【摘要】：高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)存在專業(yè)化集聚、多樣化集聚和市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)3種集聚模式,高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚與創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出具有相關(guān)性。已有關(guān)于高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚與創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出關(guān)系的研究忽略了時(shí)間和空間因素的影響,導(dǎo)致研究的局限性�；诖�,以高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)為研究對(duì)象,探討高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚模式對(duì)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出的作用機(jī)制。從時(shí)間和空間視角,立足于產(chǎn)業(yè)整體和五大行業(yè),分別引入時(shí)間滯后項(xiàng)、空間滯后項(xiàng)和時(shí)空滯后交互項(xiàng),構(gòu)建動(dòng)態(tài)空間面板模型,分析高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)專業(yè)化集聚、多樣化集聚和市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)3種集聚模式與創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出的時(shí)空效應(yīng)。研究結(jié)果表明,高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出呈現(xiàn)顯著的空間依賴特征,表現(xiàn)為空間異質(zhì)性,整體呈現(xiàn)高-高和低-低的空間集聚分布,同時(shí)還具有顯著的累積循環(huán)效應(yīng)和空間溢出效應(yīng)。高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)多樣化集聚短期內(nèi)會(huì)對(duì)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出產(chǎn)生負(fù)向的區(qū)域內(nèi)和區(qū)域間溢出效應(yīng),從長(zhǎng)期看區(qū)域內(nèi)溢出效應(yīng)消失,區(qū)域間溢出效應(yīng)由負(fù)向轉(zhuǎn)為正向。集聚模式對(duì)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出的時(shí)空效應(yīng)還存在行業(yè)差異,以行業(yè)為研究對(duì)象時(shí),航空航天器制造業(yè)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出短期內(nèi)受到市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的負(fù)向區(qū)域間空間溢出,電子及通信設(shè)備制造業(yè)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出短期不僅受到專業(yè)化集聚和市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的正向區(qū)域內(nèi)空間溢出,還受到多樣化集聚對(duì)區(qū)域整體的負(fù)向空間溢出,其他行業(yè)的創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出沒(méi)有受到集聚的顯著影響;從長(zhǎng)期看產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚對(duì)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出的空間溢出效應(yīng)并不顯著。研究結(jié)果豐富了高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚與創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出關(guān)系的相關(guān)經(jīng)驗(yàn)研究,為高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚模式的選擇提供了經(jīng)驗(yàn)證據(jù),為高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出發(fā)展提供了戰(zhàn)略方向。
[Abstract]:There are three kinds of agglomeration modes: specialized agglomeration, diversified agglomeration and market competition in high-tech industry, and the agglomeration of high-tech industry is related to innovation output. The research on the relationship between hi-tech industry agglomeration and innovation output neglects the influence of time and space, which leads to the limitation of the research. Based on this, the mechanism of high-tech industry agglomeration on innovation output is discussed. From the angle of view of time and space, based on the whole industry and five industries, this paper introduces the time lag term, the spatial lag term and the space-time lag interaction item, constructs the dynamic spatial panel model, and analyzes the specialized agglomeration of high-tech industry. Diversification agglomeration and market competition: three kinds of agglomeration modes and the spatiotemporal effect of innovative output. The results show that the innovation output of high-tech industry shows significant spatial dependence, which is characterized by spatial heterogeneity, high and low spatial agglomeration. At the same time, there are significant cumulative cyclic effects and spatial spillover effects. The diversification agglomeration of high-tech industries will produce negative intraregional and inter-regional spillover effects on innovation output in the short term. In the long run, the intra-regional spillover effects will disappear, and the inter-regional spillover effects will change from negative to positive. There are industry differences in the spatiotemporal effects of agglomeration mode on innovation output. When the industry is taken as the research object, the innovation output of aerospace manufacturing industry is subject to negative inter-regional spatial spillover of market competition in the short term. The innovation output of electronic and communication equipment manufacturing industry is not only subject to positive intraregional spatial spillover due to specialization agglomeration and market competition, but also to negative spatial spillover of diversification agglomeration to the whole region. The innovation output of other industries is not significantly affected by agglomeration; the spatial spillover effect of industrial agglomeration on innovation output is not significant in the long run. The results enrich the empirical research on the relationship between high-tech industry agglomeration and innovation output, provide empirical evidence for the choice of high-tech industry cluster model, and provide strategic direction for the development of high-tech industry innovation output.
【作者單位】： 青島科技大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：全國(guó)統(tǒng)計(jì)科學(xué)研究計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2014LY035) 山東省軟科學(xué)研究項(xiàng)目(2015RKB01043)~~
【分類號(hào)】：F273.1;F276.44

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