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基于云模型的水利PPP項目投資風(fēng)險評價

發(fā)布時間:2018-03-18 00:06

  本文選題:水利工程 切入點:投資風(fēng)險評價 出處:《水電能源科學(xué)》2017年08期  論文類型:期刊論文


【摘要】:隨著PPP模式在水利工程中的應(yīng)用越來越多,其風(fēng)險也越來越突出,為準(zhǔn)確評價水利工程PPP項目投資風(fēng)險,提出基于云模型的模糊綜合評價模型。首先建立水利PPP項目投資風(fēng)險評價指標(biāo)體系,根據(jù)PPP項目庫專家的反饋,確定評價指標(biāo)重要性程度標(biāo)準(zhǔn)表和風(fēng)險評價等級標(biāo)準(zhǔn)表,然后由PPP項目專家對各評價指標(biāo)進(jìn)行定量評分和定性權(quán)重,再計算云參數(shù),確定水利PPP項目投資風(fēng)險模糊綜合評價云模型,通過觀察云圖判斷投資風(fēng)險可接受程度等級。在湖南省莽山水庫PPP項目的應(yīng)用結(jié)果表明,該方法可為水利PPP項目投資風(fēng)險論證提供一定的理論指導(dǎo)。
[Abstract]:With more and more application of PPP model in water conservancy project, its risk is more and more prominent. In order to evaluate the investment risk of PPP project of water conservancy project accurately, The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model based on cloud model is put forward. Firstly, the index system of investment risk evaluation of water conservancy PPP project is established. According to the feedback from experts of PPP project library, the evaluation index importance degree standard table and risk evaluation grade standard table are determined. Then, the evaluation index is evaluated quantitatively and qualitatively by PPP project experts, then the cloud parameters are calculated, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation cloud model of investment risk of water conservancy PPP project is determined. By observing the cloud map to judge the acceptable degree of investment risk, the application of this method in the PPP project of Guangshan Reservoir in Hunan Province shows that this method can provide certain theoretical guidance for the investment risk demonstration of water conservancy PPP project.
【作者單位】: 三峽大學(xué)水利與環(huán)境學(xué)院;宜昌市審計局;
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)基金項目(51379110)
【分類號】:F283;F426.91

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相關(guān)期刊論文 前3條

1 李紅梅;;關(guān)于水利項目投資風(fēng)險的探討[J];科技創(chuàng)新與應(yīng)用;2012年16期

2 劉定友;;水電項目投資風(fēng)險控制[J];中國農(nóng)村水利水電;2012年10期

3 崔婕;吳蘭;;大型水利工程項目投資風(fēng)險分析方法[J];才智;2012年12期

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