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我國城市住房租售比影響因素及其區(qū)域差異研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-12-11 06:54
【摘要】:近年來,在中國經(jīng)濟快速增長的帶動下,我國房地產(chǎn)市場也發(fā)展迅速,然而,住房價格的增長速度卻偏離了住房租金的發(fā)展,并且表現(xiàn)出了明顯的區(qū)域差異,這對我國房地產(chǎn)市場的持續(xù)穩(wěn)健發(fā)展產(chǎn)生了一定的影響。租售比作為衡量租金與房價之間關系的重要指標也呈現(xiàn)出較大的波動,并且不同區(qū)域的租售比呈現(xiàn)出明顯的差異。因此,本文主要從住房價格與住房租金的影響因素入手,分析租售比的影響因素并由此判斷我國住房市場的健康狀況,并探討我國不同區(qū)域租售比影響因素存在的差異。本文首先對住房價格和住房租金的影響因素及相互關系進行了闡述,并對租售比的相關研究進行歸納總結(jié);其次對我國城市住房市場進行區(qū)域劃分并描述說明了不同區(qū)域住房市場發(fā)展的不平衡;然后通過建立住房價格和住房租金的理論模型,分析得出各自的影響因素并由此確定租售比的實證模型,研究出影響我國城市住房租售比的相關因素,并且對比分析租售比與無風險利率和國際標準區(qū)間,以此來判斷我國城市住房市場的健康狀況;最后通過引入?yún)^(qū)域虛擬變量并將東部區(qū)域設定為研究的基準區(qū)域,構(gòu)建實證模型來對比研究租售比影響因素在我國不同區(qū)域之間的差異。通過分析研究,本文得到以下幾點結(jié)論:第一,區(qū)域差異存在于我國城市住房市場之中;第二,租售比受到第三產(chǎn)業(yè)占GDP比重的正向影響,受到住宅地價水平和住房價格增長率的負向影響;第三,通過租售比與無風險利率和國際標準區(qū)間的比較判斷出住房價格相對于住房租金已超出合理范疇并且我國城市住房市場存在一定的泡沫;第四,租售比影響因素在不同區(qū)域中的整體水平、具體影響因素和相同影響因素的作用上均存在顯著差異。
[Abstract]:In recent years, driven by the rapid economic growth in China, the real estate market in China has also developed rapidly. However, the growth rate of housing prices deviates from the development of housing rent and shows obvious regional differences. This has had a certain impact on the sustained and steady development of the real estate market in China. As an important index to measure the relationship between rent and house price, the Rent-to-Sale ratio also shows great fluctuation, and there are obvious differences in the Rent-to-Sale ratio in different regions. Therefore, this article mainly from the housing price and the housing rent influence factor, analyzes the rent to sell the influence factor and thus judges our country housing market the health condition, and discusses the different region rent to sell the ratio influence factor existence difference. In this paper, the influence factors of housing price and housing rent and the relationship between them are discussed, and the relative research on the rental and sale ratio is summarized. Secondly, it divides the urban housing market in China and describes the imbalance in the development of the housing market in different regions. Then through establishing the theoretical model of housing price and housing rent, this paper analyzes the influencing factors and the empirical model to determine the Rent-to-Sale ratio, and studies the relevant factors that affect the Rent-to-Sale ratio of Urban Housing in China. In order to judge the health of the urban housing market in China, the Rent-to-Sale ratio, the risk-free interest rate and the international standard range are compared and analyzed. Finally, by introducing regional virtual variables and setting the eastern region as the benchmark area, an empirical model is constructed to compare the differences between different regions of China. Through the analysis and research, this paper draws the following conclusions: first, regional differences exist in the urban housing market in China; Secondly, the ratio of rent to sale is positively affected by the proportion of tertiary industry to GDP, and negatively affected by the level of residential land price and the rate of housing price growth. Thirdly, through the comparison between the rent and sale ratio, the risk-free interest rate and the international standard range, it is concluded that the housing price has exceeded the reasonable range relative to the housing rent, and there is a certain bubble in the urban housing market of our country. Fourth, there are significant differences in the overall level, specific factors and the same influencing factors of the factors affecting the rental and sales ratio in different regions.
【學位授予單位】:江西財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F299.23

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 任超群;吳t,

本文編號:2372093


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