本文選題：美國職業(yè)棒球聯(lián)賽 + 盜壘��； 參考：《北京體育大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：盜壘技術(shù)是棒球運動中重要的進攻手段之一并越來越受到教練員及運動員的重視。如何合理運用盜壘技術(shù)并通過提高盜壘成功率來最大化盜壘給予球隊進攻所帶來的貢獻(xiàn)是盜壘技術(shù)運用過程中的關(guān)鍵所在。棒球運動員發(fā)動盜壘技術(shù)后的結(jié)果是成功或失敗受到投手、捕手及跑壘員起跑時機等諸多相關(guān)因素的影響。本文主要通過錄像觀察法及數(shù)理統(tǒng)計法對盜壘技術(shù)在美國職業(yè)棒球聯(lián)賽中的應(yīng)用特點及盜壘技術(shù)的相關(guān)影響因素進行分析與研究。通過研究得出以下結(jié)果：1.自1990賽季至2014賽季美國職業(yè)棒球聯(lián)賽中的盜壘技術(shù)使用頻率呈逐漸下降的趨勢,其中最低達(dá)到每場比賽僅0.761次盜壘；跑壘員盜壘的成功率則呈逐漸上升趨勢,在2012賽季達(dá)到最高的0.740。2.盜2壘是美國職業(yè)棒球比賽中最常使用的盜壘類別;國家聯(lián)盟球隊盜壘的使用頻率低于美國聯(lián)盟的球隊；隨著棒球比賽的進行跑壘員在單場比賽中盜壘的可能性逐漸下降。3.投手在跑壘員進行盜壘時投球的球種與跑壘員盜2壘成功率顯著相關(guān),當(dāng)投手所投球的球種為變化球時跑壘員盜壘的成功率為投直球時的3.577倍。4.捕手接球位置與進攻方跑壘員盜2壘的成功率顯著相關(guān),當(dāng)捕手接球位置為區(qū)域2、3、4與區(qū)域1相比跑壘員更容易盜壘成功。5.當(dāng)進攻局面為1壘、3壘同時存在跑壘員時,跑壘員盜2壘更容易成功,其成功率為僅跑壘員本身在1壘時的6.441倍。6.棒球比賽中防守方的投手為左投手或右投手并不會影響到跑壘員盜2壘結(jié)果,然而左投手相比右投手更容易把1壘上的跑壘員牽制出局,左投手通過牽制可有效限制跑壘員嘗試盜壘。
[Abstract]:Base-stealing technology is one of the most important offensive methods in baseball, which is paid more and more attention by coaches and athletes. How to make rational use of base stealing technology and maximize the contribution of base theft to team attack by improving the success rate of base theft is the key to the application of base theft technology. The result of baseball players' pilfering technique is that the success or failure is influenced by many related factors, such as the pitcher, catcher and runner, etc. This paper analyzes and studies the characteristics of the application of base theft technology in American professional baseball league and the influence factors of base theft technology through video observation and mathematical statistics. The following results are obtained from the study: 1: 1. From 1990 season to 2014 season, the frequency of base-stealing technique in the American Professional Baseball League decreased gradually, among which the lowest was 0.761 times in each game, while the success rate of baseman stealing base showed an increasing trend. Reached a high of 0.740.2 in 2012. Stealing 2 base is the most commonly used type of base theft in American professional baseball; national league teams steal base less frequently than American league teams; the possibility of base theft by runners in a single game decreases gradually as baseball games go on. There is a significant correlation between the type of ball pitched by the runner and the success rate of the runner stealing the second base. When the pitcher pitches the ball to change the ball, the baseman's success rate is 3.577 times as high as that of the straight ball. The catcher's catch position was significantly related to the success rate of attacking runner stealing second base, when the catcher's position was area 2 / 3 / 4, the runner was more likely to steal base than area 1. 5. When the attacking situation is 1 base and 3 base and there are runners, it is easier for the runner to steal the second base, and the success rate is 6.441 times that of the runner himself at the first base. In baseball, the defensive pitcher who pitches left or right doesn't affect the runner's second base, but the left-hander is more likely than the right-hander to pull the runner out of first base. A left pitcher can effectively restrict runners from trying to steal base by holding it down.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京體育大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：G848.1

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