本文關(guān)鍵詞：長(zhǎng)三角城市工業(yè)碳排放及其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)聯(lián)性分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

長(zhǎng)三角城市工業(yè)碳排放及其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)聯(lián)性分析

CORRELATION ANALYSIS OF INDUSTRIAL CARBON EMISSIONS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE YANGTZE RIVER DELTA

[1] [2] [3] [4]

YE Yi-an,ZHU Ji-ye,LI Shen-feng,XU Qiu-hui（School of Geographic and Oceanographic Sciences,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China）

南京大學(xué)地理與海洋科學(xué)學(xué)院,江蘇南京210093

文章摘要：根據(jù)《IPCC國(guó)際溫室氣體清單指南》中的參考方法對(duì)長(zhǎng)三角16個(gè)城市2005～2009年的工業(yè)碳排放進(jìn)行核算,具體分析比較16個(gè)城市的化石燃料的碳排放量、工業(yè)碳排放強(qiáng)度、工業(yè)碳排放變化率等影響因素,并通過關(guān)聯(lián)性分析和脫鉤分析對(duì)比城市工業(yè)碳減排現(xiàn)狀與發(fā)展趨勢(shì),得出：（1）2009年長(zhǎng)三角工業(yè)碳排放量達(dá)到20 979.79萬t,其中煤炭消耗產(chǎn)生的碳排放量占主導(dǎo),達(dá)到95.25%;（2）2005～2009年長(zhǎng)三角16個(gè)城市的平均工業(yè)碳排放強(qiáng)度從1.25t/萬元降低到0.88t/萬元,上海的工業(yè)碳排放水平一直保持較低水平,江蘇8個(gè)城市的工業(yè)碳排放強(qiáng)度較為接近,浙江省的7個(gè)城市工業(yè)碳排放強(qiáng)度差異明顯;（3）長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)的碳排放強(qiáng)度與工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)強(qiáng)度兩者之間存在明顯的負(fù)相關(guān)性;（4）工業(yè)增加值與工業(yè)碳排放量脫鉤分析顯示上海等13個(gè)城市落在弱脫鉤區(qū)域。

Abstr：With the rapid socio-economic development of China,energy consumption and environmental problems become increasingly serious,especially the greenhouse effect which results from carbon emission becomes the worldwide focus.Global warming brings severe challenges to the sustainable development of human society,and has great effect on agriculture and food security,water safety,ecological safety and public health security.The paper proposed a method to analyze and compare the current situation of carbon emission and development tendency of 16 cities in the Yangtze River Delta.Firstly,it calculated the industrial carbon emission of 16 cities in the Yangtze River Delta from 2005 to 2009 based on the reference approach of IPCC Guideline for National Greenhouse-Gas Emission Inventory.Secondly,it specifically analyzed and compared these influence factors such as the carbon emission of fossil fuel,carbon emission intensity and the change rate of industrial carbon emission.Lastly,it used correlation analysis and decoupling analysis to conduct contrastive analysis.The conclusions are drawn as follows.The carbon emissions were 209.8 million tons in the Yangtze River Delta region and the carbon emission caused by coal consumption occupied the main part in 2009.The average industrial carbon emission intensity of 16 cities in the Yangtze River Delta from 2005 to 2009 dropped from 1.25 tons per ten thousand Yuan to 0.88 tons per ten thousand Yuan.The level of industrial carbon emission of Shanghai kept slow.The levels of industrial carbon emission of 8 cities of Jiangsu province were relatively same,while those of 7 cities of Zhejiang province were different obviously.There was obvious negative correlation between carbon emission intensity and

文章關(guān)鍵詞：

Keyword：:industrial carbon emission correlation analysis decoupling analysis the Yangtze River Delta

課題項(xiàng)目：公益性行業(yè)（國(guó)土）科研專項(xiàng)經(jīng)費(fèi)項(xiàng)目“土地利用規(guī)劃的碳排放效應(yīng)及調(diào)控研究”（2008110033）

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：長(zhǎng)三角城市工業(yè)碳排放及其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)聯(lián)性分析，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。