【摘要】：隨著全球城市飛速的發(fā)展,人口的暴漲,工業(yè)的污染,資源的衰竭,人類居住環(huán)境不斷惡化,城市發(fā)展面臨越來越多的困境,如何使城市發(fā)展由過去的依賴自然資源,粗放單一化的發(fā)展方式,向著依靠人才科技,精明多元化的發(fā)展方向轉(zhuǎn)移,是每一個城市發(fā)展需要考慮的核心問題。在全世界各種類型的城市中,資源型城市因其對資源的依賴性,在資源枯竭現(xiàn)狀之下,成為受到當(dāng)前情況限制和約束最為嚴(yán)重的一類。資源型城市在發(fā)展的過程中,不僅為我國城市經(jīng)濟(jì)繁榮做出貢獻(xiàn),更為其他各類城市提供資源基礎(chǔ),有著特殊的貢獻(xiàn),和突出的歷史地位,如今卻因透支過多資源儲備和生態(tài)環(huán)境,在當(dāng)前科技和生態(tài)做為條件的城市競爭中逐漸失去地位,出現(xiàn)發(fā)展活力降低和衰退的跡象。想要扭轉(zhuǎn)資源型城市發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,應(yīng)該選擇適宜的發(fā)展模式,使資源型城市走上可持續(xù)發(fā)展之路。低碳轉(zhuǎn)型模式因其自身特殊的"3R"理論基礎(chǔ),是一種依靠科技改革創(chuàng)新城市各個方面發(fā)展的技術(shù)手段,成為當(dāng)前城市轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展的首選模式。本文選擇銅川,這座歷史悠久,如今卻正在經(jīng)歷資源枯竭化的城市作為研究對象。以低碳城市和資源型城市轉(zhuǎn)型研究成果的總結(jié)做為基礎(chǔ),分析銅川現(xiàn)狀,總結(jié)銅川自身的發(fā)展問題和發(fā)展方向,運(yùn)用系統(tǒng)動力學(xué)理論模型和數(shù)據(jù)數(shù)學(xué)分析的手段,將銅川市復(fù)雜的城市轉(zhuǎn)型系統(tǒng)分解成:經(jīng)濟(jì)子系統(tǒng)、社會子系統(tǒng)、資源子系統(tǒng)、環(huán)境子系統(tǒng)和空間子系統(tǒng)五大系統(tǒng),作為影響城市轉(zhuǎn)型的主要部分,再利用現(xiàn)狀數(shù)據(jù)資料進(jìn)行動態(tài)情景模擬,得到一系列最適宜的低碳轉(zhuǎn)型重點和轉(zhuǎn)型策略。本文結(jié)論和成果包括形成一套指導(dǎo)資源型城市低碳轉(zhuǎn)型的,具有廣泛實用性的,SD模型建立方式;以及適宜銅川現(xiàn)狀特點,切合銅川實際的轉(zhuǎn)型策略和手段。使我國資源型城市低碳轉(zhuǎn)型研究得以豐富和發(fā)展,并為銅川等一些具有相同點的資源型及資源枯竭型城市低碳轉(zhuǎn)型提供理論支撐和借鑒措施。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of global cities, the rapid increase of population, the pollution of industry, the exhaustion of resources, the deterioration of human living environment, urban development is facing more and more difficulties, how to make urban development from the past dependent on natural resources, It is the core problem that every city needs to consider the development mode of extensive and simple development, which is to rely on talents, science and technology, and smart and diversified development direction. Among all kinds of cities in the world, resource-based cities, because of their dependence on resources, have become the most severely restricted and constrained class under the current situation of resource depletion. In the process of development, resource-based cities not only contribute to the economic prosperity of China's cities, but also provide a resource base for other types of cities, and have a special contribution and prominent historical status. However, due to overdraft of excessive resources and ecological environment, it has gradually lost its position in the current competition of cities under the condition of science and technology and ecology, showing signs of decline and decline of development vitality. In order to reverse the development of resource-based cities, we should choose the appropriate development mode to make resource-based cities on the road of sustainable development. Because of its special "3R" theoretical foundation, the low-carbon transformation model is a technological means to develop all aspects of the city by relying on scientific and technological reform and innovation, and has become the preferred mode of urban transformation and development at present. This paper chooses Tongchuan, a city with a long history, which is now experiencing resource depletion. Based on the summary of the research results of the transformation of low-carbon cities and resource-based cities, this paper analyzes the present situation of Tongchuan, summarizes the development problems and development directions of Tongchuan itself, and applies the theoretical model of system dynamics and the means of data mathematical analysis. The complex urban transformation system of Tongchuan city is decomposed into five major systems: economic subsystem, social subsystem, resource subsystem, environment subsystem and spatial subsystem. A series of most suitable low carbon transformation focus and transformation strategies are obtained by dynamic scenario simulation using current data. The conclusions and achievements of this paper include the formation of a set of widely applicable SD model to guide the low-carbon transformation of resource-based cities, and the transformation strategies and means suitable for Tongchuan's current situation. The research on low-carbon transformation of resource-based cities in China can be enriched and developed, and provide theoretical support and reference measures for low-carbon transformation of resource-based and resource-exhausted cities such as Tongchuan.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F299.27

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