中國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力及其影響因素研究
本文選題:生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易 + 競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力; 參考:《南京航空航天大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文
【摘要】:生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易在服務(wù)貿(mào)易中的比重日益增加,越來(lái)越成為經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)者和政策制定者研究的重點(diǎn)內(nèi)容。生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)作為生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易的產(chǎn)業(yè)基礎(chǔ)是目前我國(guó)進(jìn)行產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和優(yōu)化的研究重點(diǎn),對(duì)于我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定發(fā)展起著重要作用。但是生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀不容樂(lè)觀,其逆差存在已久并且有增大的趨勢(shì),亟需增加生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易的出口額。所以本文在分析我國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上,探索出影響其競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的因子。再有針對(duì)性地提出解決措施,以期提高我國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。本文首先分析我國(guó)1997-2014年生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易的現(xiàn)狀和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力狀況,分為整體和結(jié)構(gòu)兩部分進(jìn)行分析。在對(duì)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力進(jìn)行分析時(shí)還選取多個(gè)國(guó)家進(jìn)行對(duì)比分析,以比較出我國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的國(guó)際地位。實(shí)證上把因子分析和回歸分析兩種統(tǒng)計(jì)方法結(jié)合起來(lái),對(duì)供給因素、需求因素、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、產(chǎn)業(yè)基礎(chǔ)和政府作用這五種影響因素提取11個(gè)指標(biāo),來(lái)探討這些指標(biāo)對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的影響程度。通過(guò)因子分析提取兩個(gè)公共因子,“直接效應(yīng)”因子和“溢出效應(yīng)”因子。其中,直接效應(yīng)因子包括供給因素和產(chǎn)業(yè)基礎(chǔ),溢出效應(yīng)因子包括需求因素、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新和政府作用。通過(guò)回歸分析發(fā)現(xiàn)綜合因子得分對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的反映指標(biāo)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口額具有正效應(yīng)。但是FDI這一指標(biāo)卻因其自身的特殊性對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口額產(chǎn)生負(fù)效應(yīng)。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)這一結(jié)果的原因一方面在于FDI大部分流向制造業(yè)中,生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)所占份額較小。另一方面在于FDI自身存在擠出效應(yīng),行業(yè)間競(jìng)爭(zhēng)極有可能擠出本國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)所占份額。在對(duì)影響因素進(jìn)行詳細(xì)分析的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)如何提升我國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力提出有針對(duì)性的合理化建議。主要是從宏觀層面、產(chǎn)業(yè)層面和微觀層面全方位考慮,通過(guò)政府,行業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)和企業(yè)的共同努力來(lái)改善我國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀。
[Abstract]:The proportion of productive service trade in service trade is increasing day by day. As the industrial basis of producer service trade, producer service industry is the key point of industrial structure adjustment and optimization in China, which plays an important role in the long-term and stable development of China's economy. However, the current situation of productive service trade is not optimistic, its deficit has existed for a long time and has an increasing trend, it is urgent to increase the export value of productive services trade. Therefore, based on the analysis of the current situation of China's productive services trade, this paper explores the factors that affect its competitiveness. Furthermore, the author puts forward some measures to improve the competitiveness of China's productive service trade. This paper first analyzes the current situation and competitiveness of China's productive trade in services from 1997 to 2014, which is divided into two parts: the whole and the structure. In order to compare the international position of the competitiveness of China's productive services trade, several countries are selected to carry on the comparative analysis in order to compare the competitiveness of China's productive services trade. Empirically, two statistical methods, factor analysis and regression analysis, are combined to extract 11 indicators from five influencing factors, namely, supply factor, demand factor, technological innovation, industrial foundation and government role. To explore the impact of these indicators on the competitiveness of productive services trade. Two common factors, direct effect factor and spillover effect factor, were extracted by factor analysis. Among them, direct effect factor includes supply factor and industry base, spillover effect factor includes demand factor, technology innovation and government function. Through regression analysis, it is found that the comprehensive factor score has a positive effect on the index of the competitiveness of productive services trade. However, FDI has a negative effect on the export of productive services because of its own particularity. The study found that the reason for this result is that most of FDI flows to manufacturing, and producer services account for a relatively small share. On the other hand, there is extrusion effect in FDI itself, and competition among industries is likely to squeeze out the share of domestic producer services. Based on the detailed analysis of the influencing factors, this paper puts forward some reasonable suggestions on how to enhance the competitiveness of China's productive trade in services. Through the joint efforts of the government, industry associations and enterprises, we can improve the current situation of China's productive service trade from the macro level, the industrial level and the micro level.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:南京航空航天大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2016
【分類號(hào)】:F752.68
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