重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率測(cè)度及空間關(guān)聯(lián)格局研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞:重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率測(cè)度及空間關(guān)聯(lián)格局研究 出處:《西南大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 非期望產(chǎn)出 城鎮(zhèn)化效率 空間關(guān)聯(lián) 超效率SBM模型 重慶市
【摘要】:近年來,我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化水平不斷提高,2015年我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化率達(dá)56.1%。然而,隨著城鎮(zhèn)化的快速推進(jìn),城鎮(zhèn)化過程中高投入低產(chǎn)出、高能耗低效率等問題和矛盾也日益突顯。關(guān)注城鎮(zhèn)化率提高時(shí),城鎮(zhèn)化效率問題卻沒有得到足夠的重視。城鎮(zhèn)化效率是城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中投入要素和產(chǎn)出要素的綜合衡量和比較,是度量城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程是否有效的重要指標(biāo),城鎮(zhèn)化效率的合理測(cè)度對(duì)衡量城鎮(zhèn)化水平和質(zhì)量具有十分重要的意義。重慶大城市、大農(nóng)村的特點(diǎn)明顯,城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)矛盾突出,測(cè)算分析重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率并探求其在空間上的關(guān)聯(lián)格局,對(duì)促進(jìn)區(qū)域資源高效利用和城鎮(zhèn)化的可持續(xù)健康發(fā)展具有極其重要的意義。本文以重慶市37個(gè)區(qū)縣為研究單元,首先總結(jié)國(guó)內(nèi)外有關(guān)城鎮(zhèn)化效率研究成果,系統(tǒng)地分析相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)研究的現(xiàn)狀、方法和存在的不足;其次在對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化、城鎮(zhèn)化效率等基本概念及相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行全面闡述的基礎(chǔ)上,確立投入產(chǎn)出效率測(cè)度評(píng)價(jià)體系,運(yùn)用包含非期望產(chǎn)出的超效率SBM模型,對(duì)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率進(jìn)行客觀、科學(xué)、合理測(cè)度。然后根據(jù)測(cè)度結(jié)果進(jìn)行橫向和縱向比較,并對(duì)4個(gè)分區(qū)進(jìn)行對(duì)比分析;同時(shí)通過投入產(chǎn)出冗余分析城鎮(zhèn)化效率損失的原因,并利用σ收斂、絕對(duì)β收斂對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化效率進(jìn)行收斂性分析。最后運(yùn)用探索性空間數(shù)據(jù)分析方法(ESDA)對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化效率空間關(guān)聯(lián)格局進(jìn)行研究,給出提升重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率的對(duì)策和建議。主要研究結(jié)論如下:(1)十年來,除2008年、2010年兩個(gè)效率下降年外,重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率平均值總體呈現(xiàn)波動(dòng)上升的趨勢(shì),并在2015年達(dá)到峰值。其中2006-2008年,重慶城鎮(zhèn)化效率在波動(dòng)中下降,在2008年達(dá)到最低值,2009年有所回升,2009-2010年,重慶城鎮(zhèn)化效率短暫下降,2010年后,城鎮(zhèn)化效率穩(wěn)步提升,并于2015年達(dá)到最高值。(2)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率各區(qū)縣之間、4個(gè)分區(qū)之間差異明顯。十年內(nèi)城鎮(zhèn)化效率均值大于1的區(qū)縣有15個(gè),而低于重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率平均水平的區(qū)縣達(dá)19個(gè)。從4個(gè)分區(qū)來看:Ⅰ區(qū)效率值處于最高值,其次是分處于渝東南、渝東北的Ⅲ區(qū)、Ⅳ區(qū),而Ⅱ區(qū)平均效率值最低。(3)工業(yè)廢水排放過剩、土地投入冗余、工業(yè)固體廢棄物排放過量是造成重慶市整體城鎮(zhèn)化效率損失的最主要的三個(gè)因素。Ⅰ區(qū)投入產(chǎn)出冗余主要集中在工業(yè)廢水排放量、工業(yè)固體廢棄物排放量、固定資產(chǎn)投資上。Ⅱ區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)化效率損失的原因主要是工業(yè)廢水排放量、工業(yè)固體廢棄物排放量和土地投入冗余。Ⅲ區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)化率較低成為其城鎮(zhèn)化效率低下的最主要原因,同時(shí)土地得不到最大限度的利用、工業(yè)廢水排放量過剩也是限制其城鎮(zhèn)化效率提升的重要因素。Ⅳ區(qū)工業(yè)廢水排放量的冗余較為突出,資金和勞動(dòng)力投入不能最大限度的發(fā)揮效用也阻礙著城鎮(zhèn)化效率的提升。(4)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率2006-2010年變異系數(shù)呈現(xiàn)波動(dòng)上升的趨勢(shì),2010年后,變異系數(shù)不斷下降,城鎮(zhèn)化效率存在σ收斂。說明隨時(shí)間推移,區(qū)縣城鎮(zhèn)化效率差距在縮小。同時(shí)重慶市及4個(gè)分區(qū)都存在較為顯著的絕對(duì)β收斂,說明在不考慮空間效應(yīng)的影響下,城鎮(zhèn)化效率低的區(qū)縣對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化效率高的區(qū)縣有追趕的趨勢(shì),隨著時(shí)間推移,區(qū)縣的城鎮(zhèn)化效率會(huì)收斂于同一穩(wěn)態(tài)水平。(5)重慶市各區(qū)縣的城鎮(zhèn)化效率在空間上的分布不是隨機(jī)的,而是存在空間集聚效應(yīng)。2006-2009年區(qū)縣間城鎮(zhèn)化效率空間相關(guān)性變大,2010-2011年集聚效應(yīng)達(dá)到最小,2012-2015年呈現(xiàn)波動(dòng)上升的趨勢(shì)。效率高-高關(guān)聯(lián)區(qū)及低-低關(guān)聯(lián)區(qū)所占比重較大,并呈現(xiàn)出波動(dòng)中上升的趨勢(shì)。