重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量綜合測(cè)評(píng)及其動(dòng)力因素研究
本文選題:城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量 + 熵值法 ; 參考:《西南大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:城鎮(zhèn)化是工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)取代農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì),工業(yè)社會(huì)取代農(nóng)業(yè)社會(huì)的過程。新中國(guó)成立以來,我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程取得了顯著的成就。改革開放之后,城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程更是步入了高速發(fā)展階段,城鎮(zhèn)化滯后于工業(yè)化的狀況明顯改善,城鎮(zhèn)化率超過世界平均水平。城鎮(zhèn)化已成為經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要引擎、國(guó)家中長(zhǎng)期科學(xué)發(fā)展規(guī)劃的重要科學(xué)命題。然而,我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化在取得巨大成就的同時(shí),在追求城鎮(zhèn)化速度與規(guī)模的過程中也出現(xiàn)了較為明顯的重?cái)?shù)量、輕質(zhì)量的傾向,城鄉(xiāng)貧富差距擴(kuò)大,人口聚集引起交通日益擁擠,就業(yè)、住房、生態(tài)環(huán)境壓力加劇等問題日益突出。城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量的提升引起了黨中央的高度重視,重慶市作為國(guó)家中心城市、西部唯一的直轄市,近年來社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)得到了迅速發(fā)展,城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程得到了快速推進(jìn)。同時(shí),由于重慶市幅員遼闊,城鄉(xiāng)差異較大,經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展不平衡,重慶市的城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量也亟待提高。本文在對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量相關(guān)研究歸納總結(jié)及借鑒的基礎(chǔ)之上,對(duì)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展?fàn)顩r進(jìn)行了分析,以重慶市及市轄各區(qū)縣為研究對(duì)象,選取2007-2015年的面板數(shù)據(jù),從城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量的內(nèi)涵出發(fā),遵循科學(xué)性、系統(tǒng)性、代表性、可比性及可操作性的原則,從經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展質(zhì)量、社會(huì)發(fā)展質(zhì)量、生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量、城鎮(zhèn)化效率及城鄉(xiāng)協(xié)調(diào)程度五個(gè)方面,建立了重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量綜合測(cè)評(píng)指標(biāo)體系,運(yùn)用熵值法對(duì)重慶市及市轄各區(qū)縣的城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量從時(shí)間和空間兩個(gè)維度進(jìn)行綜合測(cè)評(píng),并經(jīng)過檢驗(yàn)確定了變截距固定效應(yīng)模型為重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量動(dòng)力因素實(shí)證研究的面板回歸模型。以2007-2015年重慶市36個(gè)樣本區(qū)縣的城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量作為被解釋變量,以財(cái)政支出、非農(nóng)產(chǎn)業(yè)比重、進(jìn)出口總額、社會(huì)消費(fèi)品零售總額分別代表行政動(dòng)力、內(nèi)源動(dòng)力、外源動(dòng)力、市場(chǎng)動(dòng)力作為解釋變量,對(duì)可能推動(dòng)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量提升的動(dòng)力因素進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。通過研究本文得出的主要結(jié)論如下:2007-2015年期間重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量綜合得分總體上呈穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)趨勢(shì),重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量整體顯著提升;重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量各子系統(tǒng)總體上均呈增長(zhǎng)態(tài)勢(shì),但生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量子系統(tǒng)和城鎮(zhèn)化效率子系統(tǒng)得分占綜合得分比重有所下降;重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量空間格局總體呈現(xiàn)出以都市功能核心區(qū)、都市功能拓展區(qū)為中心向城市發(fā)展新區(qū)、渝東南生態(tài)保護(hù)區(qū)和渝東北生態(tài)涵養(yǎng)區(qū)逐漸降低的空間格局特征,并出現(xiàn)兩極分化現(xiàn)象;在重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量動(dòng)力因素的實(shí)證分析中,重慶市36個(gè)樣本區(qū)縣的個(gè)體固定效應(yīng)差異明顯,四大動(dòng)力因素的推動(dòng)作用顯著,且其推動(dòng)作用由大到小依次為內(nèi)源動(dòng)力、行政動(dòng)力、市場(chǎng)動(dòng)力、外源動(dòng)力;谝陨涎芯靠偨Y(jié),本文對(duì)提升重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量提出如下對(duì)策建議:堅(jiān)定新型城鎮(zhèn)化道路,整體性提升城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量;加強(qiáng)生態(tài)環(huán)境保護(hù),提升城鎮(zhèn)生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量;優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),提高城鎮(zhèn)化效率;深化五大功能區(qū)域戰(zhàn)略,實(shí)現(xiàn)城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量均衡提升。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is the process of replacing agricultural economy by industrial economy and replacing agricultural society by industrial society. Since the founding of new China, the process of urbanization in China has made remarkable achievements. After the reform and opening up, the process of urbanization has stepped into the stage of rapid development. Urbanization is lagging behind industrialization and the rate of urbanization exceeds the world average. Level. Urbanization has become an important engine of economic growth and an important scientific proposition of the national medium and long term scientific development plan. However, while China's urbanization has made great