全球價值鏈下的垂直專業(yè)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)升級
發(fā)布時間:2018-02-23 18:25
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 全球價值鏈 垂直專業(yè)化 出口技術(shù)含量 產(chǎn)業(yè)升級 出處:《南京大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:自加入WTO以來,中國不斷融入國際分工體系,貿(mào)易規(guī)模取得了“爆發(fā)式”增長。2013年,中國貨物貿(mào)易進(jìn)出口總額達(dá)到4.16萬億美元,占世界貨物貿(mào)易總額的11.5%,首次超越美國成為全球貨物貿(mào)易第一大國,并成為全球第一個突破4萬億美元的國家。但在當(dāng)前全球價值鏈分工的背景下,各國通過比較優(yōu)勢參與產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)的各個環(huán)節(jié),發(fā)展中國家大力開展“進(jìn)口換出口”的貿(mào)易模式。因此,貿(mào)易數(shù)量的增長不能真實(shí)反應(yīng)一國在國際分工體系的地位,更不能說明一國的出口產(chǎn)業(yè)在價值鏈分工中實(shí)現(xiàn)了產(chǎn)業(yè)升級。本文首先利用貿(mào)易統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù),分析了中國在2001-2013年的貿(mào)易規(guī)模、貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r。然后,在全球價值鏈的分析框架內(nèi),在投入-產(chǎn)出表的基礎(chǔ)上,采用改進(jìn)的HIY方法測算了中國2001-2011年的一般貿(mào)易、加工貿(mào)易和總貿(mào)易的垂直專業(yè)化水平。并利用剝離了進(jìn)口技術(shù)含量后的出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)含量指標(biāo)衡量了中國在2001-2011年出口產(chǎn)業(yè)升級狀況。最后,利用2001-2011年各行業(yè)面板數(shù)據(jù),實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)了利用一般貿(mào)易和加工貿(mào)易的方式參與垂直專業(yè)化分工對中國產(chǎn)業(yè)價值鏈升級的影響。通過上述研究,本文發(fā)現(xiàn)中國目前的貿(mào)易產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)雖以技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)為主,但技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)的貿(mào)易中中間品貿(mào)易比例較大。中國整體垂直專業(yè)化水平較高,但行業(yè)差異較大,其中,技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè),如通信設(shè)備等的垂直專業(yè)化水平較高,資本密集型產(chǎn)業(yè),如石油化工的垂直專業(yè)化水平居中,勞動密集型產(chǎn)業(yè),如紡織業(yè)的垂直專業(yè)化水平較低。勞動密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)出口產(chǎn)品國內(nèi)技術(shù)含量高于技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè),且增長速度快于技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)品。實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)發(fā)現(xiàn):過10多年來,中國參與全球價值鏈分工促進(jìn)了中國的產(chǎn)業(yè)升級,但以一般貿(mào)易參與垂直專業(yè)分工與以加工貿(mào)易參與垂直專業(yè)化分工將產(chǎn)生不同的影響。以一般貿(mào)易參與國際貿(mào)易分工,有利于產(chǎn)業(yè)升級,而以加工貿(mào)易參與價值鏈分工,不但不能促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級,反而有可能使中國陷入“比較優(yōu)勢陷阱”,長期被鎖定在價值鏈的低端環(huán)節(jié);跍y算和實(shí)證的研究結(jié)論,本文從改變貿(mào)易方式參與價值鏈分工,改善國內(nèi)制度環(huán)境等5個方面提出了促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級的政策性建議,
[Abstract]:Since China joined the WTO, China has continuously integrated into the international division of labor system, and the scale of its trade has achieved a "explosive" growth. In 2013, the total import and export volume of China's trade in goods reached 4.16 tillion US dollars. For the first time, 11.5 percent of the world's total trade in goods overtook the United States as the world's largest country in trade in goods, and became the first country in the world to break through $4 tillion. But in the context of the current division of labor in global value chains, Each country participates in each link of product production through comparative advantage, developing country develops the trade pattern of "import for export" energetically. Therefore, the increase of trade quantity cannot truly reflect a country's position in the international division of labor system. It can not be explained that a country's export industry has achieved industrial upgrading in the division of labor in the value chain. Firstly, using trade statistics, this paper analyzes the scale of trade and the development of trade structure in China from 2001 to 2013. Then, In the framework of global value chain analysis and on the basis of input-output table, this paper uses the improved HIY method to measure China's general trade from 2001 to 2011. The vertical specialization level of processing trade and total trade. The upgrading of China's export industry in 2001-2011 is measured by using the technical content index of export products after stripping off the import technology content. Finally, the panel data of various industries in 2001-2011 are used to measure the upgrading of China's export industry. This paper empirically examines the impact of vertical specialization on the upgrading of China's industrial value chain by means of general trade and processing trade. Through the above studies, this paper finds that the current structure of China's trade industry is dominated by technology-intensive industries. However, the proportion of intermediate goods in the trade of technology-intensive industries is large. China's overall vertical specialization level is relatively high, but the industry differences are great. Among them, the level of vertical specialization in technology-intensive industries, such as communications equipment, is relatively high. The vertical specialization level of capital-intensive industries, such as petrochemical industry, is in the middle, while that of labor-intensive industries, such as textile industry, is lower. The domestic technology content of labor-intensive industries exports is higher than that of technology-intensive industries. Empirical tests show that China's participation in the global value chain division of labor has promoted China's industrial upgrading in more than a decade. However, taking part in vertical division of labor with general trade and vertical division of labor with processing trade will have different effects. Participation of general trade in division of labor in international trade is beneficial to industrial upgrading, and participation in division of value chain by processing trade. Instead of promoting industrial upgrading, China is likely to fall into the "comparative advantage trap" and be locked in the low end of the value chain for a long time. Based on the results of measurement and empirical research, this paper takes part in the division of labor in the value chain by changing the trade mode. Five aspects, such as improving the domestic institutional environment, put forward some policy suggestions to promote industrial upgrading.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:南京大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F752
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