海洋產業(yè)結構變動對海洋經濟增長影響研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-12-11 04:57
【摘要】：產業(yè)結構對經濟增長的作用在理論和實踐上已經得到了證實。產業(yè)結構的優(yōu)化會促進經濟增長,尤其是在一個國家經歷了多年的粗放式經濟增長后,產業(yè)結構對經濟增長的貢獻越來越重要。目前中國已經進入中等收入國家行列,隨著要素紅利的減少,中國經濟增長的速度逐漸下降,產業(yè)結構調整成為經濟增長重要動力。2016年中國海洋經濟的總產值已經達到了6.8萬億元,占全國GDP的10%,而且海洋經濟的增長速度高于國民經濟的增長速度,海洋經濟在國民經濟中的地位越來越重要。相比發(fā)達國家的海洋經濟,中國的海洋經濟發(fā)達程度落后于西方國家,這種落后并不是要素投入的落后,而是海洋產業(yè)結構的落后,因此海洋產業(yè)結構變動對海洋經濟增長的重要性更加突出。同時隨著政府提出了一帶一路的國家戰(zhàn)略和供給側改革戰(zhàn)略,海洋經濟將會得到大力發(fā)展,這些戰(zhàn)略也為海洋產業(yè)結構調整提供了手段。所以研究海洋產業(yè)結構變動對海洋經濟增長具有現(xiàn)實的意義。本文在總結了前人對產業(yè)結構和海洋經濟研究的基礎上建立了海洋經濟增長函數(shù),并把海洋產業(yè)結構高級化和合理化引入到海洋生產函數(shù),得出了海洋產業(yè)結構變動對海洋經濟增長的理論模型。其中對于海洋產業(yè)結構高級化本文采用海洋第三產業(yè)產值與第二產業(yè)產值之比來衡量;對海洋產業(yè)結構合理化本文采用了泰爾指數(shù)來衡量。其次控制變量本文選擇了資本和勞動,分別用固定資產投資和海洋從業(yè)人數(shù)來衡量。本研究收集1996-2014年11個沿海省市的海洋數(shù)據,通過面板數(shù)據模型估計了海洋經濟增長函數(shù),并驗證了各變量對海洋經濟增長的影響。最后本文還研究海洋第一、二、三產對海洋經濟增量的影響,以確定我國目前海洋經濟是以什么產業(yè)為主導地位發(fā)展的。通過對我國海洋經濟發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀研究和計量模型分析,本文得出了以下結論:(1)我國海洋經濟發(fā)展不平衡,各地區(qū)差異很大。東海海洋經濟發(fā)展比較發(fā)達,南海比較落后。(2)我國海洋經濟的規(guī)模經濟效應并沒有結束,要素紅利還在,加大對海洋經濟的投入對海洋經濟的發(fā)展作用還很重要。尤其是海洋從業(yè)人數(shù)不足,勞動投入可以帶來海洋經濟的快速增長。(3)產業(yè)結構高級化對海洋經濟增長有顯著的正影響,同時海洋產業(yè)結構合理化對海洋經濟增長影響比較小,而且不顯著。這說明我國海洋經濟發(fā)展中技術引進和吸收比較成功,同時海洋各產業(yè)間要素流動不自由,要素不能從低效率部門很快流入高效率部門。(4)海洋各產業(yè)中,海洋第二產業(yè)對海洋經濟增量貢獻最大,說明我國海洋經濟還是以第二產業(yè)為主導,距離發(fā)達國家海洋經濟以第三產業(yè)為主導還有一定路程。最后本文在研究的基礎上給出了一些合理的建議來發(fā)展海洋經濟。首先,海洋經濟發(fā)展應當實行區(qū)域差異化發(fā)展,對于比較發(fā)達的地區(qū),應該更加關注海洋產業(yè)結構的調整,對于比較落后的地區(qū),應加大要素投入,尤其是基礎設施的建設。其次,規(guī)范海洋產業(yè)各部門的制度,加大海洋人才的培訓,從而減少海洋各產業(yè)部門之間要素流動的障礙,使得高效率部門得到更多要素,更好的發(fā)展海洋經濟。最后,要發(fā)揮海洋第一、二、三產業(yè)各自的優(yōu)勢,更合理的發(fā)展海洋經濟,尤其是第三產業(yè),要大力發(fā)展第三產業(yè),轉變海洋經濟的主導產業(yè),從而向發(fā)達的海洋經濟體靠攏。
[Abstract]:The role of industrial structure on economic growth has been proved in theory and practice. The optimization of industrial structure will promote economic growth, especially after a country has experienced many years of extensive economic growth, the contribution of industrial structure to economic growth is becoming more and more important. At present, China has entered the ranks of middle-income countries. With the reduction of the element bonus, the speed of China's economic growth is gradually declining, and the industrial structure adjustment has become an important power of economic growth. The total output value of China's marine economy has reached 6,8 trillion yuan in 2016, accounting for 10% of the country's GDP. Moreover, the growth rate of the marine economy is higher than that of the national economy, and the position of the marine economy in the national economy is becoming more and more important. Compared with the marine economy of the developed countries, the development of the marine economy of China lags behind the western countries, which is not the backward of the input of the elements, but the backward of the industrial structure of the ocean, so the change of the marine industrial structure is more important to the growth of the marine economy. At the same time, as the government has proposed a country strategy and supply-side reform strategy with one path, the marine economy will be vigorously developed, and these strategies also provide means for the structural adjustment of the marine industry. So it is of realistic significance to study the changes of the marine industrial structure to the growth of the marine economy. Based on the research of the industrial structure and the marine economy, this paper establishes the function of ocean economic growth, and introduces the high-level and rationalization of the marine industrial structure into the ocean production function, and draws the theoretical model of the change of the marine