本文選題：水資源承載力　切入點：城市適度規(guī)模　出處：《城市問題》2017年10期

【摘要】：基于水資源承載力建立了城市適度規(guī)模計算模型和城市適度規(guī)模與實際人口的協(xié)調(diào)度評價模型,對山東半島城市群適度規(guī)模與水資源承載力協(xié)調(diào)程度的時空格局進行了評估,對未來水資源約束下的山東半島城市的適度規(guī)模進行了預測。結(jié)果顯示:山東半島城市群水資源供給水平及居民生活可利用水平呈現(xiàn)在波動中略微下降的趨勢;2004-2014年,山東半島城市群實際人口規(guī)模高于城市適度規(guī)模,區(qū)域水資源處于超載狀態(tài),城市適度規(guī)模距離協(xié)調(diào)度為瀕臨失調(diào)狀態(tài);從空間格局上來看,山東半島城市群西部的水資源供需狀況優(yōu)于東部地區(qū)。預測結(jié)果顯示,2015-2020年山東半島城市群基于水資源承載力的城市適度規(guī)模小于線性預測人口,差距有逐年增大的趨勢。據(jù)此認為,優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、加快用水技術(shù)革新、建立水資源補償與恢復機制、加強區(qū)際用水協(xié)調(diào)是應對山東半島城市群水資源供需矛盾的應有措施。
[Abstract]:Based on the calculation model of water resources carrying capacity and the evaluation model of coordination degree between urban moderate scale and actual population, the spatial and temporal pattern of the coordination degree between the appropriate scale of urban agglomeration and the carrying capacity of water resources in Shandong Peninsula is evaluated.The moderate scale of Shandong Peninsula city under the restriction of water resources in the future is forecasted.The results show that the water resources supply level and the living available level of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration show a slightly decreasing trend in fluctuation. From 2004 to 2014, the actual population scale of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration is higher than that of urban moderate scale.The regional water resources are in the state of overload and the coordination degree of the moderate scale distance of the city is on the verge of imbalance. From the spatial pattern, the water resources supply and demand situation in the west of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration is superior to that in the eastern region.The forecast results show that the appropriate scale of cities based on water resources carrying capacity in Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration from 2015 to 2020 is smaller than that of linear forecast population, and the gap is increasing year by year.It is concluded that optimizing the industrial structure, speeding up the technological innovation of water use, establishing the mechanism of water resources compensation and restoration, and strengthening the coordination of water use among regions are the necessary measures to deal with the contradiction between supply and demand of water resources in Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration.
【作者單位】： 濟南大學商學院經(jīng)濟系;山東師范大學地理與環(huán)境學院;
【基金】：國家自然科學基金項目(41571525)
【分類號】：F299.27;TV213.4

【相似文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條

1 石培基;楊雪梅;宮繼萍;張光永;魏偉;;基于水資源承載力的干旱內(nèi)陸河流域城市適度規(guī)模研究——以石羊河流域涼州區(qū)為例[J];干旱區(qū)地理;2012年04期

2 趙明華;朱明明;;山東半島城市群水資源可持續(xù)利用水平評價研究[J];水利經(jīng)濟;2011年03期

，

本文編號：1721721