FDI對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的影響研究
發(fā)布時間：2019-02-26 18:52
【摘要】：經(jīng)濟全球化是當今國際經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的基本趨勢,近20年來,世界經(jīng)濟體制發(fā)生了重大變化,越來越多的國家開始接受國際貿(mào)易共同的游戲規(guī)則,經(jīng)濟活動超越國界,通過對外貿(mào)易、資本流動、技術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)移、提供服務(wù)、相互依存、相互聯(lián)系形成全球范圍的有機經(jīng)濟整體,實現(xiàn)貿(mào)易、投資、金融生產(chǎn)等活動的全球化,生產(chǎn)要素在全球范圍內(nèi)得到最佳的配置。外商直接投資作為一個跨國企業(yè)進行全球化經(jīng)營的重要手段,投資的方式越來越靈活,形式越來越多樣,并且我國也一躍成為全球吸收外資最多的國家,其對經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的作用不可小覷。2014年的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展數(shù)據(jù)顯示,我國已經(jīng)進入中等偏上發(fā)達國家的行列,擺在我們面前的難題是如何在經(jīng)濟發(fā)展達到發(fā)達國家行列,實現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級,成功的跨越“中等收入陷阱”。我國現(xiàn)階段的基本國情告訴我們,在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級中存在許多的漏洞和不足,資源不能得到合理的利用,經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式不能迅速的轉(zhuǎn)變,同時也要看到現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的不可替代的作用,只有這樣才能實現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級。我們知道影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的因素很多,本文主要的目的就是假定其他影響因素不變的前提下,探討FDI對我國的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級的影響,從而對我國以后產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的發(fā)展方向提供一個依據(jù)。論文的前兩個章節(jié),主要是描述了研究本話題所處的背景及研究本課題的意義,接著又對研究與本課題相關(guān)的文獻綜述,在前人研究的基礎(chǔ)上進行了詳盡的整理,對FDI對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級的內(nèi)在機理進行了合理的分析。第三章節(jié),對我國的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的現(xiàn)狀以及存在的種種問題進行了分析,從三次產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)值及就業(yè)情況出發(fā),尋找兩者之間的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系,其中發(fā)現(xiàn)我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級中第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的比重在逐漸下降,而第三產(chǎn)業(yè)比重逐漸上升的現(xiàn)實依據(jù),這也符合前期對兩者之間的理論分析結(jié)果。第四章對我國的FDI與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級進行了計量分析,首先是建立計量模型,然后通過回歸分析得出一些跟我國現(xiàn)實相一致的結(jié)論,其一是從對各個產(chǎn)業(yè)建立計量模型看,FDI對我國三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響的方向和程度不同；其二,從建立的滯后回歸模型看,外商直接投資對我國三次產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響程度具有明顯分滯后性；其三在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整方面,外商直接投資對產(chǎn)業(yè)的優(yōu)化升級具有顯著影響；其四,我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整由“二三一”轉(zhuǎn)向“三二一”,要想成為經(jīng)濟發(fā)達的發(fā)達國家就必須把發(fā)展現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)提升到戰(zhàn)略高度。第五部分對我國在吸收外商直接投資和優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級提出政策建議,分為幾個方面,一是提升區(qū)域自身吸收能力,提高FDI的溢出效應(yīng),促進產(chǎn)業(yè)升級；二是優(yōu)化FDI在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)間的分布；三是積極培育創(chuàng)新能力。最后,是致謝,對我在論文寫作過程中幫助的老師和同學致以誠摯的謝意。
[Abstract]:Economic globalization is the basic trend of international economic development. Over the past 20 years, the world economic system has undergone major changes. More and more countries have begun to accept the common rules of the game of international trade, and economic activities transcend national boundaries. Through foreign trade, capital flows, technology transfer, provision of services, interdependence and interlinkages to form a global organic economy, globalization of activities such as trade, investment, financial production, and so on, Factors of production in the global optimal allocation. Foreign direct investment (FDI), as an important means for multinational enterprises to operate globally, has become more and more flexible and diversified, and China has also become the country with the largest amount of foreign investment in the world. Its role in economic development can not be underestimated. Data on economic development in 2014 show that China has entered the ranks of middle-class developed countries, and the problem before us is how to reach the ranks of developed countries in economic development. To achieve industrial structure transformation and upgrading, successful across the "middle-income trap." The basic national conditions of our country at the present stage tell us that there are many loopholes and deficiencies in the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure, resources cannot be reasonably utilized, and the mode of economic development cannot be changed rapidly. At the same time, we should see that modern service industry plays an irreplaceable role in economic development, which is the only way to realize the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. We know that there are many factors affecting the upgrading of the industrial structure. The main purpose of this paper is to discuss the influence of FDI on the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure of our country on the premise that the other influencing factors remain the same. Thus, it provides a basis for the development direction of industrial structure upgrading in the future of our country. The first two chapters of this paper mainly describe the background of this topic and the significance of studying this topic, and then review the literature related to this topic, and on the basis of the previous research, have carried on the detailed arrangement. The internal mechanism of optimization and upgrading of industrial structure by FDI is analyzed reasonably. In the third chapter, the author analyzes the current situation of the industrial structure adjustment in China and the existing problems, and looks for the internal relationship between the three industries from the output value and employment situation of the three industries. It is found that the proportion of the secondary industry in the upgrading of the industrial structure of our country is gradually decreasing, while the proportion of the tertiary industry is gradually increasing, which is also in line with the theoretical analysis of the two in the early stage. The fourth chapter carries on the econometric analysis to our country's FDI and the industrial structure optimization upgrade, first is to establish the econometric model, then through the regression analysis draws some consistent conclusions with our country's reality, one is from the view of establishing the econometric model to each industry, The direction and degree of the influence of FDI on the three industrial structures of our country are different; Secondly, according