本文選題：中國 + 日本��； 參考：《東北師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施作為保障社會(huì)生產(chǎn)生活最基本的條件,在一國或一個(gè)區(qū)域中都占有舉足輕重的地位。近幾十年來,亞洲地區(qū)的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)大為改善,但仍然面臨著供給不足的問題。中國和日本作為亞洲地區(qū)的兩個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)大國,紛紛采取行動(dòng)加入到亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施供給的隊(duì)伍當(dāng)中。進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)以來,中國對(duì)亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的供給規(guī)模得到了迅速的發(fā)展,而日本也制定了“基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施出口”戰(zhàn)略來推動(dòng)對(duì)亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的供給。因此,中日兩國在亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施供給的問題上不可避免地存在著博弈關(guān)系。為了準(zhǔn)確、全面地分析中日兩國在亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施供給中的博弈問題,本文從亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)的總體概況出發(fā),通過數(shù)據(jù)分析了亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施當(dāng)前的建設(shè)水平與投資缺口。并通過對(duì)中日資金供給能力的比較、技術(shù)供給能力的比較,分析了兩國的博弈基礎(chǔ)。在數(shù)據(jù)分析的基礎(chǔ)上,通過研究中日對(duì)亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施供給的實(shí)際案例,來進(jìn)一步說明兩國之間的博弈關(guān)系。結(jié)果表明,中日兩國在對(duì)亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施進(jìn)行供給時(shí),分別存在著競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì),中國的國民儲(chǔ)蓄率和外匯儲(chǔ)備都要高于日本,可以為基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的供給進(jìn)行更多的投資,而日本的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)對(duì)環(huán)境的負(fù)荷要小一些,耐用性也更強(qiáng)一些。接著本文分析了中日對(duì)亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施供給博弈的成本收益情況。首先對(duì)成本和收益進(jìn)行賦值,并通過膺鴿博弈模型和教科書博弈模型分別分析了供給亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施時(shí),中日兩國將會(huì)付出的成本,以及可能得到的收益。結(jié)果表明,在鷹鴿博弈中,由于基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施存在正的外部性,即使兩國的經(jīng)營利潤(rùn)很低,但兩國都會(huì)選擇“供給”的策略;在教科書博弈中,中日兩國為使自己在博弈中處于優(yōu)勢(shì),提高中標(biāo)的機(jī)率,而不斷增加本國的籌碼,最終使中標(biāo)國付出了更高的成本。最后分析了中日兩國在亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施供給中進(jìn)行合作的可行途徑,即通過進(jìn)行重復(fù)博弈、訂立基于互信的契約承諾、建立雙邊或多邊的法律機(jī)制三種途徑。本文所說的合作更多的是指在合作下競(jìng)爭(zhēng),即通過合作來加強(qiáng)自身的實(shí)力,從而實(shí)現(xiàn)中日兩國在供給亞洲基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施時(shí)進(jìn)行協(xié)同、有序、多贏的良性競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。
[Abstract]:Infrastructure, as the most basic condition to ensure social production and life, plays an important role in a country or a region. Infrastructure in Asia has improved considerably in recent decades, but it still faces a shortage of supplies. China and Japan, two of the region's biggest economies, have moved to join Asia's infrastructure supply. Since the beginning of the 21st century, China's supply of infrastructure to Asia has developed rapidly, and Japan has formulated the "infrastructure export" strategy to promote the supply of Asian infrastructure. As a result, there is an inevitable game between China and Japan over the supply of infrastructure in Asia. In order to accurately and comprehensively analyze the game between China and Japan in the supply of infrastructure in Asia, this paper starts from the general situation of infrastructure construction in Asia and analyzes the current construction level and investment gap of infrastructure in Asia through data. Through the comparison of Chinese and Japanese capital supply capacity and technology supply ability, the game basis of the two countries is analyzed. On the basis of data analysis, this paper further illustrates the game relationship between China and Japan by studying the actual case of infrastructure supply between China and Japan in Asia. The results show that China and Japan have competitive advantages in providing infrastructure in Asia. China's national savings rate and foreign exchange reserves are both higher than those of Japan, and more investment can be made in infrastructure supply. Japan's infrastructure is less onerous and more durable. Then this paper analyzes the cost-benefit of the game of infrastructure supply between China and Japan in Asia. First of all, the cost and benefit are assigned, and the cost and the possible income of China and Japan are analyzed by the game model of pigeon and the model of textbook game respectively. The results show that, due to the existence of positive externalities in infrastructure, both countries choose the "supply" strategy even though their operating profits are very low. In order to make China and Japan play an advantage in the game and improve the probability of winning the bid, China and Japan increase their own chips and finally make the winning country pay a higher cost. Finally, the paper analyzes the feasible ways for China and Japan to cooperate in the supply of infrastructure in Asia, that is, through repeated games, making contractual commitments based on mutual trust, and establishing bilateral or multilateral legal mechanisms. The cooperation referred to in this paper is more about competition under cooperation, that is, strengthening one's own strength through cooperation, so as to realize the benign competition of cooperation, order and multi-win between China and Japan in the supply of infrastructure in Asia.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F283;F224.32

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