發(fā)布時間：2018-09-11 06:27

【摘要】：文章在新經濟地理理論框架下構建理論和計量模型,采用系統(tǒng)GMM方法探討了2003~2014年中國283個地級及以上城市國際、國內市場潛力及政府干預對人口城市化的影響。結果顯示,國際和國內市場潛力均顯著推進了人口城市化,而政府的過度干預削弱了市場潛力的人口城市化效應;國內市場潛力對城市化的作用由東向西依次遞減,而國際市場潛力的作用效果東部地區(qū)最大,西部次之,中部最小。政府干預對城市化進程中內外市場潛力的抑制作用由東向西依次遞增。其中,政府干預顯著削弱了全國及中、西部地區(qū)國內外市場潛力的人口城市化效應,但未對東部地區(qū)市場潛力產生明顯影響。國際和國內市場對城市化的影響在整體上存在替代性,但從不同地區(qū)來看,國際市場和國內市場在東部地區(qū)表現為互補性,在中部地區(qū)表現為替代性,而在西部地區(qū)卻未產生明顯的交互影響。
[Abstract]:In this paper, a theoretical and econometric model is constructed under the framework of the new economic geography theory, and a systematic GMM method is used to study the effects of market potential and government intervention on population urbanization in 283 cities in China from 2003 to 2014. The results show that both international and domestic market potential significantly promote population urbanization, while excessive government intervention weakens the population urbanization effect of market potential, and the effect of domestic market potential on urbanization decreases from east to west. The effect of international market potential is the biggest in the east, followed by the west and the middle. The inhibitory effect of government intervention on the potential of internal and external markets in the process of urbanization increases from east to west. Government intervention significantly weakens the population urbanization effect of the domestic and foreign market potential in the country and the central and western regions, but does not have a significant impact on the market potential in the eastern region. The influence of international and domestic markets on urbanization exists substitution on the whole, but in different regions, the international and domestic markets are complementary in the eastern region and alternative in the central region. In the western region, however, there is no obvious interaction.
【作者單位】： 南京審計大學政治與經濟研究院;中國社會科學院城市發(fā)展與環(huán)境研究所;
【基金】：國家自然科學基金項目“適宜性產業(yè)集聚視角下的人口城鎮(zhèn)化空間推進機制研究”(編號:71603124)的階段性成果
【分類號】：C922;F299.2
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本文編號：2235879