同時(shí)在地理空間上表現(xiàn)出顯著的高值集聚和低值集聚,處于三峽庫區(qū)腹心的豐都、石柱一直是研究時(shí)段內(nèi)的高值集聚中心,并且有向北部和西部輻射擴(kuò)散的趨勢(shì)。而低值集聚中心則由東北部的開州、萬州一帶轉(zhuǎn)移到西北部的潼南一帶。(6)基于對(duì)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化效率測(cè)度及空間關(guān)聯(lián)格局的分析,提出了城鎮(zhèn)化效率的提升策略,主要有以下四個(gè)方面:重慶市應(yīng)加大力度實(shí)施可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,推進(jìn)土地供給側(cè)改革、推進(jìn)建設(shè)用地的節(jié)約集約利用,同時(shí)實(shí)行差別化的區(qū)域城鎮(zhèn)化管控政策。此外還應(yīng)加強(qiáng)區(qū)域合作,增強(qiáng)中心區(qū)縣的輻射帶動(dòng)作用。最終實(shí)現(xiàn)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化的協(xié)調(diào)和可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the increasing level of urbanization in China, in 2015 China's urbanization rate reached 56.1%.. However, with the rapid progress of urbanization, the urbanization process of high input and low output, low efficiency and high energy consumption problem highlights the growing conflict. The urbanization rate increased, urbanization efficiency has not got enough the importance of urbanization. Efficiency is a comprehensive measure of input and output elements in the process of urbanization and the comparison is an important index to measure the urbanization process is effective and reasonable measure of urbanization efficiency is very important to measure the level and quality of urbanization. Chongqing City, large rural, urban and rural areas two yuan structure contradiction, calculation and analysis of Chongqing city urbanization efficiency and to explore its spatial association pattern, to promote the efficient use of resources and regional urbanization sustainable and healthy development is extremely heavy The significance. This paper takes 37 counties of Chongqing city as the research unit, firstly summarizes the domestic and foreign research achievements about urbanization efficiency, system status analysis of the relevant literature research, methods and problems in the urbanization; secondly, the basic concept of urbanization efficiency and related theory basis of comprehensive exposition on to establish the efficiency measurement and evaluation system, using super efficiency SBM model including non expected output, objectively, on the efficiency of urbanization in Chongqing city of science, reasonable measure. Then the horizontal and vertical comparison according to the measurement results, and the results are compared to the 4 partition; at the same time through input-output redundancy analysis reasons of Urbanization efficiency loss, and the use of convergence, absolute convergence of urbanization efficiency convergence analysis. Finally, using exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) on the efficiency of urbanization spatial association pattern For the study, put forward to enhance the Chongqing city urbanization efficiency countermeasures and suggestions. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) ten years, except in 2008, 2010, two year decline in the efficiency of urbanization of Chongqing City, the average overall efficiency fluctuated upward trend, and reached the peak in 2015. 