我國(guó)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展、金融結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)——基于最優(yōu)金融結(jié)構(gòu)理論的實(shí)證分析
本文選題:高科技產(chǎn)業(yè) + 金融結(jié)構(gòu)�。� 參考:《工業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)》2016年02期
【摘要】:最優(yōu)金融結(jié)構(gòu)理論認(rèn)為,處于技術(shù)世界前沿的高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展將帶動(dòng)金融結(jié)構(gòu)向金融市場(chǎng)化方向發(fā)展。本文針對(duì)我國(guó)金融結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀,建立了包括金融與產(chǎn)業(yè)因素兩變量的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型,運(yùn)用單整、協(xié)整與格蘭杰方法進(jìn)行檢驗(yàn)并對(duì)模型進(jìn)行估計(jì),發(fā)現(xiàn)我國(guó)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展并沒有帶動(dòng)直接金融的發(fā)展,而是促進(jìn)了銀行信貸的擴(kuò)張,強(qiáng)化了以間接金融作為主導(dǎo)的金融結(jié)構(gòu);同時(shí),高技術(shù)產(chǎn)的發(fā)展沒能發(fā)揮促進(jìn)我國(guó)整個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的作用。進(jìn)一步從銀行"搭便車"行為、我國(guó)高科技產(chǎn)業(yè)低風(fēng)險(xiǎn)特性以及我國(guó)主要資本市場(chǎng)上市門檻過高三方面解釋了我國(guó)高科技產(chǎn)業(yè)與金融結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)系。目前,我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)正向服務(wù)業(yè)為主導(dǎo)的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)方向轉(zhuǎn)變,制造業(yè)也將更加科技化、智能化,面對(duì)這些新情況,提出了"十三五"期間促進(jìn)高科技產(chǎn)業(yè)和金融市場(chǎng)共同發(fā)展的五條政策建議。
[Abstract]:The theory of optimal financial structure holds that the development of high-tech industry, which is at the forefront of the technological world, will drive the financial structure to the direction of financial marketization. In this paper, according to the present situation of financial structure and industry development in China, an econometric model with two variables of financial and industrial factors is established, which is tested by single integration, cointegration and Granger methods, and the model is estimated. It is found that the development of high-tech industry in China does not lead to the development of direct finance, but promotes the expansion of bank credit and strengthens the financial structure dominated by indirect finance. The development of high-tech industry failed to play the role of promoting the upgrading of the whole industrial structure of our country. Further, the relationship between high-tech industry and financial structure is explained from three aspects: the "hitchhiking" behavior of banks, the low risk characteristics of high-tech industry in China and the high threshold of listing in the main capital markets of our country. At present, the economy of our country is changing towards an industrial structure dominated by the service industry, and the manufacturing industry will also become more scientific and intelligent. In the face of these new conditions, Five policy suggestions are put forward to promote the development of high-tech industry and financial market during the 13th five-year plan.
【作者單位】: 鹽城師范學(xué)院;鹽城金融研究院;
【基金】:江蘇沿海開發(fā)研究院“江蘇沿海地區(qū)現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)和制造業(yè)融合發(fā)展研究”(項(xiàng)目編號(hào):RIJCD15003)項(xiàng)目支持
【分類號(hào)】:F832.7
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