本文選題：產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易 + 制造業(yè)�。� 參考：《北京交通大學》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著國際分工日益深入和不斷發(fā)展,國際貿易的形式近年來發(fā)生了很大變化,產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易在各國對外貿易發(fā)展中起著越來越重要的作用。自1992年建交以來,中韓雙邊貿易規(guī)模不斷擴大,而隨著中國經(jīng)濟的迅速發(fā)展和產(chǎn)業(yè)結構的升級,以及韓國開始步入后工業(yè)化階段,產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易已經(jīng)成為中國與韓國雙邊貿易的重要模式,同時,制造業(yè)在中韓雙邊貿易中已占據(jù)了極大的比重。因此對兩國制造業(yè)(SITC5-8)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易進行研究對于我們了解中韓兩國間制造業(yè)比較優(yōu)勢的動態(tài)變化以及分工模式的轉變具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。本文利用SITC3分位數(shù)據(jù),以2002-2013年中韓制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易的發(fā)展為研究對象,考察了中韓兩國制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易的發(fā)展水平、變化趨勢、分工類型以及決定因素等。 本文首先分析了中韓兩國雙邊貿易和制造業(yè)貿易規(guī)模及變動趨勢,并通過制造業(yè)貿易在雙邊貿易中所占比重來說明其重要地位。然后,運用G-L指數(shù)法和調整后的G-L指數(shù)法從兩個層面測算中韓制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易水平。結果發(fā)現(xiàn),制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易整體處于緩慢上升的態(tài)勢。具體而言,SITC6(按原料分類的制成品)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易指數(shù)自2005年開始超過0.5,表現(xiàn)出產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易的特征；SITC5(化學成品及有關商品)、SITC7(機械及運輸設備)、SITC8(雜項制品)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易水平雖處于上升狀態(tài),但產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易指數(shù)低于0.5,表現(xiàn)為產(chǎn)業(yè)間貿易。在確定產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易水平之后,本文選取了多個以SITC4分位數(shù)進行分類的產(chǎn)品,并用G-L指數(shù)、GHM指數(shù)對其產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易水平和產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易結構進行了測算分析。結果發(fā)現(xiàn),中韓兩國制造業(yè)產(chǎn)品處于產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易和產(chǎn)業(yè)間貿易共存的狀態(tài),而產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易多以垂直型產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易為主,且有向水平產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易發(fā)展的趨勢。 在對中韓制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易影響因素的研究中,本文通過學習國內外學者的研究方法設定了計量模型,選取外商直接投資(FDI)、市場規(guī)模(IS)、技術進步(TP)、貿易開放度(OP)、貿易不平衡度(TB)等五個影響因素進行了回歸分析。結果顯示,市場規(guī)模與制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易成正相關,FDI和貿易失衡度與制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易成負相關,而技術進步、貿易開放度對兩國制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內貿易影響不顯著。
[Abstract]:With the deepening and continuous development of international division of labor, the form of international trade has changed greatly in recent years, and intra-industry trade plays a more and more important role in the development of foreign trade. Since the establishment of diplomatic relations in 1992, the scale of bilateral trade between China and South Korea has been continuously expanding. With the rapid development of China's economy and the upgrading of industrial structure, South Korea has begun to enter the post-industrialization stage. Intra-industry trade has become an important mode of bilateral trade between China and South Korea, and manufacturing industry has occupied a great proportion in bilateral trade between China and South Korea. Therefore, the study of intra-industry trade between the two countries has important practical significance for us to understand the dynamic changes of the comparative advantage of manufacturing industry between China and South Korea and the change of the mode of division of labor. Based on the SITC3 quantile data and the development of intra-industry trade between China and South Korea from 2002 to 2013, this paper investigates the development level, changing trend, division of labor and determinants of intra-industry trade between China and South Korea. This paper first analyzes the scale and trend of bilateral trade and manufacturing trade between China and South Korea, and explains its important position through the proportion of manufacturing trade in bilateral trade. Then, we use G-L index method and adjusted G-L index method to measure the level of intra-industry trade between China and South Korea. The results show that the overall intra-industry trade in the manufacturing industry is rising slowly. Specifically, the Intra-industry Trade Index (Intra-industry Trade Index) of SITC6 (manufactured goods by raw material) has exceeded 0.5 since 2005, showing the characteristics of intra-industry trade. Although the level is rising, However, the index of intra-industry trade is less than 0.5, which is represented by inter-industry trade. After determining the level of intra-industry trade, this paper selected a number of products classified by SITC4 quantiles, and calculated and analyzed the intra-industry trade level and intra-industry trade structure with G-L index and GHM index. The results show that the manufacturing products of China and Korea are in the state of coexistence of intra-industry trade and inter-industry trade, while intra-industry trade is mainly vertical intra-industry trade and tends to develop towards horizontal intra-industry trade. In the study of the influencing factors of intra-industry trade between China and South Korea, this paper sets up the econometric model by studying the research methods of domestic and foreign scholars. Five influencing factors such as foreign direct investment (FDI), market size, technological progress, trade openness and trade imbalance are selected for regression analysis. The results show that there is a positive correlation between market size and intra-industry trade in manufacturing industry. FDI and trade imbalance are negatively correlated with intra-industry trade in manufacturing industry, while technological progress and trade openness have no significant impact on intra-industry trade between the two countries.
【學位授予單位】：北京交通大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F752.7;F424

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