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基于突變級數(shù)法的體育產(chǎn)業(yè)上市公司成長性評價研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-05-01 07:11

  本文選題:上市公司 + 成長性; 參考:《武漢體育學(xué)院》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:隨著健康中國建設(shè)的不斷落實,消費者的健康觀念普遍提升。對于大中型城市的消費者來說,他們的休閑娛樂的時間越來越多,并且他們對游泳、瑜伽、羽毛球、乒乓球等體育運(yùn)動的熱情持續(xù)升溫。在此基礎(chǔ)之上發(fā)展體育產(chǎn)業(yè),不僅有利于提高中華民族的身體素質(zhì),而且有利于擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需,在我國經(jīng)濟(jì)“新常態(tài)”時期,為國家培育新的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長點。本文選取中國體育產(chǎn)業(yè)中規(guī)模較大的上市公司為研究對象,以國內(nèi)上市的15家公司在2013年至2016年的半年報財務(wù)數(shù)據(jù)作為研究樣本。首先基于企業(yè)成長性理論,采用文獻(xiàn)法選取影響公司成長性較大的財務(wù)指標(biāo),構(gòu)建體育產(chǎn)業(yè)上市公司成長性評價指標(biāo)體系;然后運(yùn)用突變級數(shù)法處理相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)得到體育產(chǎn)業(yè)上市公司成長性綜合排名表并進(jìn)行成長性評價,劃分體育產(chǎn)業(yè)上市公司成長性類別;最后論述本文的主要結(jié)論并提出提高公司成長性的建議。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):(1)長期位居香港證券交易所體育產(chǎn)業(yè)類上市公司成長性排名前四位的公司分是安踏體育、寶勝國際、浩沙國際、特步國際。長期位居上海證券交易所和深圳證券交易所體育產(chǎn)業(yè)類上市公司成長性綜合排名前三位的是探路者、青島雙星和愷英網(wǎng)絡(luò)。大多數(shù)體育產(chǎn)業(yè)上市公司在發(fā)展、盈利、償債和運(yùn)營四項能力上,只有其中一項或幾項表現(xiàn)較好,即絕大多數(shù)公司在成長性上發(fā)展不均衡,國內(nèi)15家體育產(chǎn)業(yè)上市公司只有安踏體育在四項能力均值上都達(dá)到較好的排名。(2)在所選的15家樣本中有34%的體育產(chǎn)業(yè)公司在近4年保持較好的總體發(fā)展態(tài)勢。(3)成長性較好的7家上市公司在成長效率維度表現(xiàn)較差,在成長質(zhì)量維度和成長速度維度表現(xiàn)較好;而成長性較差的8家上市公司在成長質(zhì)量維度和成長速度維度表現(xiàn)較差,在成長效率維度表現(xiàn)較好。(4)本文將體育產(chǎn)業(yè)上市公司成長性分為四個類型,分別是平穩(wěn)正增長型、波動正增長型、平穩(wěn)負(fù)增長型和波動負(fù)增長型。屬于平穩(wěn)正增長型的上市公司有4家,屬于波動正增長型的有1家,屬于平穩(wěn)負(fù)增長型的有4家,屬于波動負(fù)增長型的有6家。(5)通過對2013年至2016年的半年報財務(wù)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析,本文認(rèn)為在上海證券交易所和深圳證券交易所中體育產(chǎn)業(yè)類上市公司的成長性整體處于下降階段,而香港證券交易所中體育產(chǎn)業(yè)類上市公司的成長性整體處于上升階段。
[Abstract]:With the continuous implementation of healthy China construction, consumer health concept is generally improved. For large and medium-sized city consumers, their leisure time is increasing, and their enthusiasm for swimming, yoga, badminton, table tennis and other sports continues to heat up. On this basis, the development of sports industry is not only conducive to improving the physical quality of the Chinese nation, but also conducive to the expansion of domestic demand, in the "new normal" period of China's economy, for the country to cultivate a new economic growth point. In this paper, the larger listed companies in the sports industry in China are selected as the research objects, and the financial data of 15 listed companies in China from 2013 to 2016 are taken as the research samples. Firstly, based on the theory of enterprise growth, using the literature method to select the financial indicators that affect the growth of the company, and to construct the evaluation index system of the growth of the listed companies in sports industry. Then using the sudden change series method to deal with the relevant data to obtain the sports industry listed companies growth comprehensive ranking table and the growth evaluation, divided the sports industry listed companies growth categories; Finally, this paper discusses the main conclusions and puts forward suggestions to improve the growth of the company. The study found that the top four companies in the long list of listed sports companies on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange are Anta Sports, Baosheng International, Haosha International, and step International. Long standing in the Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange sports industry listed companies in the top three comprehensive growth is the road finder, Qingdao Shuangxing and Kai Ying Network. Most listed companies in the sports industry perform better in terms of development, profitability, debt service and operation, only one or more of them perform better, that is, the vast majority of companies develop unevenly in terms of growth. China's 15 listed sports industry companies only Anta Sports on the average of the four ability to achieve a better ranking. 2) in the selected 15 samples of 34% of the sports industry companies in the past four years to maintain a better overall development trend. The growth efficiency of the seven listed companies with a long and good performance is not good in the dimension of growth efficiency. In the dimension of growth quality and growth rate, the performance of the eight listed companies with poor growth is poor in the dimension of growth quality and growth rate. The growth of listed companies in sports industry is divided into four types: stable positive growth, fluctuating positive growth, stable negative growth and fluctuating negative growth. There are four listed companies with stable and positive growth, one with positive volatility, four with stable and negative growth, and six with negative volatility. This paper holds that the growth of sports industry listed companies in Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange is at the stage of decline, while that of sports industry listed companies in Hong Kong Stock Exchange is on the rise.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:武漢體育學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:G80-05

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