基于WIO-MFA模型的中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)間鐵元素流動(dòng)分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-27 11:06
本文選題:投入產(chǎn)出 切入點(diǎn):WIO 出處:《山東大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:自十八世紀(jì)中葉工業(yè)革命在英國(guó)率先爆發(fā)以來(lái),全世界在經(jīng)歷了漫長(zhǎng)的農(nóng)耕文明之后,逐漸開始進(jìn)入機(jī)器化的工業(yè)時(shí)代。而隨著工業(yè)革命的逐漸深化,全球也開始進(jìn)入了資源大消耗的時(shí)代,尤其是鋼鐵業(yè)在現(xiàn)代文明的發(fā)展過(guò)程中貢獻(xiàn)了巨大的作用,這也使得鋼鐵業(yè)開始消耗大量的鐵資源。進(jìn)入到二十一世紀(jì)以后,全球的礦產(chǎn)資源,尤其是傳統(tǒng)型資源,如鐵資源、煤炭、石油等,都開始面臨資源逐漸枯竭的尷尬局面。在目前還沒(méi)有找到足夠多的替代性能源之前,思考如何使傳統(tǒng)型資源(在本文中具體指鐵資源)能夠進(jìn)入一種循環(huán)利用的模式就成為了一個(gè)越來(lái)越重要的課題。而要想使得鐵資源循環(huán)利用,一個(gè)重要的前提是要明晰鐵資源在產(chǎn)業(yè)間的流動(dòng)路徑。因此,本論文正是基于這樣的背景開始創(chuàng)作的。當(dāng)前中國(guó)的工業(yè)化進(jìn)程正在加快,工業(yè)化的發(fā)展勢(shì)必會(huì)消耗大量的鐵資源,因此,這篇論文的目的就是通過(guò)編制中國(guó)2007年鐵元素投入產(chǎn)出表(FeIO)來(lái)分析中國(guó)的鐵元素在不同產(chǎn)業(yè)間的流動(dòng)情況。本論文的研究方法是基于廢棄物投入與產(chǎn)出的物質(zhì)流分析模型(WIO-MFA). WIO-MFA模型最初是由日本經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家Shinichiro Nakamura和Kenichi Nakajima于2005年最先提出的,并且在日本獲得了成功地應(yīng)用。鐵元素的投入產(chǎn)出表(FeIO)展示了鐵這種元素在國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)相關(guān)部門之間的流動(dòng)情況,如原始資源部門、原料部門、產(chǎn)成品部門以及二次資源等相關(guān)部門。要想分析鐵元素在不同產(chǎn)業(yè)間的具體流動(dòng)情況,一個(gè)重要的前提是獲得高區(qū)分度的鐵元素投入產(chǎn)出表(FeIO)。因此,為了獲得具有較高區(qū)分度的FeIO,本論文引入了一種非調(diào)查方法的編譯方式,而這種編譯方式是基于目前可以利用到的相關(guān)投入產(chǎn)出表,這些投入產(chǎn)出表都是經(jīng)過(guò)國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)部門的嚴(yán)格審核之后發(fā)布的。因此這就保證了本論文編制的鐵元素投入產(chǎn)出表(FeIO)具有很高的解析度。在成功編制中國(guó)2007年鐵元素投入產(chǎn)出表之后,本論文的下一個(gè)目標(biāo)是分析鐵元素在中國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)不同部門間的流動(dòng)情況。為了闡明蘊(yùn)含在FeIO中的鐵元素物質(zhì)流分析,本論文采用了一種新的方法——主路徑分析。通過(guò)主路徑分析方法,我們?cè)谡撐闹袣w納出了關(guān)于鐵元素的流動(dòng)路徑;鶊D。鐵元素的流動(dòng)路徑;鶊D展示了鐵元素對(duì)于任何給定的產(chǎn)業(yè)循環(huán)起始點(diǎn)和結(jié)束點(diǎn)的最相關(guān)的流動(dòng)路徑。同時(shí),主路徑分析方法也揭示了鐵元素在不同產(chǎn)業(yè)間的制造程度。
[Abstract]:Since the industrial revolution first broke out in England in the middle of the eighteenth century, after a long history of farming civilization, the whole world has gradually entered into a mechanized industrial age, and with the deepening of the industrial revolution, The world also began to enter the era of great consumption of resources, especially the steel industry in the development of modern civilization has contributed a huge role, which also made the steel industry began to consume a large number of iron resources. Into the 21 century, Global mineral resources, especially traditional ones, such as iron, coal, oil and so on, are beginning to face an awkward situation of gradual depletion. It has become more and more important to think about how to make traditional resources (in this paper specifically refer to iron resources) into a mode of recycling. An important prerequisite is to clarify the flow path of iron resources between industries. Therefore, this paper is based on this background. The development of industrialization is bound to consume a large amount of iron resources. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the flow of iron in different industries in China by compiling the iron input-output table of 2007 in China. The research method of this paper is based on the material flow of waste input and output. The WIO-MFA model was first proposed by Japanese economists Shinichiro Nakamura and Kenichi Nakajima in 2005. And it has been successfully applied in Japan. The input-output table of iron shows the flow of iron among the relevant sectors of the national economy, such as the raw resources sector, the raw material sector, If you want to analyze the specific flow of iron between different industries, an important prerequisite is to obtain a highly differentiated iron input-output table. In order to obtain FeIOs with high degree of discrimination, this paper introduces a non-survey compilation method, which is based on the relevant input-output tables available at present. These input-output tables are issued after strict examination by the national statistical office. Therefore, this ensures that the iron input-output table compiled in this paper has a very high resolution. After the prime input-output table, The next objective of this paper is to analyze the flow of iron between different sectors of China's national economy. In this paper, a new method, the main path analysis, is adopted. In this paper, we generalize the flow path of the iron element, which shows the most relevant flow path of the iron element to any given starting and ending point of the industrial cycle. At the same time, The main path analysis method also reveals the manufacturing degree of iron in different industries.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山東大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F426.31;F224
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