achievements, there are also obvious heavy quantity, light quality tendency, the widening gap between the urban and rural poor and the rich and the population gathering in the process of urbanization and the scale of urbanization in China. The increase of traffic congestion, employment, housing, the intensification of the pressure on the ecological environment has become increasingly prominent. The improvement of the quality of urbanization has aroused the attention of the Central Party Central Committee. As the central city of Chongqing and the only municipality in the west, the social economy has been rapidly expanded in recent years, and the process of urbanization has been rapidly promoted. At the same time, because of the heavy weight of the urbanization process, the process of urbanization has been rapidly promoted. The city has a vast territory, large differences in urban and rural areas, unbalanced economic and social development, and the quality of urbanization in Chongqing. Based on the summary and reference of the research on the quality of urbanization, this paper analyzes the development of urbanization in Chongqing City, taking 2007-2015 years as the research object in Chongqing City and the cities and counties. The panel data, starting from the connotation of urbanization quality, follows the principles of scientific, systematic, representativeness, comparability and maneuverability. From the five aspects of economic development quality, social development quality, ecological environment quality, urbanization efficiency and urban and rural coordination degree, the comprehensive evaluation index system of Chongqing urbanization quality is established, and entropy value is used. The method is used to evaluate the urbanization quality of Chongqing city and city county from two dimensions of time and space, and through the test, the panel regression model is established for the empirical study of the variable intercept fixed effect model for the urbanization quality and power factors of Chongqing city. The urbanization quality of the 36 samples in the city of Chongqing in 2007-2015 years is interpreted as the explanation. Variables, including fiscal expenditure, the proportion of non agricultural industries, total import and export, total retail sales of social consumer goods, representing administrative power, endogenous power, exogenous power and market power as explanatory variables, make an empirical analysis of the dynamic factors that may promote the improvement of Chongqing's urbanization quality. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: 2007-20 In the past 15 years, the overall quality score of urbanization in Chongqing has a stable growth trend, and the overall quality of urbanization in Chongqing has been significantly improved. The overall quality of urbanization in Chongqing has a growing trend, but the score of the sub-system of ecological environment quality subsystem and the urbanization efficiency subsystem has decreased in the proportion of the comprehensive score, and the cities and towns in Chongqing city. The spatial pattern of the chemical quality shows the spatial pattern characteristics of the urban functional core area, the urban function expansion zone as the center to the urban development area, the ecological conservation area in Southeast Chongqing and the ecological conservation area in Northeast Chongqing, and the polarization phenomenon appears. In the empirical analysis of the urbanization quality and power factors in Chongqing, the 36 Chongqing city is the city of the city. There are obvious differences in the individual fixed effect in the sample district and county, and the four major dynamic factors are significantly promoted, and the promotion effect from large to small is internal power, administrative power, market power and exogenous power. Based on the above research summary, this paper puts forward the following countermeasures and suggestions to improve the quality of urbanization in Chongqing. To improve the quality of urbanization, strengthen the protection of ecological environment, improve the quality of urban ecological environment, optimize the industrial structure, improve the efficiency of urbanization, deepen the five functional regional strategies, and achieve the balanced improvement of the quality of urbanization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F299.27
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