to the lag regression model, the influence degree of foreign direct investment on the three industries of our country is obviously lagging, the third is the adjustment of industrial structure, the foreign direct investment has a significant impact on the optimization and upgrading of the industry, and the third is that the foreign direct investment has a significant impact on the optimization and upgrading of the industry. Fourthly, the adjustment of China's industrial structure has changed from "231st" to "321st". In order to become an economically developed country, it is necessary to promote the development of modern service industry to a strategic height. The fifth part puts forward some policy suggestions on absorbing foreign direct investment and optimizing the upgrading of industrial structure in our country, which can be divided into several aspects: first, to promote the regional self-absorption ability, to improve the spillover effect of FDI, and to promote the upgrading of industry; Second, optimize the distribution of FDI in the industrial structure; third, actively cultivate innovative ability. Finally, I would like to express my sincere thanks to the teachers and classmates who helped me in the process of writing my thesis.
【學位授予單位】：山東大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F121.3;F832.6
本文編號：2431048
[Abstract]:Economic globalization is the basic trend of international economic development. Over the past 20 years, the world economic system has undergone major changes. More and more countries have begun to accept the common rules of the game of international trade, and economic activities transcend national boundaries. Through foreign trade, capital flows, technology transfer, provision of services, interdependence and interlinkages to form a global organic economy, globalization of activities such as trade, investment, financial production, and so on, Factors of production in the global optimal allocation. Foreign direct investment (FDI), as an important means for multinational enterprises to operate globally, has become more and more flexible and diversified, and China has also become the country with the largest amount of foreign investment in the world. Its role in economic development can not be underestimated. Data on economic development in 2014 show that China has entered the ranks of middle-class developed countries, and the problem before us is how to reach the ranks of developed countries in economic development. To achieve industrial structure transformation and upgrading, successful across the "middle-income trap." The basic national conditions of our country at the present stage tell us that there are many loopholes and deficiencies in the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure, resources cannot be reasonably utilized, and the mode of economic development cannot be changed rapidly. At the same time, we should see that modern service industry plays an irreplaceable role in economic development, which is the only way to realize the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. We know that there are many factors affecting the upgrading of the industrial structure. The main purpose of this paper is to discuss the influence of FDI on the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure of our country on the premise that the other influencing factors remain the same. Thus, it provides a basis for the development direction of industrial structure upgrading in the future of our country. The first two chapters of this paper mainly describe the background of this topic and the significance of studying this topic, and then review the literature related to this topic, and on the basis of the previous research, have carried on the detailed arrangement. The internal mechanism of optimization and upgrading of industrial structure by FDI is analyzed reasonably. In the third chapter, the author analyzes the current situation of the industrial structure adjustment in China and the existing problems, and looks for the internal relationship between the three industries from the output value and employment situation of the three industries. It is found that the proportion of the secondary industry in the upgrading of the industrial structure of our country is gradually decreasing, while the proportion of the tertiary industry is gradually increasing, which is also in line with the theoretical analysis of the two in the early stage. The fourth chapter carries on the econometric analysis to our country's FDI and the industrial structure optimization upgrade, first is to establish the econometric model, then through the regression analysis draws some consistent conclusions with our country's reality, one is from the view of establishing the econometric model to each industry, The direction and degree of the influence of FDI on the three industrial structures of our country are different; Secondly, according to the lag regression model, the influence degree of foreign direct investment on the three industries of our country is obviously lagging, the third is the adjustment of industrial structure, the foreign direct investment has a significant impact on the optimization and upgrading of the industry, and the third is that the foreign direct investment has a significant impact on the optimization and upgrading of the industry. Fourthly, the adjustment of China's industrial structure has changed from "231st" to "321st". In order to become an economically developed country, it is necessary to promote the development of modern service industry to a strategic height. The fifth part puts forward some policy suggestions on absorbing foreign direct investment and optimizing the upgrading of industrial structure in our country, which can be divided into several aspects: first, to promote the regional self-absorption ability, to improve the spillover effect of FDI, and to promote the upgrading of industry; Second, optimize the distribution of FDI in the industrial structure; third, actively cultivate innovative ability. Finally, I would like to express my sincere thanks to the teachers and classmates who helped me in the process of writing my thesis.
【學位授予單位】：山東大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F121.3;F832.6
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