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太原市小產權房業(yè)主購房意愿影響因素的研究

發(fā)布時間:2019-06-02 20:27
【摘要】:近幾年來太原市的小產權房的發(fā)展很快,小產權房范圍廣、規(guī)模大、數量多,這種現象已經嚴重影響到太原城市整體的發(fā)展。首先影響太原市樓市的正常發(fā)展,對購買和開發(fā)正規(guī)商品房的購房者和開發(fā)者不公平;其次影響房地產市場的正常運行;第三是會影響部分城市城中村改造,最后也是最嚴重的是由于太原市小產權房的建造不是按照預先的城市規(guī)劃進行的,小產權房的建造會嚴重影響到整個城市的布局,給太原市未來的可持續(xù)發(fā)展帶來挑戰(zhàn)。如何解決太原市小產權房的存在造成的社會問題成為擺在現實面前的問題。在此背景下,本文將太原市“小產權房業(yè)主購房意愿”進行研究,分析影響“小產權房業(yè)主購房意愿”的因素,對太原市小產權房的治理提出政策建議。通過對已有文獻的閱讀、分析和總結,對目前小產權房的研究進行充分地了解,系統(tǒng)地說明自己對小產權房的定義、成因、類型等的理解;對于本文研究主題相關的制度變遷理論、博弈論和有限理性理論進行解釋說明,以此作為本文研究主題的理論基礎。本文在系統(tǒng)的總結小產權房的相關文獻、理論的基礎上,選取了影響“小產權房業(yè)主購房意愿”的影響因素,并提出了研究假設。之后為了研究的需要做了以下的工作:問卷設計、數據獲取、數據統(tǒng)計描述、Probit模型的選取和構建、回顧分析,結果分析。通過以上工作本文研究結論后,提出有針對性的政策建議。通過Probit模型對影響太原市“小產權房業(yè)主購房意愿”的因素進行回歸分析,得出個體特征變量和環(huán)境認知變量對“小產權房業(yè)主的購房意愿”的影響方向和程度。在個體特征變量中其中戶籍、性別、職業(yè)變量對“小產權房業(yè)主的購房意愿”的影響不顯著,剩下的三個個體特征變量都對“小產權房業(yè)主的購房意愿”存在顯著性影響。其中年齡變量的影響是正向的,學歷,月收入的影響是負向的;環(huán)境認知變量中“村集體的擔!睂Α靶‘a權房業(yè)主的購房意愿”的影響不顯著,知識背景、政策認知、群體“羊群效應”對“小產權房業(yè)主的購房意愿”的影響是顯著的。從影響方向來看,知識背景和政策認知變量對“小產權房業(yè)主的購房意愿”的影響呈現負向,群體“羊群相應”變量對“小產權房業(yè)主的購房意愿”的影響呈現正向。并提出建立太原市小產權房數據庫、建立符合太原市的小產權房規(guī)制政策、加大保障性住房建設、加大宣傳力度,提高小產權房購房者的認知能力四方面的建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the development of small property right house in Taiyuan City is very fast, the scope of small property right house is wide, the scale is large, the quantity is large, this phenomenon has seriously affected the overall development of Taiyuan city. First of all, it affects the normal development of Taiyuan real estate market, and is unfair to buyers and developers who buy and develop formal commercial housing. Secondly, it affects the normal operation of the real estate market. The third is that it will affect the transformation of villages in some cities, and finally, and the most serious is that the construction of small property right houses in Taiyuan City is not carried out in accordance with the prior urban planning, and the construction of small property rights houses will seriously affect the layout of the whole city. It brings challenges to the sustainable development of Taiyuan in the future. How to solve the social problems caused by the existence of small property rights houses in Taiyuan has become a problem in front of reality. Under this background, this paper studies the willingness of owners of small property rights in Taiyuan, analyzes the factors that affect the willingness of owners of small property rights to buy houses, and puts forward some policy suggestions on the governance of small property rights houses in Taiyuan. Through the reading, analysis and summary of the existing literature, this paper makes a full understanding of the current research on the small property right house, and systematically explains his understanding of the definition, causes, types and so on of the small property right house. This paper explains the institutional change theory, game theory and finite rationality theory related to the theme of this paper, which is the theoretical basis of this paper. On the basis of systematically summing up the relevant literature and theory of small property right house, this paper selects the influencing factors of "small property right house owner's willingness to buy", and puts forward the research hypothesis. After that, the following work has been done for the needs of research: questionnaire design, data acquisition, data statistical description, selection and construction of Probit model, review and analysis, result analysis. Through the above work, after the conclusions of this paper, put forward targeted policy recommendations. Through Probit model, this paper makes regression analysis on the factors that affect the purchase intention of small property right owners in Taiyuan City, and obtains the influence direction and degree of individual characteristic variables and environmental cognitive variables on "small property right house owners' purchase intention". Among the individual characteristic variables, household registration, sex and occupation variables have no significant effect on the purchase intention of the owners of small property rights, and the remaining three individual characteristic variables have a significant impact on the willingness of the owners of small property rights to buy houses. Among them, the influence of age variable is positive, the influence of educational background and monthly income is negative. Among the environmental cognitive variables, the influence of "village collective guarantee" on "the purchase intention of small property right owners" is not significant, but the influence of knowledge background, policy cognition and group "herding effect" on "the purchase intention of small property right house owners" is significant. From the perspective of influence direction, the influence of knowledge background and policy cognitive variables on the willingness of small property owners to buy houses is negative, while the influence of herd corresponding variables on the willingness of owners of small property rights to buy houses is positive. The paper also puts forward four suggestions: to establish the database of small property right house in Taiyuan, to establish the regulation policy of small property right house in Taiyuan, to increase the construction of affordable housing, to strengthen the propaganda, and to improve the cognitive ability of the buyers of small property right house.
【學位授予單位】:山西財經大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F299.23

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