【摘要】：農(nóng)業(yè)作為中國的第一產(chǎn)業(yè),其發(fā)展關(guān)系著國民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的命脈。黨中央在2003年正式提出“三農(nóng)”問題,并將其置于我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的“重中之重”。提高農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)化經(jīng)營,推動(dòng)家庭經(jīng)營向采用先進(jìn)科技和生產(chǎn)手段的方向發(fā)展,建立農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)化生產(chǎn)基地是農(nóng)業(yè)的發(fā)展方向。 農(nóng)業(yè)上市公司是農(nóng)業(yè)企業(yè)的模范先鋒,其成長能力直接關(guān)系著農(nóng)業(yè)未來發(fā)展的方向。從1993年第一家農(nóng)業(yè)上市公司至今,20年的成長歷程,證明了我國農(nóng)業(yè)上市公司在農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)化經(jīng)營進(jìn)程中發(fā)揮著非常重要的作用,在推進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)的市場化、產(chǎn)業(yè)化、標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化生產(chǎn)中起著引導(dǎo)作用,代表著農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展的先進(jìn)生產(chǎn)力。但是農(nóng)業(yè)上市公司在成長中存在著許多問題,如農(nóng)業(yè)的“背農(nóng)”經(jīng)營、轉(zhuǎn)型投資、違法違規(guī)。 本文通過公司盈利能力、企業(yè)規(guī)模、償債能力、資產(chǎn)營運(yùn)能力等方面的多項(xiàng)財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo),運(yùn)用主成分分析方法和多元回歸方法探析影響農(nóng)業(yè)上市公司成長性的主要因素。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)在我國農(nóng)業(yè)上市公司成長性的影響因素中,企業(yè)規(guī)模和創(chuàng)新能力是最為重要的影響因素。 本文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)在于將主成分分析法和多元回歸分析方法結(jié)合,首先通過主成分分析法分別對代表我國農(nóng)業(yè)上市公司的成長性和相關(guān)影響因素的財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行分析,其次對公司的成長性和相關(guān)主成分進(jìn)行多元回歸,最后通過多元回歸函數(shù)和主成分函數(shù)將系數(shù)還原到每一個(gè)影響因素指標(biāo),最終確定各個(gè)因素對我國農(nóng)業(yè)上市公司成長性的影響程度。
[Abstract]:Agriculture as the primary industry of China, its development is related to the lifeblood of national economic development. In 2003, the CPC Central Committee formally raised the issue of agriculture, rural areas and farmers, and placed it as the top priority of China's economic development. To improve the management of agricultural industrialization and promote the development of family management towards the direction of adopting advanced technology and production means, the establishment of agricultural industrialization production base is the development direction of agriculture. Agricultural listed companies are the model vanguard of agricultural enterprises, and their growth ability is directly related to the future development direction of agriculture. From the first agricultural listed company in 1993 to now, the growth course of 20 years has proved that the agricultural listed company in our country plays a very important role in the course of agricultural industrialization management, and it is promoting the marketization and industrialization of agriculture. Standardized production plays a leading role, representing the advanced productive forces of agricultural development. However, there are many problems in the growth of agricultural listed companies, such as agricultural "back farming" management, investment transformation, illegal and illegal. This paper analyzes the main factors influencing the growth of agricultural listed companies by means of principal component analysis (PCA) and multivariate regression method. It is found that the scale of enterprises and the ability of innovation are the most important factors affecting the growth of agricultural listed companies in China. The innovation of this paper lies in the combination of principal component analysis and multivariate regression analysis. Firstly, the paper analyzes the financial indicators representing the growth and related factors of agricultural listed companies through principal component analysis. Secondly, the growth of the company and related principal components of the multivariate regression, and finally through the multivariate regression function and principal component function to restore the coefficient to each of the influencing factors indicators, Finally determine the impact of each factor on the growth of agricultural listed companies in China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：內(nèi)蒙古農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F324;F832.51

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