經(jīng)濟新常態(tài)下就業(yè)困難群體失業(yè)趨勢研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-10-17 18:02
【摘要】:本文探討了宏觀經(jīng)濟運行新特征對就業(yè)困難群體失業(yè)的影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)城鎮(zhèn)失業(yè)與平均工資顯著正相關(guān),與財政支出、一年期貸款利率和平均受教育年限顯著負相關(guān),與經(jīng)濟增長率和全要素生產(chǎn)率等無顯著相關(guān)性。"4050"人員、剛畢業(yè)大學(xué)生和青年農(nóng)民工是三類重點困難群體,失業(yè)趨勢呈現(xiàn)長期失業(yè)加重、失業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)就業(yè)難度增大和短期失業(yè)淤積。本文建議將"就業(yè)困難群體就業(yè)比較充分"作為就業(yè)工作的重要目標(biāo),多措并舉,妥善應(yīng)對新常態(tài)下的失業(yè)問題。
[Abstract]:This paper discusses the influence of new characteristics of macro-economic operation on unemployment of difficult employment groups. The study found that unemployment in cities and towns was positively correlated with average wages, negatively correlated with fiscal expenditure, one-year loan interest rate and average education years, and had no significant correlation with economic growth rate and total factor productivity. Recently graduated college students and young migrant workers are three kinds of key difficult groups. The trend of unemployment is increasing long-term unemployment, increasing the difficulty of unemployment to employment and short-term accumulation of unemployment. This paper suggests that the "full employment of difficult groups" should be regarded as an important target of employment work, and that more measures should be taken to properly deal with the unemployment problem under the new normal condition.
【作者單位】: 國家發(fā)展和改革委員會社會發(fā)展研究所;
【基金】:國家社會科學(xué)基金項目(16CSH036) 北京市社會科學(xué)基金項目(15JGB132)的資助
【分類號】:F249.2
[Abstract]:This paper discusses the influence of new characteristics of macro-economic operation on unemployment of difficult employment groups. The study found that unemployment in cities and towns was positively correlated with average wages, negatively correlated with fiscal expenditure, one-year loan interest rate and average education years, and had no significant correlation with economic growth rate and total factor productivity. Recently graduated college students and young migrant workers are three kinds of key difficult groups. The trend of unemployment is increasing long-term unemployment, increasing the difficulty of unemployment to employment and short-term accumulation of unemployment. This paper suggests that the "full employment of difficult groups" should be regarded as an important target of employment work, and that more measures should be taken to properly deal with the unemployment problem under the new normal condition.
【作者單位】: 國家發(fā)展和改革委員會社會發(fā)展研究所;
【基金】:國家社會科學(xué)基金項目(16CSH036) 北京市社會科學(xué)基金項目(15JGB132)的資助
【分類號】:F249.2
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