industrial structure to the economic growth of the ocean. In this paper, the ratio of the output value of the third industry and the output value of the second industry is measured for the high-level of the marine industrial structure, and the taire index is used to measure the industrial structure of the marine industry. The second control variable is the choice of capital and labor, which is measured by the investment of fixed assets and the number of marine employees, respectively. In this study, the ocean data of 11 coastal provinces and cities in 1996-2014 were collected, and the function of ocean economic growth was estimated through the panel data model, and the effect of the variables on the growth of the marine economy was also verified. In the end, the paper also studies the influence of the first, second and third production of the sea on the increment of the marine economy, so as to determine what industry is the dominant development of the marine economy in our country. Through the analysis of the present situation and the measurement model of the development of the marine economy in China, the following conclusions are drawn: (1) The development of the marine economy in China is not balanced, and the regional difference is great. The economic development of the marine economy in the East China Sea is relatively developed, and the South China Sea is relatively backward. (2) The scale and economic effect of the marine economy in China is not over, and the element bonus is still in, and it is also important to increase the contribution to the marine economy to the development of the marine economy. In particular, the number of offshore workers is not enough, and the labor input can bring the rapid growth of the marine economy. (3) The high-level of the industrial structure has a significant positive impact on the growth of the marine economy, while the rationalization of the marine industrial structure has a small impact on the growth of the marine economy, and is not significant. This means that the introduction and absorption of technology in the development of marine economy in our country are successful, while the flow of elements between the various industries of the sea is not free, and the factors can not flow into the high-efficiency department from the low-efficiency department. (4) In the marine industry, the second industry of the ocean has contributed most to the increment of the marine economy, which indicates that the marine economy of our country is dominated by the second industry, and the marine economy of the developed countries has a certain distance from the tertiary industry. At last, some reasonable suggestions are given on the basis of the study to develop the marine economy. First, the development of marine economy should carry out regional differential development. For more developed areas, it should pay more attention to the adjustment of the industrial structure of the ocean. For the backward areas, the element investment, especially the construction of the infrastructure, should be increased. Second, regulate the system of various sectors of the marine industry and increase the training of the marine talents, thus reducing the obstacles to the flow of factors between the various industrial sectors of the sea, so that the high-efficiency department can obtain more elements and better develop the marine economy. In the end, we should give full play to the advantages of the first, second and third industries of the ocean, to develop the marine economy more reasonably, especially the tertiary industry, to develop the tertiary industry and transform the leading industry of the marine economy, so as to close to the developed marine economy.
