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基于演化博弈的政府差異碳稅政策與企業(yè)生產(chǎn)策略研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-07-09 15:04

  本文選題:低碳經(jīng)濟(jì) + 差異碳稅 ; 參考:《江西師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:工業(yè)革命帶來經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展的同時(shí),也加劇了全球氣候變暖現(xiàn)象,危害著社會(huì)的發(fā)展與人類的生存。已知溫室氣體中二氧化碳對(duì)氣候變暖的影響最大,因此世界將節(jié)能減排的目光聚焦在二氧化碳的減排上。發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家對(duì)低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的研究先于中國(guó)等發(fā)展中國(guó)家,在低碳技術(shù)研發(fā)、新能源開發(fā)、清潔生產(chǎn)等方面取得了顯著的成效。最廣泛使用的市場(chǎng)碳減排政策包括碳排放權(quán)交易和碳稅,而碳稅因?yàn)槌杀咀畹、途徑單一、減排效果好,瑞典、丹麥、荷蘭、意大利等多個(gè)國(guó)家紛紛征收碳稅來控制碳排量。中國(guó)雖然是碳排放量最多的發(fā)展中國(guó)家,但是積極地承擔(dān)著減排的任務(wù),碳稅這一有力減排政策將來也會(huì)納入中國(guó)稅收體系中來,因此研究碳稅背景下企業(yè)的低碳生產(chǎn)行為具有重要的意義。本文運(yùn)用演化博弈的相關(guān)理論,構(gòu)建政府與企業(yè)策略選擇的博弈模型,探索政府分別對(duì)低碳生產(chǎn)企業(yè)和非低碳生產(chǎn)企業(yè)征收統(tǒng)一碳稅和高額碳稅的情況下,企業(yè)生產(chǎn)行為的變化情況。通過構(gòu)建微分方程、求解復(fù)制動(dòng)態(tài)方程,得出系統(tǒng)演化的穩(wěn)定點(diǎn),并進(jìn)一步分析政府、企業(yè)和系統(tǒng)的演化穩(wěn)定性。得知只有企業(yè)低碳生產(chǎn)的額外收益收入大于成本時(shí),企業(yè)才會(huì)傾向于低碳生產(chǎn);政府實(shí)施監(jiān)管時(shí)的總成本小于稅收收入,且企業(yè)低碳生產(chǎn)與非低碳生產(chǎn)的收益差大于實(shí)際投入成本時(shí),系統(tǒng)會(huì)演化至政府監(jiān)管企業(yè)選擇低碳生產(chǎn)這一狀態(tài)。最后運(yùn)用Matlab R2014b進(jìn)行數(shù)值仿真,分析了政府監(jiān)管概率、補(bǔ)貼系統(tǒng)、差異碳稅稅率變動(dòng)時(shí)對(duì)系統(tǒng)演化的影響,最終得出政府初期監(jiān)管意愿越高,企業(yè)選擇低碳生產(chǎn)的可能越大;政府的補(bǔ)貼系數(shù)對(duì)企業(yè)生產(chǎn)行為的影響較小;政府的差異碳稅稅率對(duì)企業(yè)的影響較大,稅率提升越快,企業(yè)選擇低碳生產(chǎn)的速度也越快。
[Abstract]:The industrial revolution brought about rapid economic development, but also aggravated the global warming phenomenon, which endangers the development of society and the survival of human beings. Carbon dioxide is known to have the greatest impact on global warming, so the world is focusing on reducing carbon dioxide emissions. The research on low-carbon economy in developed countries is ahead of that in developing countries such as China, and has achieved remarkable results in low-carbon technology research and development, new energy development, cleaner production and so on. The most widely used market carbon abatement policies include carbon trading and taxes on carbon emissions, which have the lowest cost, a single path and a good effect, with Sweden, Denmark, the Netherlands, Italy and other countries imposing carbon taxes to control carbon emissions. Although China is the developing country with the most carbon emissions, it is actively undertaking the task of reducing emissions. The carbon tax policy, which is capable of reducing emissions, will also be included in China's tax system in the future. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the low-carbon production behavior of enterprises under the background of carbon tax. Based on the theory of evolutionary game, this paper constructs a game model of government and enterprise strategy choice, and explores the case that the government collects unified carbon tax and high carbon tax on low-carbon production enterprises and non-low-carbon production enterprises, respectively. Changes in the production behavior of the enterprise. By constructing the differential equation and solving the replicating dynamic equation, the stable point of system evolution is obtained, and the evolutionary stability of government, enterprise and system is further analyzed. Only when the additional revenue from low-carbon production is greater than the cost, the enterprise will tend to low-carbon production; the total cost of government regulation is less than the tax revenue. When the profit difference between low carbon production and non low carbon production is greater than the actual input cost, the system will evolve to the state of government supervising enterprises to choose low carbon production. Finally, using Matlab R2014b to carry on the numerical simulation, analyzed the government supervision probability, the subsidy system, the difference carbon tax rate change to the system evolution influence, finally obtained the government early stage supervision will be higher, the enterprise chooses the low carbon production likely to be bigger; The government's subsidy coefficient has little influence on the enterprise's production behavior, and the difference of government's carbon tax rate has a greater influence on the enterprise's production behavior. The faster the tax rate rises, the faster the enterprise chooses the low carbon production rate.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:江西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F279.2;F812.42;F224.32

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