【摘要】：近年來(lái)，受全球性金融危機(jī)影響，越來(lái)越多發(fā)展中國(guó)家的地方政府財(cái)政和債務(wù)可持續(xù)性開始面臨威脅。我國(guó)政府債務(wù)特別是地方政府債務(wù)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)與管理在國(guó)際金融經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)的背景下，也得到了諸多學(xué)者的關(guān)注。盡管在2010年，我國(guó)國(guó)務(wù)院下發(fā)了針對(duì)地方融資平臺(tái)債務(wù)管理的19號(hào)文件，但收效甚微。在目前國(guó)際債務(wù)危機(jī)日益嚴(yán)重的情形下，如何控制和化解地方政府債務(wù)規(guī)模及其風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，使地方政府債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)處于良性可控水平，以提高政府的債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理水平和能力，保持地方政府經(jīng)濟(jì)健康發(fā)展是最重要的也是最當(dāng)務(wù)之急的問題,也是本論文的研究的宗旨所在。 基于這樣的背景，，本文首先從三個(gè)方面梳理了對(duì)地方政府債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的古典到新古典以及現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的認(rèn)識(shí)發(fā)展的過(guò)程，介紹了凱恩斯主義國(guó)債理論和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)理論。其次分析了中國(guó)地方債務(wù)的歷史及現(xiàn)狀，探討了我國(guó)地方債務(wù)的成因與地方債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)形成機(jī)理，最后重點(diǎn)探討了我國(guó)地方政府債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)表現(xiàn)以及規(guī)模適度準(zhǔn)則，并提出了建立地方政府債務(wù)整體管理框架，防范風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的累積和迭加，完善現(xiàn)有監(jiān)管模式以保證債務(wù)運(yùn)行安全有效引入市政債創(chuàng)新政績(jī)考評(píng)機(jī)制，利用民間資本緩解支出壓力，分散地方債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的對(duì)策和建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, affected by the global financial crisis, more and more developing countries' local government fiscal and debt sustainability are under threat. The risk and management of Chinese government debt, especially local government debt, has been concerned by many scholars under the background of international financial and economic fluctuation. Although in 2010, the State Council issued a local financing platform debt management document 19, but with little effect. In the current international debt crisis, how to control and resolve the local government debt scale and its risk, make the local government debt risk in a benign controllable level, in order to improve the debt risk management level and ability of the government. Maintaining the healthy development of local government economy is the most important and most urgent issue, and is also the purpose of this paper. Based on this background, this paper first combs the process of understanding and development of local government debt risk from three aspects: classical to neoclassical and modern economics, and introduces Keynesian treasury bond theory and risk theory. Secondly, it analyzes the history and present situation of Chinese local debt, probes into the causes of local debt and the formation mechanism of local debt risk, and finally probes into the performance of local government debt risk and the criterion of appropriate scale. It also proposes to establish the overall management framework of local government debt, to prevent the accumulation and superposition of risks, to perfect the existing supervision mode to ensure the safety and effectiveness of debt operation and to introduce the innovative performance evaluation mechanism of municipal debt, and to use private capital to alleviate the expenditure pressure. Countermeasures and suggestions for dispersing local debt risks.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F812.5

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