本文選題：資源型城市 + 能耗增長(zhǎng)�。� 參考：《中國(guó)人口·資源與環(huán)境》2017年01期

【摘要】：本文以95個(gè)有代表性的資源型城市2004—2013年的數(shù)據(jù)為樣本,重點(diǎn)關(guān)注城市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、人口增長(zhǎng)和空間擴(kuò)張幾個(gè)方面,考慮能耗強(qiáng)度、經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模、人口密度、轄區(qū)面積四個(gè)因素,利用LMDI法對(duì)資源型城市的能耗增長(zhǎng)進(jìn)行因素分解,并針對(duì)不同區(qū)位、不同規(guī)模與不同發(fā)展階段三種情況分別進(jìn)行資源型城市能耗增長(zhǎng)影響因素的差異分析。得出了研究結(jié)論:總體來(lái)看,對(duì)資源型城市能耗增長(zhǎng)影響較大的因素是能耗強(qiáng)度與經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模,其中能耗強(qiáng)度下降對(duì)能耗增長(zhǎng)有明顯的抑制作用,經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模擴(kuò)大對(duì)能耗增長(zhǎng)有明顯的推動(dòng)作用,但能耗強(qiáng)度下降的抑制作用不足以抵減經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模擴(kuò)大的推動(dòng)作用,導(dǎo)致能耗總量增加。人口密度增加和轄區(qū)面積擴(kuò)大對(duì)城市能耗增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)率較小,都只是微弱的推動(dòng)作用。單個(gè)城市能耗增長(zhǎng)的因素分解結(jié)果與總體情況較為一致,但不同城市之間存在差異。分區(qū)位看,越是落后地區(qū),能耗強(qiáng)度下降對(duì)能耗增長(zhǎng)的抑制作用以及經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模擴(kuò)大對(duì)能耗的拉動(dòng)作用越強(qiáng);分規(guī)模看,小城市的落后產(chǎn)能改進(jìn)空間還沒(méi)有得到充分利用;分資源開(kāi)發(fā)階段看,衰退型城市落后產(chǎn)能改進(jìn)成效突出但能源利用效率依然較低,成熟型城市對(duì)落后產(chǎn)能改進(jìn)空間的利用不足。最后有針對(duì)性地提出了相關(guān)政策建議:優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式,實(shí)現(xiàn)資源型城市從"粗放型增長(zhǎng)"到"集約型發(fā)展"的轉(zhuǎn)變;大力發(fā)展新能源,提高能源利用效率;對(duì)不同類型的資源型城市有針對(duì)性地實(shí)施節(jié)能降耗的分類指導(dǎo);強(qiáng)化宣傳教育,有效提高企業(yè)和居民的節(jié)能降耗意識(shí)。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of 95 representative resource-based cities from 2004 to 2013, this paper focuses on urban economic development, population growth and spatial expansion, considering four factors: energy intensity, economic scale, population density, area of jurisdiction. The energy consumption growth of resource-based cities is decomposed by using LMDI method, and the difference of influencing factors of energy consumption growth in resource-based cities is analyzed according to the three conditions of different location, different scale and different development stage. The conclusion is as follows: in general, the energy consumption intensity and economic scale are the major factors that affect the energy consumption growth in resource-based cities, among which the decrease of energy consumption intensity has a significant inhibitory effect on energy consumption growth. The expansion of economic scale can obviously promote the growth of energy consumption, but the inhibition of energy intensity decrease is not enough to offset the push effect of economic scale expansion, which leads to the increase of total energy consumption. The increase of population density and the expansion of the area of jurisdiction contribute less to the increase of urban energy consumption. The factor decomposition results of energy consumption increase in a single city are consistent with the overall situation, but there are differences among different cities. The more backward the area, the stronger the effect of decreasing energy consumption intensity on energy consumption growth and the pulling effect of economic scale expansion on energy consumption, and the backward productivity improvement space of small cities has not been fully utilized. In the stage of resource development, the results of backward productivity improvement in recessionary cities are outstanding, but the efficiency of energy use is still low, and the space of backward productivity improvement is underutilized in mature cities. Finally, the paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions: optimizing the industrial structure, changing the mode of economic growth, realizing the transformation of resource-based cities from "extensive growth" to "intensive development", vigorously developing new energy sources and improving energy utilization efficiency; The classification of energy saving and consumption reduction should be carried out in different types of resource-based cities, and propaganda and education should be strengthened to effectively improve the awareness of energy saving and consumption reduction in enterprises and residents.
【作者單位】： 南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“我國(guó)資源型城市可持續(xù)發(fā)展影響因素及其影響機(jī)制的實(shí)證分析”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào):13BTJ026) 江蘇高校優(yōu)勢(shì)學(xué)科建設(shè)工程資助項(xiàng)目
【分類號(hào)】：F299.2;F206

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