房地產(chǎn)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的短期與長(zhǎng)期影響
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-22 01:06
本文選題:房地產(chǎn) + 實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì); 參考:《中國(guó)高校社會(huì)科學(xué)》2017年06期
【摘要】:房地產(chǎn)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的短期影響與長(zhǎng)期影響截然不同。短期內(nèi),房地產(chǎn)能夠通過(guò)拉動(dòng)房地產(chǎn)本身及其相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)的投資,并且為地方政府籌集資金,較為顯著地拉動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。但是,長(zhǎng)期依賴房地產(chǎn)拉動(dòng)增長(zhǎng)將會(huì)弱化經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的動(dòng)力源泉:一是對(duì)制造業(yè)等生產(chǎn)性投資產(chǎn)生擠出效應(yīng),不利于生產(chǎn)性資本積累;二是弱化實(shí)體部門企業(yè)和青年科研人員的創(chuàng)新動(dòng)力,不利于技術(shù)進(jìn)步;三是引發(fā)房地產(chǎn)部門與實(shí)體部門以及同房地產(chǎn)相關(guān)的落后產(chǎn)業(yè)與新興產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的資源錯(cuò)配,不利于效率改進(jìn);四是引發(fā)房?jī)r(jià)泡沫而且一旦泡沫破裂將對(duì)資本積累產(chǎn)生嚴(yán)重沖擊。有鑒于此,中國(guó)應(yīng)該讓房地產(chǎn)回歸居住屬性。
[Abstract]:The short-term impact of real estate on economic growth and long-term effects are very different. In the short term, real estate can stimulate the investment of real estate itself and related industries, and raise funds for local governments, which can significantly stimulate economic growth. However, relying on real estate for a long time will weaken the power source of economic growth: first, the extrusion effect of productive investment, such as manufacturing, is not conducive to the accumulation of productive capital; Second, weakening the innovation power of enterprises and young researchers in the real estate sector, which is not conducive to technological progress; third, causing the mismatch of resources between the real estate sector and the real estate sector, and between the backward and emerging industries related to real estate. Fourth, house price bubble and if the bubble burst will have a serious impact on capital accumulation. In view of this, China should let real estate return to residential properties.
【作者單位】: 中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所;
【基金】:中國(guó)人民大學(xué)科學(xué)研究基金(中央高;究蒲袠I(yè)務(wù)費(fèi)專項(xiàng)資金資助)項(xiàng)目“利率市場(chǎng)化背景下中國(guó)貨幣政策框架的轉(zhuǎn)型研究”(15XNI006)階段性成果
【分類號(hào)】:F124.1;F299.23
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