【學位授予單位】：上海海洋大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：P74
本文編號：2371915
[Abstract]:The role of industrial structure on economic growth has been proved in theory and practice. The optimization of industrial structure will promote economic growth, especially after a country has experienced many years of extensive economic growth, the contribution of industrial structure to economic growth is becoming more and more important. At present, China has entered the ranks of middle-income countries. With the reduction of the element bonus, the speed of China's economic growth is gradually declining, and the industrial structure adjustment has become an important power of economic growth. The total output value of China's marine economy has reached 6,8 trillion yuan in 2016, accounting for 10% of the country's GDP. Moreover, the growth rate of the marine economy is higher than that of the national economy, and the position of the marine economy in the national economy is becoming more and more important. Compared with the marine economy of the developed countries, the development of the marine economy of China lags behind the western countries, which is not the backward of the input of the elements, but the backward of the industrial structure of the ocean, so the change of the marine industrial structure is more important to the growth of the marine economy. At the same time, as the government has proposed a country strategy and supply-side reform strategy with one path, the marine economy will be vigorously developed, and these strategies also provide means for the structural adjustment of the marine industry. So it is of realistic significance to study the changes of the marine industrial structure to the growth of the marine economy. Based on the research of the industrial structure and the marine economy, this paper establishes the function of ocean economic growth, and introduces the high-level and rationalization of the marine industrial structure into the ocean production function, and draws the theoretical model of the change of the marine industrial structure to the economic growth of the ocean. In this paper, the ratio of the output value of the third industry and the output value of the second industry is measured for the high-level of the marine industrial structure, and the taire index is used to measure the industrial structure of the marine industry. The second control variable is the choice of capital and labor, which is measured by the investment of fixed assets and the number of marine employees, respectively. In this study, the ocean data of 11 coastal provinces and cities in 1996-2014 were collected, and the function of ocean economic growth was estimated through the panel data model, and the effect of the variables on the growth of the marine economy was also verified. In the end, the paper also studies the influence of the first, second and third production of the sea on the increment of the marine economy, so as to determine what industry is the dominant development of the marine economy in our country. Through the analysis of the present situation and the measurement model of the development of the marine economy in China, the following conclusions are drawn: (1) The development of the marine economy in China is not balanced, and the regional difference is great. The economic development of the marine economy in the East China Sea is relatively developed, and the South China Sea is relatively backward. (2) The scale and economic effect of the marine economy in China is not over, and the element bonus is still in, and it is also important to increase the contribution to the marine economy to the development of the marine economy. In particular, the number of offshore workers is not enough, and the labor input can bring the rapid growth of the marine economy. (3) The high-level of the industrial structure has a significant positive impact on the growth of the marine economy, while the rationalization of the marine industrial structure has a small impact on the growth of the marine economy, and is not significant. This means that the introduction and absorption of technology in the development of marine economy in our country are successful, while the flow of elements between the various industries of the sea is not free, and the factors can not flow into the high-efficiency department from the low-efficiency department. (4) In the marine industry, the second industry of the ocean has contributed most to the increment of the marine economy, which indicates that the marine economy of our country is dominated by the second industry, and the marine economy of the developed countries has a certain distance from the tertiary industry. At last, some reasonable suggestions are given on the basis of the study to develop the marine economy. First, the development of marine economy should carry out regional differential development. For more developed areas, it should pay more attention to the adjustment of the industrial structure of the ocean. For the backward areas, the element investment, especially the construction of the infrastructure, should be increased. Second, regulate the system of various sectors of the marine industry and increase the training of the marine talents, thus reducing the obstacles to the flow of factors between the various industrial sectors of the sea, so that the high-efficiency department can obtain more elements and better develop the marine economy. In the end, we should give full play to the advantages of the first, second and third industries of the ocean, to develop the marine economy more reasonably, especially the tertiary industry, to develop the tertiary industry and transform the leading industry of the marine economy, so as to close to the developed marine economy.
【學位授予單位】：上海海洋大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：P74
【參考文獻】
相關期刊論文 前10條
1 狄乾斌;劉欣欣;曹可;;中國海洋經濟發(fā)展的時空差異及其動態(tài)變化研究[J];地理科學;2013年12期
2 王端嵐;;福建省海洋產業(yè)結構變動與海洋經濟增長的關系研究[J];海洋開發(fā)與管理;2013年09期
3 張繼良;高志霞;楊榮;;我國沿海地區(qū)海洋經濟發(fā)展水平及效率研究[J];調研世界;2013年05期
4 趙昕;郭愷瑩;;基于GRA-DEA混合模型的沿海地區(qū)海洋經濟效率分析與評價[J];海洋經濟;2012年05期
5 馬仁鋒;李加林;莊佩君;楊曉平;李偉芳;;長江三角洲地區(qū)海洋產業(yè)競爭力評價[J];長江流域資源與環(huán)境;2012年08期
6 王怡;孫菲;;我國省域碳排放量與經濟增長、環(huán)境規(guī)制、產業(yè)結構和居民生活消費間關系的實證分析[J];技術經濟;2012年05期
7 殷為華;常麗霞;;國內外海洋產業(yè)發(fā)展趨勢與上海面臨的挑戰(zhàn)及應對[J];世界地理研究;2011年04期
8 宋瑞敏;楊化青;;廣西海洋產業(yè)發(fā)展中的金融支持研究[J];廣西社會科學;2011年09期
9 葉波;李潔瓊;;海南省海洋產業(yè)結構狀態(tài)與發(fā)展特點研究[J];海南大學學報(人文社會科學版);2011年04期
10 張文杰;鄭錦榮;;海洋產業(yè)對上海經濟拉動效應的實證研究[J];浙江農業(yè)學報;2011年03期
相關碩士學位論文 前1條
1 陳倩;遼寧省海洋產業(yè)結構變動與海洋經濟增長關系研究[D];遼寧師范大學;2011年
，本文編號：2371915
本文鏈接：http://sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/chanyejingjilunwen/2371915.html
最近更新
教材專著
