本文選題：大學(xué)畢業(yè)生　切入點(diǎn)：失業(yè)　出處：《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：我國(guó)大學(xué)生數(shù)量的不斷增加和全球經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的不確定性，使我國(guó)大學(xué)畢業(yè)生的就業(yè)形勢(shì)依然很?chē)?yán)峻。失業(yè)大學(xué)生作為大學(xué)生群體的一部分，具有較高的文化程度，有著廣泛的信息源和較強(qiáng)的自我意識(shí)、批判精神。失業(yè)可能使他們陷入貧困等狀態(tài)，，當(dāng)失業(yè)大學(xué)生感受到的壓力或不公平感加強(qiáng)，在一定條件下可能采取集體行動(dòng)等導(dǎo)致社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的產(chǎn)生。因此，本文研究的主要目的在于建立一套針對(duì)失業(yè)大學(xué)生的社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系，定量分析可能發(fā)生的社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的程度，以便更有針對(duì)性的采取措施保持社會(huì)穩(wěn)定，幫助解決失業(yè)大學(xué)生的問(wèn)題。 本文利用加值理論、動(dòng)員理論等社會(huì)運(yùn)動(dòng)理論構(gòu)建了大學(xué)畢業(yè)生失業(yè)派生社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系，并采用層次分析法確定了各指標(biāo)的權(quán)重，最后利用模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)法對(duì)指標(biāo)體系進(jìn)行了應(yīng)用，判斷出大學(xué)畢業(yè)生失業(yè)派生社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)目前處于輕警狀態(tài)，但向中警靠攏的可能性較大。本文內(nèi)容主要分為三個(gè)層次：第一層次主要為研究思路和立論基礎(chǔ)部分；第二層次為論文主體研究部分，明確了構(gòu)建預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系的原則、依據(jù)和步驟，建立了大學(xué)畢業(yè)生失業(yè)派生社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系的框架，包括6個(gè)準(zhǔn)則層指標(biāo)、30個(gè)操作層指標(biāo)，并明確了各指標(biāo)的涵義和權(quán)重；隨后對(duì)構(gòu)建的指標(biāo)體系進(jìn)行了應(yīng)用，通過(guò)查找各個(gè)預(yù)警指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù)，利用模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)法對(duì)大學(xué)畢業(yè)生失業(yè)派生社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)，為了解失業(yè)大學(xué)生的狀態(tài)和社會(huì)穩(wěn)定狀況提供相對(duì)科學(xué)的依據(jù)；第三層次為對(duì)策建議和結(jié)語(yǔ)部分，通過(guò)設(shè)計(jì)指標(biāo)設(shè)計(jì)維護(hù)系統(tǒng)、指標(biāo)信息采集系統(tǒng)、指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù)分析系統(tǒng)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制應(yīng)對(duì)系統(tǒng)四個(gè)管理系統(tǒng)組成大學(xué)畢業(yè)生失業(yè)派生社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警指標(biāo)管理機(jī)制，加強(qiáng)預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系的管理，最后為本文的結(jié)語(yǔ)及有待進(jìn)一步深入研究的方面。
[Abstract]:With the increasing number of college students and the uncertainty of the global economic development, the employment situation of college graduates in China is still very serious. As a part of the college students, unemployed college students have a higher education level. With a wide range of sources of information and a strong sense of self-awareness, critical spirit. Unemployment may lead them into a state of poverty, etc., when the pressure or sense of injustice felt by unemployed college students is strengthened. Under certain conditions, collective action may lead to social risk. Therefore, the main purpose of this paper is to establish a set of social risk warning index system for unemployed college students. Quantitative analysis of the extent of possible social risks in order to take more targeted measures to maintain social stability and help solve the problem of unemployed college students. In this paper, using the theory of added value and the theory of social movement such as mobilization theory, this paper constructs the early warning index system of social risk derived from unemployment of college graduates, and determines the weight of each index by using the Analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Finally, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to apply the index system to judge that the social risk derived from the unemployment of college graduates is in the state of light warning at present. The content of this paper is divided into three levels: the first level is the research idea and the basic part of the argument, the second level is the main research part of the paper, the principle of constructing the early warning index system is clear. According to the steps and steps, the paper establishes the framework of the early warning index system of social risk derived from unemployment of college graduates, including 6 criteria and 30 operational indicators, and clarifies the meaning and weight of each index. Then the index system is applied to evaluate the social risk derived from the unemployment of college graduates by looking up the early warning index data and using the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. In order to understand the status of unemployed college students and social stability to provide a relatively scientific basis; the third level for the countermeasures and suggestions and the conclusion part, through the design of indicators to design maintenance system, index information collection system, The index data analysis system and the risk control response system constitute the early warning index management mechanism of the social risk derived from the unemployment of college graduates, and strengthen the management of the early warning index system. The last part is the conclusion of this paper and the aspects to be further studied.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：G647.38;F249.21

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