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21世紀(jì)海上絲綢之路金融需求的形成機(jī)制與規(guī)模測度

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-12-06 10:21
【摘要】:21世紀(jì)海上絲綢之路建設(shè)將引致巨大的金融需求。基于中國—東盟的樣本數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析可知,21世紀(jì)海上絲綢之路建設(shè)中基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資、產(chǎn)能合作項(xiàng)目、雙邊貿(mào)易的擴(kuò)張以及人文科技交流的深化將引致明顯的金融需求,2016—2021年,基建融資、貿(mào)易融資、保險(xiǎn)需求和人民幣結(jié)算需求總規(guī)模預(yù)計(jì)將分別高達(dá)10456.7億美元、39488.9億美元、101.6億美元和571228.4億元。具體到每一年,這些金融需求規(guī)模在2016—2021年間大致呈“拋物線”式分布,在2020年左右需求最為旺盛。
[Abstract]:The construction of the maritime Silk Road in the 21 st century will lead to huge financial needs. Based on the sample data from China and ASEAN, we can see that infrastructure investment, capacity cooperation projects, bilateral trade expansion and deepening of humanities and science and technology exchanges in the construction of the maritime Silk Road in the 21st century will lead to obvious financial needs. Infrastructure financing, trade finance, insurance demand and renminbi settlement demand are expected to total $1.04567 trillion, $3.94889 trillion, $10.16 billion and $57.12284 trillion, respectively, in 2016-2021. Each year, these financial needs were roughly parabolic in 2016-2021, with the strongest demand around 2020.
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