2006-2008 years, Chongqing town the efficiency of the decline in volatility, lowest in 2008, rebounded in 2009, 2009-2010 years, Chongqing urbanization efficiency decreases, after 2010, the efficiency of urbanization steadily, and reached the highest value in 2015. (2) between the Chongqing city urbanization efficiency in all counties, the difference between the 4 towns partition is obvious. Within ten years of the average efficiency of more than 1 counties have 15, but lower than the average level of efficiency of urbanization in Chongqing District reached 19. From 4 partitions: 1 efficiency value at the maximum value, the second is in the southeast of Chongqing, Chongqing Northeast District iii, In Section IV, and the average efficiency of zone II (3). The lowest value of industrial wastewater discharge excess, land input redundancy, industrial solid waste emissions are the three most important factors caused the overall urbanization efficiency loss in Chongqing city. 1 input-output redundancy mainly concentrated in the industrial wastewater emissions, industrial solid waste emissions. The fixed assets investment. Because II urbanization efficiency loss is mainly industrial wastewater emissions, industrial solid waste emissions and land input redundancy. District III low urbanization rate has become the main cause of the low efficiency of the town, and the land was not the best use of the excess emissions of industrial waste water is an important factor to limit the increase of urbanization efficiency. The redundant area IV industrial wastewater emissions are more prominent, capital and labor play not to maximize the utility of hindering urbanization. The rate of improvement. (4) the Chongqing city urbanization efficiency 2006-2010 variation coefficient fluctuated upward trend, after 2010, the coefficient of variation decreased, the urbanization efficiency convergence. With the passage of time, the efficiency gap between urban districts in Chongqing city. At the same time reduced and the 4 area are relatively absolute convergence obviously, that without considering the space effect of urbanization, low efficiency counties have pursued trend of urbanization and high efficiency of the county, with the passage of time, the efficiency of urbanization districts will converge to the same steady-state level. (5) the distribution efficiency of urbanization of Chongqing city each district in space. Is not random, but the existence of agglomeration in.2006-2009 counties urbanization efficiency spatial correlation becomes large, 2010-2011 agglomeration effect minimum, fluctuated upward trend in 2012-2015. High efficiency and high - and low correlation region Low correlation zone accounted for a larger proportion, and showed a rising trend in volatility. At the same time in the geographical space showed a significantly high value and low value cluster agglomeration, in the hinterland of the Three Gorges Reservoir of Fengdu, has been a pillar in the study period of high value center, and has spread to the north and west trend of radiation. The low value center from the northeastern part of the state, transferred to the Wanzhou area in the northwestern Tongnan area. (6) analysis of Chongqing city urbanization efficiency measurement and spatial correlation pattern based on the proposed strategy to enhance the efficiency of urbanization, mainly in the following four aspects: Chongqing city should intensify efforts to implement sustainable the development strategy, promote the land supply side reforms, promote the construction of land intensive use, at the same time, the implementation of differentiated regional urbanization control policy. It should also strengthen regional cooperation and enhance the leading role of the center district of radiation. Finally, the coordinated and sustainable development of urbanization in Chongqing is realized.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F299.27
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