中國住宅出讓地價(jià)發(fā)育特征及其影響因素分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2017-12-26 23:34
本文關(guān)鍵詞:中國住宅出讓地價(jià)發(fā)育特征及其影響因素分析 出處:《地理科學(xué)》2017年04期 論文類型:期刊論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 住宅出讓地價(jià) 發(fā)育形態(tài) Ward聚類 Logistic回歸 縣域
【摘要】:基于中國土地市場網(wǎng)2009~2013年招、拍、掛出讓的住宅用地?cái)?shù)據(jù),以縣級行政區(qū)域作為研究單元,建立區(qū)域住宅地價(jià)綜合模型,選取地價(jià)水平、地價(jià)增長率和交易宗數(shù)作為評價(jià)指標(biāo),采用Ward系統(tǒng)聚類法,綜合分析了中國住宅出讓地價(jià)的發(fā)育特征,利用多分類Logistic回歸模型探索了各類地價(jià)發(fā)育形態(tài)的潛在影響因素。結(jié)果表明:1研究期內(nèi)中國住宅出讓地價(jià)總體呈現(xiàn)東高西低、沿海高于內(nèi)陸、城市群帶動(dòng)周邊區(qū)域發(fā)展、城市群內(nèi)部圍繞中心城市增長等空間格局特征;中西部地價(jià)高增長的單元多于東部,西北、東北中南部、四川盆地、河西走廊以及長江中下游地區(qū)是地價(jià)高增長的聚集區(qū);住宅市場活躍度呈階梯狀變化,活躍度較高的地區(qū)主要分布在山東半島、長三角、長江中游、遼寧中部、哈爾濱、成渝、滇中、呼包鄂等城市群。2根據(jù)綜合特征,中國住宅出讓地價(jià)空間發(fā)育可分為成熟穩(wěn)健型、發(fā)展完善型、成長發(fā)展型、萌芽起步型和成長受阻型5類,相鄰發(fā)育形態(tài)在空間關(guān)系上表現(xiàn)出互為鄰里的特征。3各類發(fā)育區(qū)的主要影響因素差異顯著。區(qū)位條件、居民收入和財(cái)政收入是地價(jià)發(fā)育成熟度的主要影響因素;人均GDP、國土開發(fā)度提升將促進(jìn)地價(jià)形態(tài)發(fā)育程度;而人口吸引力不足、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)相對滯后等將導(dǎo)致地價(jià)形態(tài)發(fā)育受阻。
[Abstract]:Chinese land market network 2009~2013, the transfer of residential land based on the data in the county-level administrative region as the research unit, to establish a comprehensive model of regional residential land price, land price, land price growth rate is selected and the number of transactions as the evaluation index, using Ward clustering method, a comprehensive analysis of the development characteristics of the transfer of land Chinese residential, using a Logistic regression model to explore the potential factors influencing premium morphogenesis. The results showed that: 1 the study period China residential land prices generally higher than that of the East West High low, coastal and inland city group to promote the development of the surrounding area, city cluster around the center of city growth in the spatial pattern of land; Midwest high growth unit than the eastern part of northwest, northeast, central and southern Sichuan basin, Hexi Corridor and the Yangtze River the downstream area is the gathering area of high land price growth; residential market activity in a step like change, a high degree of active region is mainly distributed in the Shandong Peninsula, the Yangtze River Delta, the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, Central Liaoning, Harbin, Chengdu and Chongqing, Yunnan, hubaoe city group etc.. 2, according to the comprehensive characteristics, the spatial development of residential land price in China can be divided into 5 categories: mature, robust, developing and perfecting, growth and development, sprouting, and growth blocking. The neighboring development patterns show their neighborhood characteristics in spatial relations. 3 the main influencing factors of various developmental regions were significant. Location, income and financial income are the main factors affecting the maturity of land development; per capita GDP, to enhance the degree of land development will promote land development degree and population attraction form; inadequate infrastructure, relatively lag will lead to price form blocked development.
【作者單位】: 南京大學(xué)地理與海洋科學(xué)學(xué)院;南京大學(xué)自然資源研究中心;中國土地勘測規(guī)劃院;
【基金】:教育部博士點(diǎn)基金項(xiàng)目(20120091110014)資助~~
【分類號】:F299.23
【正文快照】: 土地市場是土地資源市場化配置的場所,其發(fā)育程度直接影響土地利用效率的提升[1]。地價(jià)作為土地市場運(yùn)作的重要信息和價(jià)值判斷標(biāo)準(zhǔn),是國家宏觀調(diào)控土地市場的重要手段之一,隨著市場經(jīng)濟(jì)的不斷發(fā)展,其在提高土地資源利用效率和優(yōu)化土地空間配置中的作用日益突出[2,3]。住宅地價(jià),
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