河南省化工行業(yè)節(jié)能技術(shù)推廣影響顯著。未來隨著能源價格上漲和政策補(bǔ)貼加強(qiáng)，使更多節(jié)能技術(shù)變得可行有效，使節(jié)能潛力增加14%。最后提出建議，要求進(jìn)一步完善節(jié)能技術(shù)評價體系和加大重點節(jié)能技術(shù)推廣力度。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of social economy. The environmental and energy pressure in Henan Province is increasing day by day. Because of its complex product structure and huge industrial scale, the chemical industry has become a high energy consumption and high pollution industry in Henan Province. The utilization of technology transformation is a chemical industry. Core measures to reduce energy consumption and pollution in the industry. Therefore, popularizing economically feasible energy saving technology is an important way to realize energy saving and emission reduction in chemical industry in Henan Province. However, at present, our country has not established a perfect energy saving technology evaluation system. How to select the economical and feasible energy saving technology from many energy saving technologies has become a difficult problem for the government and enterprises. Under this background, this paper uses the energy saving cost evaluation method to evaluate the energy saving technology of Henan chemical industry. The energy saving potential of different technologies is analyzed and studied. Firstly, the status quo of chemical industry in Henan Province is investigated, and the development status of chemical industry is summarized from the aspects of production capacity, output and technology respectively. On the basis of this, four industries of synthetic ammonia, caustic soda, soda and calcium carbide were selected as the key research objects, and then the energy-saving technology of the four high-energy consuming industries was evaluated by the energy-saving cost evaluation method and the energy-saving supply curve. The energy saving potential of chemical industry in Henan Province in the next target year is analyzed by combining the new production capacity and the energy saving situation of eliminating capacity. Finally, the energy price is evaluated by scenario analysis and sensitivity analysis. The influence of government subsidy and discount rate on energy saving technology popularization and energy saving potential of chemical industry. The results show that: first, through the use of effective energy-saving technology promotion, new capacity energy efficiency control and elimination of backward production capacity these three major energy-saving routes. From 2010 to 2020, Henan chemical industry can achieve energy saving of one million six hundred and eighty-five thousand and four hundred TceS, among which energy saving one million two hundred and eighty-two thousand and six hundred tce can be realized through energy saving technology transformation. The contribution rate to energy saving potential is the largest, which accounts for 73% of total energy saving. Second, 33 economically feasible chemical energy saving technologies are selected through energy saving technology evaluation. The potential of energy saving can be realized by one million one hundred and eighteen thousand and one hundred Tces, of which the largest share of synthetic ammonia industry is 712,400 Tces.In the future, we should focus on strengthening the investment and construction of related energy-saving technologies in the synthetic ammonia industry. According to the scenario analysis, policy subsidies and energy prices have a significant impact on the promotion of energy-saving technology in Henan chemical industry. In the future, with the increase of energy prices and the strengthening of policy subsidies, more energy-saving technologies become feasible and effective. Finally, suggestions are put forward to further improve the evaluation system of energy-saving technology and strengthen the popularization of key energy-saving technology.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：鄭州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.72;F205

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