本文選題：經(jīng)濟增長　切入點：能源利用　出處：《科研管理》2017年01期

【摘要】：基于VEC模型,通過單位根檢驗、協(xié)整檢驗、脈沖響應(yīng)分析和方差分解分析,利用中國1985-2011年三個產(chǎn)業(yè)能源利用與經(jīng)濟增長相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),對經(jīng)濟增長和三個產(chǎn)業(yè)能源利用的長期均衡及動態(tài)關(guān)系進行了實證分析。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟增長是推動能源消費的主要動因;第一、二產(chǎn)業(yè)能耗應(yīng)該繼續(xù)適度的增長;第三產(chǎn)業(yè)能耗對經(jīng)濟增長具有長期協(xié)整作用,是未來中國經(jīng)濟增長的主要推動力。此外,本文還從能源投入結(jié)構(gòu)、三個產(chǎn)業(yè)能源投入情況以及應(yīng)對反彈效應(yīng)的負面影響等方面提出了建議。
[Abstract]:Based on VEC model, through unit root test, cointegration test, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition analysis, the data related to energy utilization and economic growth of three industries in China from 1985 to 2011 are used.The long-term equilibrium and dynamic relationship between economic growth and energy utilization of three industries are analyzed empirically.The results show that economic growth is the main driving force to promote energy consumption; first, energy consumption of the second industry should continue to increase moderately; energy consumption of the tertiary industry has a long-term cointegration effect on economic growth and is the main driving force of future economic growth in China.In addition, the paper also puts forward some suggestions from the aspects of energy input structure, energy input situation of three industries and the negative impact of rebound effect.
【作者單位】： 四川大學(xué)經(jīng)濟學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社科基金項目“低碳經(jīng)濟背景下我國能效標識制度的發(fā)展和優(yōu)化”(編號:13BJY066,2013.07.01-2016.12.31)
【分類號】：F124
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本文編號：1723321