本文選題：“一帶一路” + Malmquist生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)��； 參考：《西北大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：當(dāng)前,中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)下行,已經(jīng)進(jìn)入經(jīng)濟(jì)“新常態(tài)”,爭(zhēng)取外部資源,加強(qiáng)經(jīng)濟(jì)對(duì)外合作,是中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)走向可持續(xù)發(fā)展道路的途徑之一。于是,“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略順勢(shì)而生,其目的為帶動(dòng)自身和外部國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)的共同增長(zhǎng)。而如何實(shí)現(xiàn)沿線國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)的協(xié)調(diào)共同增長(zhǎng)?這是一個(gè)現(xiàn)實(shí)難題。只有從沿線各國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的基本現(xiàn)狀出發(fā),才會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn)沿線各國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的共同發(fā)展。而經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的核心指標(biāo)即為全要素生產(chǎn)率,因此,研究“一帶一路”國(guó)家的全要素生產(chǎn)率及其影響因素有著重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文使用1995年-2014年的跨國(guó)國(guó)面板數(shù)據(jù),首次測(cè)算并探討“一帶一路”國(guó)家的全要素生產(chǎn)率及其影響因素。通過理論分析和實(shí)證研究得出主要結(jié)論有:(1)樣本時(shí)間內(nèi),沿線各國(guó)平均TFP年均下降0.3%。其中,技術(shù)進(jìn)步下降3.3%,規(guī)模效率增長(zhǎng)1.9%,純技術(shù)效率增長(zhǎng)1.3%。(2)政府行為與TFP正相關(guān)。貿(mào)易可以促進(jìn)亞洲的TFP增長(zhǎng),但不能促進(jìn)歐洲。工業(yè)化提升了歐洲的TFP,但對(duì)亞洲卻沒有提升作用。信息化僅提升了亞洲的TFP。創(chuàng)新對(duì)亞洲的影響顯著為負(fù),對(duì)歐洲則有顯著的促進(jìn)作用。醫(yī)療衛(wèi)生對(duì)歐洲有著促進(jìn)作用,而對(duì)亞洲卻有抑制性。經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平促進(jìn)了歐洲,但對(duì)亞洲卻沒有促進(jìn)作用。城鎮(zhèn)化與亞洲的TFP正相關(guān),與歐洲的負(fù)相關(guān)。(3)各因素對(duì)TFP的作用機(jī)制也存在差異。政府行為對(duì)亞歐的技術(shù)進(jìn)步均有促進(jìn)性,對(duì)規(guī)模效率均有抑制性,而且亞洲的政府行為對(duì)純技術(shù)效率有著積極作用,則降低了歐洲的純技術(shù)效率。亞洲國(guó)家的貿(mào)易對(duì)三者均有促進(jìn)作用,但歐洲的貿(mào)易僅提高了純技術(shù)效率。工業(yè)化可以提高亞洲的規(guī)模效率,降低技術(shù)進(jìn)步和純技術(shù)效率;提高歐洲的技術(shù)進(jìn)步和純技術(shù)效率,降低了規(guī)模效率。信息化對(duì)亞洲的純技術(shù)效率和規(guī)模效率有推動(dòng)作用,對(duì)歐洲的純技術(shù)效率有著推動(dòng)作用。創(chuàng)新則通過推動(dòng)技術(shù)進(jìn)步、純技術(shù)效率和規(guī)模效率來實(shí)現(xiàn)對(duì)歐洲全要素生產(chǎn)率的驅(qū)動(dòng),但僅對(duì)亞洲的純技術(shù)效率有著提升作用。醫(yī)療衛(wèi)生可以有效推動(dòng)純技術(shù)效率和規(guī)模效率的提升。經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平與亞歐的技術(shù)進(jìn)步均正相關(guān),也與亞洲國(guó)家的純技術(shù)效率正相關(guān)。城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)亞洲的技術(shù)進(jìn)步、歐洲的純技術(shù)效率均有促進(jìn)作用。金融支持對(duì)亞歐國(guó)家的技術(shù)進(jìn)步都有著積極意義,還對(duì)歐洲的純技術(shù)效率有著促進(jìn)性。
[Abstract]:At present, China's economy continues to decline, has entered the "new normal" of the economy, striving for external resources and strengthening economic cooperation with foreign countries is one of the ways for China's economy to move towards the path of sustainable development.Therefore, Belt and Road's strategy came into being in order to promote the economic growth of its own and external countries.And how to realize the coordinated economic growth of the countries along the route?This is a practical problem.Only by proceeding from the basic status quo of the economic development of the countries along the route, can the common economic development of the countries along the route be realized.The core index of economic development is total factor productivity, so it is of great practical significance to study the total factor productivity and its influencing factors in Belt and Road country.Using the panel data of transnational countries from 1995 to 2014, this paper measures and discusses the total factor productivity and its influencing factors of "Belt and Road" country for the first time.Through theoretical analysis and empirical research, the main conclusions are as follows: (1) within the sample time, the average TFP of the countries along the route decreased by 0.3% per year.Among them, the technological progress drops 3.3%, the scale efficiency increases 1.9%, the pure technical efficiency increases 1.3%, and the government behavior is positively related to TFP.Trade can boost TFP growth in Asia, but not Europe.Industrialization has boosted TFPs in Europe, but not in Asia.Informatization only improves TFPs in Asia.Innovation has a significant negative impact on Asia and a significant boost to Europe.Health care promotes Europe, but inhibits Asia.Economic growth has helped Europe, but not Asia.Urbanization is positively related to TFP in Asia and negatively related to TFP in Europe.Government behavior promotes the technological progress in Asia and Europe, and inhibits the scale efficiency. Moreover, the government behavior in Asia has a positive effect on the pure technical efficiency, which reduces the pure technical efficiency in Europe.Asian trade promotes all three, but European trade only improves pure technical efficiency.Industrialization can improve the scale efficiency of Asia, reduce the technological progress and pure technical efficiency, and increase the technological progress and pure technical efficiency in Europe, thus reducing the scale efficiency.Informatization promotes pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency in Asia and promotes pure technical efficiency in Europe.Innovation drives the total factor productivity of Europe by promoting technological progress, pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency, but it only promotes the pure technological efficiency in Asia.Health care can effectively promote pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency.The level of economic development is positively related to the technological progress in Asia and Europe as well as to the pure technical efficiency of Asian countries.Urbanization promotes technological progress in Asia and pure technical efficiency in Europe.Financial support has positive significance for the technological progress of Asian and European countries, and it also promotes the pure technical efficiency of Europe.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F113

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